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Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 11:54 am
by Cpv17
The ensembles are looking decent for rain as we enter October.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 3:35 pm
by don
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 3:42 pm
by brazoriatx
I'm going to San Antonio from the 6th to the 8th...am I going to get rained out?
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 4:00 pm
by Stratton20
Thats a great outlook, and models are coming into better agreement on our first real fall front of the season in the same time frame, the days with 90โs for highs are becoming limited
its coming
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 5:57 pm
by davidiowx
Stratton20 wrote: โThu Sep 28, 2023 4:00 pm
the days with 90โs for highs are becoming limited
its coming
Good riddance!
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 7:46 pm
by Stratton20
I like that 18z GEFS, keeps us cooler than normal for quite some time, changes are definitely coming
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 8:00 pm
by Cpv17
I just want some rain, personally. Donโt really care for too much cooler air to come in. 60โs and 80โs would be fine with me. Anything colder than that and I might start getting sick.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 8:15 pm
by Stratton20
Cpv17 ill take 80โs for highs all day given the hell like weather we had to deal with , but this winter is definitely looking pretty cold around here, hopefully we get some more opportunities for snow down the road with a strong el nino
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 8:26 pm
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: โThu Sep 28, 2023 8:15 pm
Cpv17 ill take 80โs for highs all day given the hell like weather we had to deal with , but this winter is definitely looking pretty cold around here, hopefully we get some more opportunities for snow down the road with a strong el nino
Oh heck yeah. Iโd take a full blown blizzard lol thatโs my ultimate weather fantasy!
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 9:18 pm
by Ptarmigan
Cpv17 wrote: โThu Sep 28, 2023 8:00 pm
I just want some rain, personally. Donโt really care for too much cooler air to come in. 60โs and 80โs would be fine with me. Anything colder than that and I might start getting sick.
I will take that too. Certainly better than 90s and 100s.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 10:41 pm
by mcheer23
Stratton20 wrote: โThu Sep 28, 2023 7:46 pm
I like that 18z GEFS, keeps us cooler than normal for quite some time, changes are definitely coming
Also drenches the Houston area with 10 plus inches of rain from a pacific tropical system lol
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 10:44 pm
by sambucol
mcheer23 wrote: โThu Sep 28, 2023 10:41 pm
Stratton20 wrote: โThu Sep 28, 2023 7:46 pm
I like that 18z GEFS, keeps us cooler than normal for quite some time, changes are definitely coming
Also drenches the Houston area with 10 plus inches of rain from a pacific tropical system lol
When is that showing for our area?
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 10:55 pm
by Stratton20
mcheer23 that would be nice, though its not too crazy usually october is when we start to get those recurving pacific systems spreading moisture into texas
Re: October 2023
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2023 11:03 pm
by Cpv17
sambucol wrote: โThu Sep 28, 2023 10:44 pm
mcheer23 wrote: โThu Sep 28, 2023 10:41 pm
Stratton20 wrote: โThu Sep 28, 2023 7:46 pm
I like that 18z GEFS, keeps us cooler than normal for quite some time, changes are definitely coming
Also drenches the Houston area with 10 plus inches of rain from a pacific tropical system lol
When is that showing for our area?
Around October 12th. Beautiful sight! What I would give for that to happen lol
Re: October 2023
Posted: Fri Sep 29, 2023 7:11 am
by Cpv17
Ensembles continue to look good for some rain!
Re: October 2023
Posted: Fri Sep 29, 2023 7:47 am
by snowman65
Are we getting an El Lucy around the 7th?? Sure looks like it this morning.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Fri Sep 29, 2023 7:54 am
by Cpv17
snowman65 wrote: โFri Sep 29, 2023 7:47 am
Are we getting an El Lucy around the 7th?? Sure looks like it this morning.
I wouldnโt say that because there was never really any forecast that actually bit into that hype. Most forecasts have mid to upper 60โs lows and mid to upper 80โs highs during that timeframe.
Re: October 2023
Posted: Fri Sep 29, 2023 12:00 pm
by Stratton20
CMC is very bullish with our fall front, GFS decent as well, GFS also showing signs of pacific systems starting to recurve , which could spread moisture over the state in the coming weeks
Re: October 2023
Posted: Fri Sep 29, 2023 5:47 pm
by Stratton20
18z GFS has highs in the upper 60โs to low 70โs on friday and also keeps rain lingering behind the frontal passage
Re: October 2023
Posted: Sat Sep 30, 2023 2:25 am
by Pas_Bon
Forecast for next weekend keeps dropping the temps.