January 2021
- djmike
- Posts: 1837
- Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
- Location: BEAUMONT, TX
- Contact:
Woo hoo! NWSLC now forecasting Rain/Snow for Beaumont Sunday night! Im lovin this trend!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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Cpv17
- Posts: 6746
- Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
- Location: El Campo/Wharton
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18z Euro slight shift south. Has accumulating snow almost all the way down to the I-10 corridor now.
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TXWeatherMan
- Posts: 154
- Joined: Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:21 am
- Location: Lake Conroe, TX
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Kingwood36
- Posts: 1592
- Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
- Location: Freeport
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I 2nd that! Trends are looking good as it slowly continues south
- Ptarmigan
- Statistical Specialist

- Posts: 4394
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
- Contact:
Winter weather events are notoriously difficult to forecast.
- MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2630
- Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
- Location: Weimar, TX
- Contact:
I plotted the models the last few days versus where the storm is now. It’s west of where it was forecasted, which, I think, means a more southerly route.
Team #NeverSummer
- don
- Posts: 3095
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
- Location: Wichita Falls
- Contact:
0z NAM is coming in faster with the cold air advection.
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Kingwood36
- Posts: 1592
- Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
- Location: Freeport
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So what does that mean if it comes in faster? Better chance at snow here?..sorry for all the questions still learning lol
- don
- Posts: 3095
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
- Location: Wichita Falls
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Yes, as it increases the chances of cold enough air aloft for snow interacting with the moisture over the area before it moves out.
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Cpv17
- Posts: 6746
- Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
- Location: El Campo/Wharton
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- DoctorMu
- Posts: 7486
- Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
- Location: College Station
- Contact:
Hold my avatar.KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Fri Jan 08, 2021 5:03 pm Not often you see the HOUSTON forecast office use the word "heavy snow" and "convective snow banding." If the NAM model is correct, we could see a 2018 situation where the event gets underway and all of a sudden a Winter Storm Warning is issued for areas that aren't even currently under a watch.
Also unusual is the fact that the atmosphere will be sufficiently cold enough and deep enough to give us strictly a snow event with little to no sleet expected. I don't know about you but I'm very excited about this.
- DoctorMu
- Posts: 7486
- Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
- Location: College Station
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Digging down deep. More cold. More moisture.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 08, 2021 8:33 pm I plotted the models the last few days versus where the storm is now. It’s west of where it was forecasted, which, I think, means a more southerly route.
- DoctorMu
- Posts: 7486
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- Location: College Station
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- don
- Posts: 3095
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
- Location: Wichita Falls
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- DoctorMu
- Posts: 7486
- Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
- Location: College Station
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Kingwood36
- Posts: 1592
- Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
- Location: Freeport
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I'm really hope this makes it south if i-10...ill be happy with a flurry or 1 inch! 
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Cpv17
- Posts: 6746
- Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
- Location: El Campo/Wharton
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Shoot, I’d be happy with a dusting if I’m being completely honest.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 08, 2021 9:31 pm I'm really hope this makes it south if i-10...ill be happy with a flurry or 1 inch!![]()
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Kingwood36
- Posts: 1592
- Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
- Location: Freeport
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Honestly ill take frost on my roof at this pointCpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 08, 2021 9:33 pmShoot, I’d be happy with a dusting if I’m being completely honest.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 08, 2021 9:31 pm I'm really hope this makes it south if i-10...ill be happy with a flurry or 1 inch!![]()
- Rip76
- Posts: 2074
- Joined: Mon Feb 15, 2010 12:38 am
- Location: The Woodlands
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ArizonaAZMeador
- Posts: 36
- Joined: Fri Jan 08, 2021 4:56 pm
i dont know who the moderator was that disapproved my posts,but my posts had no links at all. i was talking about positivity for cold and snow. i posted no links to anything
