Re: December 2022
Posted: Sun Dec 11, 2022 6:13 pm
If that’s the worst case scenario I’d gladly take it after this misery!
If that’s the worst case scenario I’d gladly take it after this misery!
Yep. I’m just being impatient lol I’ve already told friends and my family about the potential because you won’t hear it from them for probably a few more days at least.
Wouldn't trust it this far outtxsnowmaker wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 6:19 pm How reliable is the GEFS 7 days out? Shows snow depth in Houston from next Sunday through next Wednesday.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.ph ... 118&fh=168
Since it’s an ensemble mean and not the operational it has some merit to it. I wouldn’t completely discount it. Ensembles are the way to go once you get past 4-5 days.txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 6:19 pm How reliable is the GEFS 7 days out? Shows snow depth in Houston from next Sunday through next Wednesday.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.ph ... 118&fh=168
57 is a Cajun? That explains a lot.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 11:51 amThe first few years I joined S2K, he really had me heated! Now I’m just like okay, whatever lolMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 11:45 amHe’s trolling the board full on right now. I’m getting a laugh out of it because almost no one took the bait. One did.
Yeah, a good time to buy any NG futures.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 12:51 pm I’m going to be taking some ITM BOIL options with a 12/16 expiration first thing tomorrow morning. I expect to make a quick buck on these.
Yes, he’s originally from Lafayette.DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 7:21 pm57 is a Cajun? That explains a lot.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 11:51 amThe first few years I joined S2K, he really had me heated! Now I’m just like okay, whatever lolMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 11:45 am
He’s trolling the board full on right now. I’m getting a laugh out of it because almost no one took the bait. One did.
Alaska and Greenland block.srainhoutx wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 2:20 pm The just Updated Day 11+ Super Ensembles
and Analogs have many memories of cold and some that brought wintry mischief across Texas and beyond.
CMC had it nailed.vci_guy2003 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 4:24 pm I remember 3-4 days before the Feb 2021 outbreak, the Euro said it was going to be 50s and sunny, and the GFS foretold the epic winter storm. Is this setup the same, or are the parameters for this outbreak more certain to happen?
I'd suspect icy.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 4:30 pmLooks like a more certain thing this time because there’s consensus among all the models that something is brewing but we just don’t know the severity of it yet. Might not be as bad as Feb 21 or it might be. Could even be like Dec 83 or 89. Don’t really know yet.vci_guy2003 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 4:24 pm I remember 3-4 days before the Feb 2021 outbreak, the Euro said it was going to be 50s and sunny, and the GFS foretold the epic winter storm. Is this setup the same, or are the parameters for this outbreak more certain to happen?
Just send him some Budweiser and etouffée - Budweiser uses rice in the brew for pale ale color. Coon asses are addicted to it. I used to live in Baton Rouge many years ago. They all cray-zee.
Haha The big hair era in America. Many would take 1989 or my avatar. Except I'd have to drive 50-60 miles to find the snow for a Christmas Even 2004 analog - the 2004 storm hopped over CLL from the Hill Country to the coast. 4-6 inches of snow that piled up in Galveston to Victoria and south.txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 7:50 pm A replay of this sure would be fun. It was more of a snow event than ice as I recall.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=3zHls2HP17o
Yes just goes to show how rare it is for everything to line up for snow around here.DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 7:57 pmHaha The big hair era in America. Many would take 1989 or my avatar. Except I'd have to drive 50-60 miles to find the snow for a Christmas Even 2004 analog - the 2004 storm hopped over CLL from the Hill Country to the coast. 4-6 inches of snow that piled up in Galveston to Victoria and south.txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 7:50 pm A replay of this sure would be fun. It was more of a snow event than ice as I recall.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=3zHls2HP17o
txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 8:03 pmYes just goes to show how rare it is for everything to line up for snow around here.DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 7:57 pmHaha The big hair era in America. Many would take 1989 or my avatar. Except I'd have to drive 50-60 miles to find the snow for a Christmas Even 2004 analog - the 2004 storm hopped over CLL from the Hill Country to the coast. 4-6 inches of snow that piled up in Galveston to Victoria and south.txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 7:50 pm A replay of this sure would be fun. It was more of a snow event than ice as I recall.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=3zHls2HP17o