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Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:21 pm
by don
The ICON shows wintry precip as early as Saturday and Valentines day.Then on Presidents Day it has a major ice storm over southeast Texas.
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:29 pm
by DoctorMu
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 9:54 pm
txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 9:53 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 9:47 pm
0z ICON is colder than the previous 12z run and it has a significant winter storm across the state on Monday.
Do you have a link and/or can you expand on what it shows for Houston?
Here is the temps so far
That would tie our all-time record.
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:30 pm
by don
0Z GFS , that's a potent winter storm...
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:33 pm
by Andrew
00Z GFS goes absolutely crazy Monday night with the upper-level flow and having cold air stream south very quickly from the northeast. I remain skeptical but we will see.
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:33 pm
by DoctorMu
ummmmmmm.... 0z GFS
Better not be ice. Gonna need generators...
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:34 pm
by Kingwood36
don wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:30 pm
0Z GFS , that's a potent winter storm...
Holly hell🥶
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:40 pm
by DoctorMu
Andrew wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:33 pm
00Z GFS goes absolutely crazy Monday night with the upper-level flow and having cold air stream south very quickly from the northeast. I remain skeptical but we will see.
Low of -2°F. 9 inches of snow in CLL
Off the deep end. Almost Day after Tomorrow stuff for SE Texas.
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:42 pm
by Kingwood36
There is no way these runs can verify....
No way....
But...could they?
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:49 pm
by Kingwood36
Blake just twitted he's growing more concerned about a MAJOR winter storm here monday
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:59 pm
by Ptarmigan
If the forecast model did hold up, it would be like February 1899.
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:02 pm
by Cpv17
0z CMC looks just like the other models.
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:04 pm
by Kingwood36
This is unreal
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:07 pm
by don
Yep models are starting to get a consensus,lets see if the Euro gets onboard now.
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:17 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
Somebody wake me up
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:18 pm
by Belmer
00z Icon, Canadian and GFS are just absolutely bonkers. Talk about consistency in the short-medium range with such extreme temps/snow/ice. Heck, CMC says let's keep the party going into next Wednesday and Thursday. I know the idea of this may be exciting for those who like to see the extremes, but this has the potential to cause some major damage not only across the state but the country. Billions of dollars in damage.
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:20 pm
by TexasMetBlake
This is quickly becoming very concerning and a major disaster. I've never in my career seen models forecast this type of cold here, ever. I was too young to remember 1989 but this goes beyond 1989. This is more along the lines of 1899 or worse. I'm very concerned about the potential for a prolonged sub-freezing stretch with single digits and teens. 1930 holds the all-time low of 5. Do we challenge that? It's possible I suppose if we have an abundance of ice and snow on the ground and skies clear. Mercy.
Take a deep breath y'all. This is unbelievable. Truly, unbelievable.
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:32 pm
by Ptarmigan
KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:20 pm
This is quickly becoming very concerning and a major disaster. I've never in my career seen models forecast this type of cold here, ever. I was too young to remember 1989 but this goes beyond 1989. This is more along the lines of 1899 or worse. I'm very concerned about the potential for a prolonged sub-freezing stretch with single digits and teens. 1930 holds the all-time low of 5. Do we challenge that? It's possible I suppose if we have an abundance of ice and snow on the ground and skies clear. Mercy.
Take a deep breath y'all. This is unbelievable. Truly, unbelievable.
I am thinking February 1895 and February 1899.
February 1895 had 20 inches of snow. February 1899 was an epic freeze.
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:34 pm
by art3
WOW. Ive was born and raised in Houston-and still live here. I recall 1989 vividly. It was like 9 degrees and must have been couple of inches of ice outside. But this...looks worse-Im concerned about tree limbs etc around the house...power etc
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:50 pm
by TexasMetBlake
Here's a look at the raw GFS output for IAH. Highs in the 20s and a low of 9 degrees. Not quite 1989 but darn close.
Re: February 2021
Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:51 pm
by Cpv17
The UKMET is onboard as well folks!
