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Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:18 pm
by Stratton20
Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy
medium-long range sure is looking great!!!
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:30 pm
by Pas_Bon
Stratton20 wrote: โTue Aug 09, 2022 12:18 pm
Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy
medium-long range sure is looking great!!!
I think most (if not all) of us are tired of getting hood-winked.
I'll believe it when I see wet stuff falling from the sky.
I don't even trust the radar anymore.
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:36 pm
by Cromagnum
Pas_Bon wrote: โTue Aug 09, 2022 12:30 pm
Stratton20 wrote: โTue Aug 09, 2022 12:18 pm
Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy
medium-long range sure is looking great!!!
I think most (if not all) of us are tired of getting hood-winked.
I'll believe it when I see wet stuff falling from the sky.
I don't even trust the radar anymore.
Until I see water splashing on my wet lawn, I don't believe anything.
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 12:50 pm
by Stratton20
Hey im just saying the pattern ahead looks good, didnt say anyone is guaranteed to see any rain though haha
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 1:00 pm
by jasons2k
Look at the lack of cumulus clouds downstream from the lakes and Galveston Bay. This has to be a factor in our local โdead zone.โ
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 1:27 pm
by cperk
Pas_Bon wrote: โTue Aug 09, 2022 12:30 pm
Stratton20 wrote: โTue Aug 09, 2022 12:18 pm
Im sure the latest GFS might make a few folks happy
medium-long range sure is looking great!!!
I think most (if not all) of us are tired of getting hood-winked.
I'll believe it when I see wet stuff falling from the sky.
I don't even trust the radar anymore.
I feel the same way.
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 1:27 pm
by captainbarbossa19
jasons2k wrote: โTue Aug 09, 2022 1:00 pm
Look at the lack of cumulus clouds downstream from the lakes and Galveston Bay. This has to be a factor in our local โdead zone.โ
That feature is present everyday but the cloud-free zone changes according to wind direction. If winds are SW, the cloud-free zone is to the NE etc.
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 2:07 pm
by mcheer23
Moderate risk of Tropical Development.....
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 2:44 pm
by Stratton20
12z Nam runs interestingly try to develop a surface low off the Texas coast before moving in land at hour 84 fwiw, has some pretty heavy totals, but off shore though
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 2:59 pm
by jasons2k
Another day of frustration. Cells downstream from me just canโt sustain growth. Meanwhile, over towards Liberty, the continuous building-up of those cells into a complex continues unabated and with no effort.
Before:
After:
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 3:03 pm
by jasons2k
Maybe something for later?
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 3:10 pm
by Cpv17
jasons2k wrote: โTue Aug 09, 2022 2:59 pm
Another day of frustration. Cells downstream from me just canโt sustain growth. Meanwhile, over towards Liberty, the continuous building-up of those cells into a complex continues unabated and with no effort.
Before:
2703D4BA-07E4-4274-A71D-7D70991BEF91.png
After:
0A543B70-EC4B-47F9-81E6-E780E5881FA3.jpeg
Youโll probably get some rain Thursday or Friday. Hopefully.
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:13 pm
by DoctorMu
That cell jumped right over our house. Not a drop.
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:22 pm
by Stratton20
DoctorMu i got about 5 minutes of light to occasionally moderate rain, doupy it accumulated to much though
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:26 pm
by jasons2k
Cpv17 wrote: โTue Aug 09, 2022 3:10 pm
jasons2k wrote: โTue Aug 09, 2022 2:59 pm
Another day of frustration. Cells downstream from me just canโt sustain growth. Meanwhile, over towards Liberty, the continuous building-up of those cells into a complex continues unabated and with no effort.
Before:
2703D4BA-07E4-4274-A71D-7D70991BEF91.png
After:
0A543B70-EC4B-47F9-81E6-E780E5881FA3.jpeg
Youโll probably get some rain Thursday or Friday. Hopefully.
Yeah was supposed to last Thursday or Friday tooโฆ
I hope we do but Iโll believe it when I see it.
Lucy is trolling me big time at the moment. Cells very close but anything headed this way want to keep collapsing.
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:32 pm
by jasons2k
Wispy cloud tops now. Poof, as usual.
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 5:58 pm
by DoctorMu
A brief show at A&M. Not sure about home. Unlikely per radar.
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 6:02 pm
by Cpv17
Showers popping up all around me but nothing but a couple sprinkles at my house. Been hearing thunder off and on for over an hour now.
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 6:04 pm
by jasons2k
This means everything in todayโs AFD:
If these trends do unfold
IFโฆthereโs that word again.
Re: August 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 6:15 pm
by davidiowx
I canโt complain considering Iโve had an inch or so in the last two weeks. Barely at 10โ on the year which is atrocious. Literally had big storms every direction and barley got spit on here. Iโll take the clouds though. Hope the rest of this week is better for all of us.