February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion

[wxman666]

Oh yeah, I left the hose on "mist" from 1-7am this morning.

http://a7.sphotos.ak.fbcdn.net/hphotos- ... 3170_n.jpg

on purpose or accident? haha, I was thinking of putting a mist nozzle on and leaving it going through the night but I don't want to waste water if we may get the real thing

TOO COOL!! Literally!!

[Baseballdude2915]

Oh yeah, I left the hose on "mist" from 1-7am this morning.

on purpose or accident? haha, I was thinking of putting a mist nozzle on and leaving it going through the night but I don't want to waste water if we may get the real thing

Purpose of course. I'm 19, i dont think of the 'negative' side of things.

[helloitsb]

Oh yeah, I left the hose on "mist" from 1-7am this morning.

on purpose or accident? haha, I was thinking of putting a mist nozzle on and leaving it going through the night but I don't want to waste water if we may get the real thing

Purpose of course. I'm 19, i dont think of the 'negative' side of things.

I hear ya on that LOL

[Txdreamer62]

Gene Norman seems extremely confident now....after being very conservative in past days. Hope he's right!

[helloitsb]

Gene Norman seems extremely confident now....after being very conservative in past days. Hope he's right!

yup I enjoyed his forecast a lot, he is showing a lot of confidence and upped the totals

[Snowman]

if gene norman is right then we will ALL be extremely happy tomorrow night and friday!

[wxman666]

Gene Norman seems extremely confident now....after being very conservative in past days. Hope he's right!

yup I enjoyed his forecast a lot, he is showing a lot of confidence and upped the totals

David Paul's forecast should be even more interesting tomorrow morning.

[srainhoutx]

Please take personal chit chat to private message.

[Ptarmigan]

I looked at Doppler radar and notice an area of rain in the Gulf of Mexico. It is barely visible.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=hgx

[txsnowmaker]

Normally about this time I would start wondering what the Canadian and Euro runs will show, but as others, including the esteemed wxman57 noted, it is time to forget about the models and watch what develops. Between NWS forecasts for area-wide accumulations, mets like Norman coming on strong, and good indications from water vapor imagery, I would say we are headed in a very positive direction.

[Mr. T]

Flex-

I'm not a pro-met, no professional rep on the line, I hope my pessimistic outlook busts huge. I want 4 inches of snow.

Just saying, so far, 0Z models are a buzzkill.

They look the same as they were at 12z when the NWS made their update

-Flexo

[cisa]

I have a prediction. I predict an 85-95 % chance that the next 48hrs will be fun for weather people like us. Stay warm and enjoy the ride.

[Ptarmigan]

From the statistical analysis I did, days that have 1 inch or more snow had average temperature barely above freezing.

[Ptarmigan]

Weather Related Closing and Delays
http://blogs.chron.com/newswatch/weather_closings/

[srainhoutx]

One more time. Please take personal chit chat to private message. Thank You...

[Rich]

Hey, I was wondering if you knew if there was a sort of list of the average temperature at the beginning of snow events in Houston?

Don't know about that, but I do remember quite a few snow events here and in south Louisiana over the past 50 years, and temps now and tomorrow will start out colder than in most of the events I've witnessed. Time for bed.

Here is average temperatures on the snow days. These are from +1" snow event.

Code: Select all

Date	High	Low	Average
02/14/95	28	25	26.5
02/15/95	33	24	28.5
01/10/06	39	33	36
12/21/29	33	27	30
12/22/29	38	24	31
01/22/40	37	21	29
01/30/49	28	18	23
02/12/60	49	30	39.5
01/11/73	33	25	29
02/09/73	38	30	34
02/10/73	52	22	37
02/17/73	45	33	39
02/18/73	54	35	44.5
02/02/80	42	32	37
12/22/89	34	13	23.5
12/24/04	37	31	34
12/10/08	43	32	37.5
12/09/09	46	31	38.5
Average	39.4	27.0	33.2
Median	38	28.5	34
Std. Dev	7.6	5.9	5.9

Average High
39.4

Median High
38

Standard Deviation
7.6

Average Low
27.0

Median Low
28.5

Standard Deviation
5.9

Average Temperature
33.2

Median Temperature
34

Standard Deviation
5.9

The Weather Museum was missing some snow event between 1895 to 1912.
http://www.wxresearch.com/snowhou.htm

Wow! Thanks for taking the time to look that up for me! Ptarmigan=Stat King

[Andrew]

Things are def starting to build. Moisture seems to be on the increase a lot more and faster than expected:

http://aviationweather.gov/adds/satelli ... g&itype=wv

[Andrew]

One more time. Please take personal chit chat to private message. Thank You...

Just frustration over high bust potential. 2 inches plus of snow and no school Friday, first two cases at any KHOU GTG are on me in gratitude.

There is always high bust potential in any forecast and even more for snow. That adds to the fun.

[unome]

I do like Unisys' sats

[Baseballdude2915]

Wow! Thanks for taking the time to look that up for me! Ptarmigan=Stat King

Look it up? Please, He has it memorized.