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Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:18 pm
by Stratton20
Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜ medium-long range sure is looking great!!!

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:30 pm
by Pas_Bon
Stratton20 wrote: โ†‘Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:18 pm Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜ medium-long range sure is looking great!!!
I think most (if not all) of us are tired of getting hood-winked.
I'll believe it when I see wet stuff falling from the sky.

I don't even trust the radar anymore. :|

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:36 pm
by Cromagnum
Pas_Bon wrote: โ†‘Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:30 pm
Stratton20 wrote: โ†‘Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:18 pm Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜ medium-long range sure is looking great!!!
I think most (if not all) of us are tired of getting hood-winked.
I'll believe it when I see wet stuff falling from the sky.

I don't even trust the radar anymore. :|
Until I see water splashing on my wet lawn, I don't believe anything.

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:50 pm
by Stratton20
Hey im just saying the pattern ahead looks good, didnt say anyone is guaranteed to see any rain though haha

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 1:00 pm
by jasons2k
Look at the lack of cumulus clouds downstream from the lakes and Galveston Bay. This has to be a factor in our local โ€˜dead zone.โ€™

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 1:27 pm
by cperk
Pas_Bon wrote: โ†‘Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:30 pm
Stratton20 wrote: โ†‘Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:18 pm Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜ medium-long range sure is looking great!!!
I think most (if not all) of us are tired of getting hood-winked.
I'll believe it when I see wet stuff falling from the sky.

I don't even trust the radar anymore. :|
I feel the same way.

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 1:27 pm
by captainbarbossa19
jasons2k wrote: โ†‘Tue Aug 09, 2022 1:00 pm Look at the lack of cumulus clouds downstream from the lakes and Galveston Bay. This has to be a factor in our local โ€˜dead zone.โ€™
That feature is present everyday but the cloud-free zone changes according to wind direction. If winds are SW, the cloud-free zone is to the NE etc.

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 2:07 pm
by mcheer23
Moderate risk of Tropical Development.....

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 2:44 pm
by Stratton20
12z Nam runs interestingly try to develop a surface low off the Texas coast before moving in land at hour 84 fwiw, has some pretty heavy totals, but off shore though

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 2:59 pm
by jasons2k
Another day of frustration. Cells downstream from me just canโ€™t sustain growth. Meanwhile, over towards Liberty, the continuous building-up of those cells into a complex continues unabated and with no effort. :roll: :roll: :roll:

Before:
2703D4BA-07E4-4274-A71D-7D70991BEF91.png
After:
0A543B70-EC4B-47F9-81E6-E780E5881FA3.jpeg

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 3:03 pm
by jasons2k
Maybe something for later?
CF144303-F239-4A4A-8E75-F14B653CBFBD.jpeg

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 3:10 pm
by Cpv17
jasons2k wrote: โ†‘Tue Aug 09, 2022 2:59 pm Another day of frustration. Cells downstream from me just canโ€™t sustain growth. Meanwhile, over towards Liberty, the continuous building-up of those cells into a complex continues unabated and with no effort. :roll: :roll: :roll:

Before:

2703D4BA-07E4-4274-A71D-7D70991BEF91.png

After:

0A543B70-EC4B-47F9-81E6-E780E5881FA3.jpeg
Youโ€™ll probably get some rain Thursday or Friday. Hopefully.

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:13 pm
by DoctorMu
Stratton20 wrote: โ†‘Mon Aug 08, 2022 7:20 pm Holy smokes its raining here in CS!!!! I can confirm water is now falling from
the sky!!๐Ÿ˜„๐Ÿ˜„๐Ÿ˜„๐Ÿ˜„๐Ÿ˜„๐Ÿฅฒ๐Ÿฅฒ
That cell jumped right over our house. Not a drop.

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:22 pm
by Stratton20
DoctorMu i got about 5 minutes of light to occasionally moderate rain, doupy it accumulated to much though

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:26 pm
by jasons2k
Cpv17 wrote: โ†‘Tue Aug 09, 2022 3:10 pm
jasons2k wrote: โ†‘Tue Aug 09, 2022 2:59 pm Another day of frustration. Cells downstream from me just canโ€™t sustain growth. Meanwhile, over towards Liberty, the continuous building-up of those cells into a complex continues unabated and with no effort. :roll: :roll: :roll:

Before:

2703D4BA-07E4-4274-A71D-7D70991BEF91.png

After:

0A543B70-EC4B-47F9-81E6-E780E5881FA3.jpeg
Youโ€™ll probably get some rain Thursday or Friday. Hopefully.

Yeah was supposed to last Thursday or Friday tooโ€ฆ

I hope we do but Iโ€™ll believe it when I see it.

Lucy is trolling me big time at the moment. Cells very close but anything headed this way want to keep collapsing.

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:32 pm
by jasons2k
Wispy cloud tops now. Poof, as usual.

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 5:58 pm
by DoctorMu
A brief show at A&M. Not sure about home. Unlikely per radar.

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 6:02 pm
by Cpv17
Showers popping up all around me but nothing but a couple sprinkles at my house. Been hearing thunder off and on for over an hour now.

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 6:04 pm
by jasons2k
This means everything in todayโ€™s AFD:
If these trends do unfold
IFโ€ฆthereโ€™s that word again.

Re: August 2022

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 6:15 pm
by davidiowx
I canโ€™t complain considering Iโ€™ve had an inch or so in the last two weeks. Barely at 10โ€ on the year which is atrocious. Literally had big storms every direction and barley got spit on here. Iโ€™ll take the clouds though. Hope the rest of this week is better for all of us.