January 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
walsean1
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mcheer23 wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 1:19 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 1:13 pm
walsean1 wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 1:06 pm Once I see some of our Local TV Mets mention wintry precip/Ice/or Snow, then the situation will bear watching. But we need cold air first in place.
Tv Mets are very conservative. The only one that’s not too conservative and tells it somewhat like it is, is David Paul.
After the freeze last year, I assume it would take longer for anything to get mentioned on TV. (If there is a need to)
Stratton20
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00z GFS drops the wintry weather potential entirely, looks like nothing but boring weather ahead
Kingwood36
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Hmmm
Last edited by Kingwood36 on Sat Jan 15, 2022 7:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 10:51 pm 00z GFS drops the wintry weather potential entirely, looks like nothing but boring weather ahead
GEFS still has a signal for it and the Euro is trending stronger towards it. Also, at this range it’s typical for models to go back and forth. It’s still far out.
Stratton20
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CPV17 I thought the Euro run hasnt come out yet? On tropical tidbits the run is delayed
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat Jan 15, 2022 1:41 am CPV17 I thought the Euro run hasnt come out yet? On tropical tidbits the run is delayed
It’s out. Just saw it.
Stratton20
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CPV17 what does it show? For some reason its not showing the 00z run for me
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat Jan 15, 2022 1:49 am CPV17 what does it show? For some reason its not showing the 00z run for me
It shows some light snow accumulations out in the Hill Country. Kinda where the GFS had been showing it a few runs ago.
Stratton20
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CPV17 ah that must be from the 12z run, I guess the data for the overnight euro run is delayed
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jasons2k
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Baseball tryouts today are gonna be miserable. This cold wind is the worst.
Kingwood36
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Man that wind ain't no joke
Iceresistance
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Snowing outside, 24°F
Kingwood36
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Congratulations
Iceresistance
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Jan 15, 2022 9:34 am Congratulations
Yep, Brent (From S2K) is Jealous about this, he expected snow faster than OKC did! Lol

The main reason why there is no snow for Tulsa right now is because there is a Dry Slot.
Stratton20
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FWIW the 12z CMC has trended towards a wintry event setup
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Kingwood36
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Hmmmm...12z GEFS.
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DoctorMu
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Iceresistance wrote: Sat Jan 15, 2022 9:46 am
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Jan 15, 2022 9:34 am Congratulations
Yep, Brent (From S2K) is Jealous about this, he expected snow faster than OKC did! Lol

The main reason why there is no snow for Tulsa right now is because there is a Dry Slot.
Nice wrap around!
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DoctorMu
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Jan 15, 2022 8:45 am Man that wind ain't no joke
30NW 40G around here. Serious advection. :lol:
Kingwood36
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We'll see what happens in the coming days
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don
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It is interesting that most of the GFS ensembles show a winter storm late next week. Wouldn't be surprised to see the storm show back up in the operational run.We'll see...
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