ENSO Updates

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 have warmed. Region 3.4 is the same. Region 4 has cooled.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 remains the same. All other regions cooled.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. All other regions warmed.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.3ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 remains the same. Region 3 and 3.4 has cooled.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.1ºC
Niño 3 0.0ºC
Niño 1+2 0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 cooled.
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srainhoutx
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Modoki El Nino is looking more and more likely this winter... ;)
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
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Ptarmigan
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srainhoutx wrote:Modoki El Nino is looking more and more likely this winter... ;)
Let's see. The last time we had a Modoki El Nino was 2009-2010. The previous winter of 2008-2009 was a weak La Nina. Last winter was also a weak La Nina and was back to back with 2016-2017, like 2007-2008. Winter of 2009-2010 is one of the coldest winter. This suggests a cold winter is possible. 8-)
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 cooled. Region 3.4 and 4 warmed.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed up.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Here comes the Nino
Team #NeverSummer
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled except for Region 4, which is the same from last week.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. All other regions warmed up.
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Ptarmigan
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Posts: 4162
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 warmed. Region 3.4 remains the same. Region 4 cooled.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 cooled. Region 3.4 and 4 remains the same.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.6ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. The rest have warmed.
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Ptarmigan
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Ben Noll

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The latest CanSIPS guidance shows #ElNiño peaking in Jan-Feb 2019, so a little later than the climatological norm.

Looks like a full-basin event -- the whole North Pacific is toasty.
Image

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/stat ... 4696954880

The North Pacific is warm. The area around Gulf Of Alaska is warm as well. Not expecting it to be on the level of 2013-2014, which contributed to numerous cold blasts as there is ridging over Alaska from the East Pacific Oscillation (EPO).
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.7ºC
Niño 3 0.7ºC
Niño 1+2 0.7ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed up.

El Nino is looking more likely.
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Ptarmigan
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Posts: 4162
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.7ºC
Niño 1+2 0.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3.4 cooled. Region 3 is the same, while Region 4 warmed.
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Ptarmigan
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Posts: 4162
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.9ºC
Niño 3 1.0ºC
Niño 1+2 0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 and 3.4 warmed. Region 4 remains the same. El Nino is starting to develop.
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