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Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 10:23 pm
by Stratton20
CPV17 gotcha! The NAM is the only meso model showing this right now, not sure how good the NAM is with wintry precip though
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 11:12 pm
by txsnowmaker
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 10:23 pm
CPV17 gotcha! The NAM is the only meso model showing this right now, not sure how good the NAM is with wintry precip though
Any time you get a short-term model, any model, showing snow in Houston it’s an eye-opener. Certainly something worth keeping an eye on.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 11:47 pm
by Stratton20
txsnowman interesting! Definitely didnt know that, I usually dont focus too much on the meso scale models
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 11:50 pm
by sambucol
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:32 pm
00z Nam 12k , what do yall think? Its only 84 hours out
What’s the date for snow on that run? Thanks
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 11:53 pm
by Stratton20
sambucol monday january 3rd! So definitely really close
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 9:55 am
by don
HGX now calling for lows in the 20s for many locations.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 1:13 pm
by Kingwood36
Euro coming along with next week's front
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 2:51 pm
by Stratton20
What a joke
another above normal map from NOAA
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 3:00 pm
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 31, 2021 2:51 pm
What a joke
another above normal map from NOAA
I really don’t put much stock into those forecast anymore.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 3:12 pm
by Stratton20
CPV17 I know, it seems like they arent taking into account what the GEFS and other ensembles are showing
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 8:59 pm
by DoctorMu
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 31, 2021 3:12 pm
CPV17 I know, it seems like they arent taking into account what the GEFS and other ensembles are showing
True, the GEPS and GEFS ensembles are selling some reinforcing cold on Thursday.
GFS has bought in on 18z.
Euro wants to place their bet as well.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 9:15 pm
by Stratton20
DoctorMu loving this trend for a reinforcing shot of arctic air, nothing better than sitting outside with a nice fire going and thise cold temps!
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 10:16 pm
by Kingwood36
Front is hauling *** lol
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 10:35 pm
by Cpv17
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 31, 2021 10:16 pm
Front is hauling *** lol
These fronts are very heavy. A heck of a lot of momentum is barreling down south so that explains why these types of fronts usually come in earlier than forecasted.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Sat Jan 01, 2022 10:00 am
by djmike
What time is the frontal passage expected today?
Re: January 2022
Posted: Sat Jan 01, 2022 10:12 am
by Cpv17
djmike wrote: ↑Sat Jan 01, 2022 10:00 am
What time is the frontal passage expected today?
If I had to make a guess, I’d say it should be passing through Beaumont anytime between 11pm-2am.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Sat Jan 01, 2022 10:35 am
by djmike
Thank you CPv. I dont know why I thought it was a lot sooner in the day. Happy New Year!!
Re: January 2022
Posted: Sat Jan 01, 2022 1:27 pm
by DoctorMu
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 31, 2021 10:35 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 31, 2021 10:16 pm
Front is hauling *** lol
These fronts are very heavy. A heck of a lot of momentum is barreling down south so that explains why these types of fronts usually come in earlier than forecasted.
53°F drop in CLL expected. lol
Re: January 2022
Posted: Sat Jan 01, 2022 1:31 pm
by DoctorMu
^I may take that back because of instability across northern LA, MS, AL, TN. Tornado watch just posted in Alabama. Active tornado warning in TN. Could be a long day for that mid-South again along the front.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Sat Jan 01, 2022 2:55 pm
by Cpv17
It may end up being a little colder tomorrow than currently forecasted. Also, wouldn’t be surprised to see a lot of wind chill readings in the teens.
