January 2025

[Brazoriatx979]

yup

[user:null]

The problem with the GFS is that the totals include sleet/wintry mixes. The actual snowfall would be less.

The NAM shows example, latest 12z has a band of 4 inches in the coastal counties. But using "Ferrier" correction tool, that takes sleet/ice into account, and shows the actual snowfall as less than an inch throughout the area.

[Scott747]

If that low is a little further w than what the GFS is showing then somebody from the inland counties from Corpus to Lake Charles is gonna get dumped on like 04.

[Brazoriatx979]

just enjoy what ya get at this point lol

[snowman65]

has the low formed yet? when is the next major update?

[user:null]

The overall system is also moving faster, as shown with the GFS trend. That would further decrease totals, unless last-minute details can compensate.

[tireman4]

From HGX Twitter (X)

[Nuby33]

My forecasted high for today has dropped by a few degrees since this morning as per NWS

[Brazoriatx979]

you can toss the gfs now

[snowman65]

our new president will not let this storm system fail us!!

[don]

Sending good vibes and wishes that everyone sees a good blanket of snow down there! My family is in SE Texas and Cajun country Louisiana and they are excited.

Don! you move away and it snows! lol

LOL it just snowed the other day here so I’m fine missing this one. I think we my see another storm here before the season is over though. As most years here you get a couple of winter weather events a season.

[tireman4]

our new president will not let this storm system fail us!!

And back to weather please, at Storm2K, South Texas Storms posted that this cloudiness and precipitation ahead of schedule may help snow totals I10 north.

[christinac2016]

who's making soup or chili for dinner on this cold evening?

we’re making baked potato soup and beer bread

[djmike]

At this point Im just glad to see snow. Im off for two days to enjoy it and thats a nice treat. (Granted I wouldn't mind 8” but hey. At this point Ill take what we can get!)

[djmike]

Beaumont is still good to receive a possible 4” or more…

[Nuby33]

My hotel room in Baytown was forecasted a high above 40 today and 3 to 6 inches early this morning, now the NWS says high of 37 today and 4 to 8 inches.. I like it..

[tireman4]

Here it comes.

[Stratton20]

Cloud cover is ahead of schedule, models like the hrrr had us getting to 42-43 today and its current 34… Wont even get close to that, moisture is also ahead of schedule in the south, travis mentioned that could lead to a faster start with snow, thinking we are in for a huge surprise late this evening/ overnight

[tireman4]

Pete Cavlin

On the left: Todays 00z Euro valid at 17z
On the right: Observed temperatures just before 17z

Air temperatures ate running several degrees colder across #Texas than modeled yesterday. This will have implications on snow accumulation and p-type once the storm begins

[Cromagnum]

That's only 2-3 degrees difference. I don't see temp being the limiting factor today.