Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 4:15 pm
We really need more members on this forum. This place is a snooze fest.
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Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 4:35 pm
Of course 57 is over on Storm2k not completely buying into the cold yet.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 4:44 pm
Not what he said. I’ve learned to decipher some of his schtick.
He referenced the coldest anomalies being a bit east of us. He kinda plays that game. He’s admitted a week or so back it’s going to be colder than normal to end this month.
If im 20 plus below normal and Mississippi is 35 plus, im cool with it.
I just don’t want to see 60s plus again until mid January after late next week, and there’s an okay chance at that if our AAM stays on the floor.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 4:47 pm
This looks really good:MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 4:44 pmNot what he said. I’ve learned to decipher some of his schtick.
He referenced the coldest anomalies being a bit east of us. He kinda plays that game. He’s admitted a week or so back it’s going to be colder than normal to end this month.
If im 20 plus below normal and Mississippi is 35 plus, im cool with it.
I just don’t want to see 60s plus again until mid January after late next week, and there’s an okay chance at that if our AAM stays on the floor.
Btw, the PNA is not forecasted to go much into positive territory so I think this will be centered more over the central part of the country and not mainly east of us. But we’ll see.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 4:48 pm
Im 100% confident, the cold is coming, regardless of strength,the GFS ( still not as cold, but its trending colder) and GEFS are now in good agreement with the other models
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 5:34 pm
Like this?Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 4:47 pmMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 4:44 pmNot what he said. I’ve learned to decipher some of his schtick.
He referenced the coldest anomalies being a bit east of us. He kinda plays that game. He’s admitted a week or so back it’s going to be colder than normal to end this month.
If im 20 plus below normal and Mississippi is 35 plus, im cool with it.
I just don’t want to see 60s plus again until mid January after late next week, and there’s an okay chance at that if our AAM stays on the floor.
This looks really good:
Btw, the PNA is not forecasted to go much into positive territory so I think this will be centered more over the central part of the country and not mainly east of us. But we’ll see.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 5:34 pm
The cold better come and better stay. This 85 degree swamp bog weather is garbage. I shouldn't be running my AC and getting annihilated by mosquitoes.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 5:39 pm
18z GFS holy cow! I know its long range but it absolutely opens up the flood gates from the arctic, havent seen a run like that since februrary 2021 lol 3-4 straight days in the low 20’s for highs
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 5:41 pm
WARNING: For entertainment purposes only.
On the GFS Fantasy channel...but we're just saying.
Complete with a Hwy 1*5 shout out.
On the GFS Fantasy channel...but we're just saying.
Complete with a Hwy 1*5 shout out.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 5:42 pm
I was arranging some color LED lights on the bushes a few minutes ago. Even with Cutter repellant the mosquitoes were feasting on me!
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 5:46 pm
Temps in the teens for a day and a half (Dec 22-23).Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 5:39 pm 18z GFS holy cow! I know its long range but it absolutely opens up the flood gates from the arctic, havent seen a run like that since februrary 2021 lol 3-4 straight days in the low 20’s for highs
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 5:46 pm
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 5:51 pm
The potential is there for this to happen. All teleconnections and high latitude blocking are pointing towards it and have been for several days now.
Along with the ensembles. Mainly it was the Euro and Canadian ensembles but now the American ensembles (GEFS) has jumped onboard as well.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 6:37 pm
Lol that 18z GFS run has exploded on the internet, funny how one run can do that haha, but the pieces are coming together, high latitude blocking, teleconnections lining up perfectly, its going to be an interesting next 7-10 days
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 7:44 pm
Travis Herzog just mentioned the possibility of an extended cold snap lasting the rest of the month on channel 13. This might start getting some buzz and traction here pretty soon.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 8:42 pm
Lol, my phone started blowing up from clients who know my propensity to follow weather trends closely.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 9:03 pm
Nm
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 9:22 pm
I appreciate your explanations of what the models show, and explaining it all in a way everyone understands, Montgomery.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 9:39 pm
Gotta dig into this but the Ural Ridge is showing up which sets the stage for the Stratospheric Polar Vortex to be attacked.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 07, 2022 9:52 pm
What does that mean regarding the Polar Vortex?MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 9:39 pm Gotta dig into this but the Ural Ridge is showing up which sets the stage for the Stratospheric Polar Vortex to be attacked.