Portastorm wrote:Getting hammered (weather-wise, that is!) here in the Austin area. Numerous flash flood warnings out with heavy rain, lots of lightning ... making for an active late Sunday afternoon/early evening!
Was just about to ask you, Portastorm how the weather was there. Lightning and thundering bad here in San Marcos but no rain yet. A big storm popped up just about 1 mile west of here, and then moved on in a NW direction. So nothing here yet. Hope the line of storms can march a little bit more eastward!
HolyMoly wrote:I know most of you are weather loving people and would love to keep the same pattern going. But seriously, when will it dry out and turn hot again? I am one of those weird people who love sunshine and the ability to do things outdoors. Right now, my business is at a standstill and I know others are in the same boat.
When do the promets think the pattern will shift back to being summer?
Latest GFS indicates the rain is already moving out as the upper trof lifts out to our north and northwest. Only isolated stuff most of the coming week. HOWEVER, the 18Z GFS also indicates that the upper low/trof repositions itself right over SE TX again next weekend through about the middle of the following week.
MontgomeryCoWx wrote:I'd take rain and 75-80 degrees every day of the summer. This guy hates Summer unless I'm at the beach or lake. 90 degrees or hotter can kiss my a**!
Still looks like the upper low is moving out to the northwest and weakening. Rain chances a lot lower this week, but still a few daytime storms around.
JulesC wrote:Where is everybody? I always come here to get the real scoop on the weather and we have had several big weather days. Why has it been so quiet?
Julie
Quiet?? lol Now it's going to be quiet as we get into our typical summer pattern...hot, muggy, and a chance of an afternoon shower.
I'm closing in on 50" of rain for the year. Last year at this time I had around 7". Mowing my lawn every 4 days this summer vs. only 2 times all last summer.
There seems to be some disagreement between the medium range ECMWF and GFS. GFS wants to really dry out and heat up the area starting this weekend and lasting through next week, while the ECMWF seems to want to develop another "weakness" of sorts and brings in unsettled weather from the east in the eastern half of Texas. What do y'all think?
wxman57 wrote:I'm closing in on 50" of rain for the year. Last year at this time I had around 7". Mowing my lawn every 4 days this summer vs. only 2 times all last summer.
I haven't analyzed the numbers yet...but I have a feeling that there are some locations in SE Texas that will show 2011 to be the dryest year on record and 2012 to be the wettest. Amazing.
And though I've only had 24" so far, like you I'm on the tractor here at the ranch every 4-5 days, and was only on it twice last year.
It's almost like I never left. Storms are again firing across Western Harris County much as the pattern has been since last week. And like wxman57, my yard is a jungle. What a difference a year makes. A tad over 41 inches in my old rain bucket for the year in my backyard...
A picture from Americanwx Conference II with Jack Beven, Wes Junker, myself, Paul Kocin and Randy Legette (one of the board owners of Amwx)
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
...STRONG STORMS STRETCHING FROM SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY INTO NORTHERN
BRAZORIA COUNTY...
AT 430 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SITUATED ON A WESTWARD
MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM ROUGHLY THE WOODLANDS TO ADDICKS
TO SUGARLAND TO BRAZOS BEND STATE PARK. ISOLATED CELLS WITHIN
THE LINE ARE PULSING UP TO STRONG LEVELS AT TIMES AND SMALL
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...RAINFALL RATES UP
TO 2.5 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. THIS HEAVY RAIN OVER SATURATED
GROUNDS CAN LEAD TO FLOODING OF LOW LYINGS AREAS AND STREETS.
THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD BE SITUATED FROM ROUGHLY PRAIRIE VIEW TO VAN
VLECK TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PEAS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MISSION BEND...ROSENBERG...PECAN GROVE...KATY...RICHMOND...TOWN
WEST...BROOKSHIRE...NEEDVILLE...WALLER...PLEAK...FULSHEAR...
BEASLEY AND STAGECOACH.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
wxman57 wrote:I'm closing in on 50" of rain for the year. Last year at this time I had around 7". Mowing my lawn every 4 days this summer vs. only 2 times all last summer.
At this rate, we could have one of the wettest year on record.
While I know parts of Southeast Texas don't need another 20 inches of rain, us on the northeast side really didn't get all that much. GFS has become very insistent on drying us out and warming us up through the middle and longer ranges, really hoping that isn't quite the case.
Porter, Montgomery County did not get that much rain during this event. We got enough for the short term, but two or three days of hot and dry weather and we are in trouble again. However, it is better than nothing. It spared everything in the yard, lowered the water bill, and just felt nice for a change. Since we got nothing last summer, how can we complain?
While it appears a drying trend is in the offing, there are indications in the medium/long range ensembles and in some respect the operational guidance that heights will begin to fall and the Ridge weakens once again as we head toward next week. We will see.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Storms are again firing across Western Harris County much as the pattern has been since last week. And like wxman57, my yard is a jungle. What a difference a year makes. A tad over 41 inches in my old rain bucket for the year in my backyard...
