October 2015 - Severe Storms/Moderate Risk Excessive Rainfal

[unome]

now that's intense...

Himwari-8 Rapid Scan Floater Loop: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... eed_ms=100

[Paul Robison]

The mountains in Mexico should shred it up all the same, but I imagine stronger in still = stronger out.

You mean---a 150 mph hurricane in the gulf off the Galveston coast by Tuesday? Gulp!!!

[TexasBreeze]

Yeah right over your house....

[Paul Robison]

Yeah right over your house....

I wish I weren't here now.

[Rip76]

IP ban?

[Paul Robison]

IP ban?

Never mind. I'm concerned about the wind velocity in the area Tuesday and what the impacts are. Anyone know?

[Kludge]

IP ban?

It wouldn't do any good. It would just be replaced by the next ARIZONA or somesuch.

Best to just not respond and eventually it will figure it's blocked by all ... and either fade into trolling or go off to ruin another board.

[Paul Robison]

IP ban?

It wouldn't do any good. It would just be replaced by the next ARIZONA or somesuch.

Best to just not respond and eventually it will figure it's blocked by all ... and either fade into trolling or go off to ruin another board.

I'm not trolling. I'd just rather not see a rerun of the Memorial Day floods.

[Andrew]

Let's stay on topic everyone. We need to remember to provide good, reliable information. Patricia is now classifies as a Cat 5 in the Pacific.

[Ptarmigan]

Category 5 based on Dvorak intensity and only continuing to strengthen.

The East Pacific has been very active. They have 10 major hurricanes already, which is a record last set in 1992.

[Paul Robison]

Let's stay on topic everyone. We need to remember to provide good, reliable information. Patricia is now classifies as a Cat 5 in the Pacific.

What'll she become in the Gulf?

[Andrew]

Let's stay on topic everyone. We need to remember to provide good, reliable information. Patricia is now classifies as a Cat 5 in the Pacific.

What'll she become in the Gulf?

Just a rainmaker and higher than normal coastal waters. Rain and flooding will be the primary threat.

[Cromagnum]

I never said a cat 5 was going to be in the gulf. How could anyone even interpret what i said that way? I just meant the stronger it is before hitting Mexico, the further it has to weaken before popping out of the east side. Maybe TS stuff on the east side and a pile of rain.

[texoz]

Category 5 based on Dvorak intensity and only continuing to strengthen.

The East Pacific has been very active. They have 10 major hurricanes already, which is a record last set in 1992.

Yep, record heat in the Pacific Ocean is a big factor in this. El Nino is on its way to being strongest on record.

I sense that the Atlantic may have its turn in 2016.

[Andrew]

Latest GFS would be worst case scenario for SE Texas and the Houston area in particular. Shows the remnants of Patricia hugging the coast and a large band of heavy rain sets-up and tracks over the region.

[Paul Robison]

Latest GFS would be worst case scenario for SE Texas and the Houston area in particular. Shows the remnants of Patricia hugging the coast and a large band of heavy rain sets-up and tracks over the region.

I Disagree. It shows the heaviest rain tracking to the north of the Houston area. We'll get rained on, I'm sure, but not to the extent that say, Lufkin, or points northeast will.

[Paul Robison]

I never said a cat 5 was going to be in the gulf. How could anyone even interpret what i said that way? I just meant the stronger it is before hitting Mexico, the further it has to weaken before popping out of the east side. Maybe TS stuff on the east side and a pile of rain.

Pardon my drama, but is it possible the whole Houston metro may end up being cut off from the outside world due to flooded streets?

[Paul Robison]

Category 5 based on Dvorak intensity and only continuing to strengthen.

The East Pacific has been very active. They have 10 major hurricanes already, which is a record last set in 1992.

Yep, record heat in the Pacific Ocean is a big factor in this. El Nino is on its way to being strongest on record.

I sense that the Atlantic may have its turn in 2016.

And that means what for SE Texas?

[Andrew]

Latest GFS would be worst case scenario for SE Texas and the Houston area in particular. Shows the remnants of Patricia hugging the coast and a large band of heavy rain sets-up and tracks over the region.

I Disagree. It shows the heaviest rain tracking to the north of the Houston area. We'll get rained on, I'm sure, but not to the extent that say, Lufkin, or points northeast will.

This is Harris County that receives 10+ inches of rain. Doesn't make a difference either way.

[Andrew]

I never said a cat 5 was going to be in the gulf. How could anyone even interpret what i said that way? I just meant the stronger it is before hitting Mexico, the further it has to weaken before popping out of the east side. Maybe TS stuff on the east side and a pile of rain.

Pardon my drama, but is it possible the whole Houston metro may end up being cut off from the outside world due to flooded streets?

No