January 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Iceresistance
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walsean1 wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 8:19 pm This is stupid that NWS Houston/Galveston are just Luke warm to in denial of the potential of wintry precipitation. They are South of us
Their forecast discussion is saying that there is too much uncertainty with the storm system
Kingwood36
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Iceresistance wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 8:40 pm
walsean1 wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 8:19 pm This is stupid that NWS Houston/Galveston are just Luke warm to in denial of the potential of wintry precipitation. They are South of us
Their forecast discussion is saying that there is too much uncertainty with the storm system
They won't Bite till maybe 36 or 24 hrs out at the earliest
txsnowmaker
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0z NAM run really concentrates things down near the valley. Still has some parts of Houston in the snow depth zone but it’s the lightest shade of gray.

It’s a weird run. Suggests continued frozen precip during the day on Friday in Houston when temps are supposed to be pushing and exceeding the 40s.

http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?pr ... hive=false
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don
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Yep,the 0Z NAM is a lot more reasonable than the 18Z run.
txsnowmaker
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don wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 9:02 pm Yep,the 0Z NAM is a lot more reasonable than the 18Z run.
Can you explain the run’s suggestion that we keep getting frozen precip as we progress throughout Friday when temps should be well above freezing?
Kingwood36
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txsnowmaker wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 8:57 pm 0z NAM run really concentrates things down near the valley. Still has some parts of Houston in the snow depth zone but it’s the lightest shade of gray.

It’s a weird run. Suggests continued frozen precip during the day on Friday in Houston when temps are supposed to be pushing and exceeding the 40s.

http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?pr ... hive=false
It can snow when it's 37 or 38 degrees doesn't have to be 32 down where we are
txsnowmaker
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Kingwood36 wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 9:04 pm
txsnowmaker wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 8:57 pm 0z NAM run really concentrates things down near the valley. Still has some parts of Houston in the snow depth zone but it’s the lightest shade of gray.

It’s a weird run. Suggests continued frozen precip during the day on Friday in Houston when temps are supposed to be pushing and exceeding the 40s.

http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?pr ... hive=false
It can snow when it's 37 or 38 degrees lol doesn't have to be 32 down where we are
Yes but doesn’t that usually happen with a cold core upper low with deep, deep cold vs the shallow arctic air mass that’s been described with this particular system?
Stratton20
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00z NAM is consistent on a winter storm thursday night- friday morning
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Kingwood36
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I find this funny lol..poor NAM..nobody trust him😂
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Texashawk
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FWIW, Fox 26 lead with the possibility of winter weather, and Dr. Jim seems somewhat bullish about it!
Kingwood36
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Ppl still watch fox 26?
walsean1
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 9:06 pm 00z NAM is consistent on a winter storm thursday night- friday morning
That is a serious Ice Storm if it happens
Stratton20
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walsean1 sleet and ice, definitely would be rough, considering we are 60 hours from this potential event we should be confident by tommorow on whats going to happen
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jasons2k
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Kingwood36 wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 9:29 pm Ppl still watch fox 26?
When you got kids and have an early bedtime during the week - yeah the 9:00 news is pretty appealing.

Anyway, he didn’t get too excited about it. He said some pockets of light, mixed precipitation but “no snow storm” for the Houston area.
walsean1
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Jeff Linder, less bullish on winter precipitation, David Paul, somewhat bullish on winter precipitation, NWS Corpus Christi, More Bullish on winter precipitation which is south of the Hou/Gal. We will see what happens with models and forecast by Wednesday evening
txsnowmaker
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jasons2k wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 10:00 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 9:29 pm Ppl still watch fox 26?
When you got kids and have an early bedtime during the week - yeah the 9:00 news is pretty appealing.

Anyway, he didn’t get too excited about it. He said some pockets of light, mixed precipitation but “no snow storm” for the Houston area.
Thankfully he’s been wrong before. By the way, you can also watch channel 13 news at 9 on channel 39.
Kingwood36
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I don't think anyone was predicting a snow storm anyway
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jasons2k
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txsnowmaker wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 10:04 pm
jasons2k wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 10:00 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 9:29 pm Ppl still watch fox 26?
When you got kids and have an early bedtime during the week - yeah the 9:00 news is pretty appealing.

Anyway, he didn’t get too excited about it. He said some pockets of light, mixed precipitation but “no snow storm” for the Houston area.
Thankfully he’s been wrong before. By the way, you can also watch channel 13 news at 9 on channel 39.
I didn’t know they ran 13 on 39. Thanks for the tip!
txsnowmaker
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jasons2k wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 10:12 pm
txsnowmaker wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 10:04 pm
jasons2k wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 10:00 pm

When you got kids and have an early bedtime during the week - yeah the 9:00 news is pretty appealing.

Anyway, he didn’t get too excited about it. He said some pockets of light, mixed precipitation but “no snow storm” for the Houston area.
Thankfully he’s been wrong before. By the way, you can also watch channel 13 news at 9 on channel 39.
I didn’t know they ran 13 on 39. Thanks for the tip!
You bet, they’re still on now. It runs for a full hour from 9 to 10.
txsnowmaker
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0z GFS keeps Houston on the snow depth map, and David Paul just now saying Thursday night brings “at least a chance for some snow flakes.”

http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?pr ... hive=false
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