ENSO Updates

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 have warmed. Region 3.4 is the same. Region 4 has cooled.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 remains the same. All other regions cooled.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. All other regions warmed.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.3ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 remains the same. Region 3 and 3.4 has cooled.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.1ºC
Niño 3 0.0ºC
Niño 1+2 0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 cooled.

[srainhoutx]

Modoki El Nino is looking more and more likely this winter...

[Ptarmigan]

Modoki El Nino is looking more and more likely this winter...

Let's see. The last time we had a Modoki El Nino was 2009-2010. The previous winter of 2008-2009 was a weak La Nina. Last winter was also a weak La Nina and was back to back with 2016-2017, like 2007-2008. Winter of 2009-2010 is one of the coldest winter. This suggests a cold winter is possible.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 cooled. Region 3.4 and 4 warmed.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed up.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Here comes the Nino

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled except for Region 4, which is the same from last week.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. All other regions warmed up.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 warmed. Region 3.4 remains the same. Region 4 cooled.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 cooled. Region 3.4 and 4 remains the same.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.6ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. The rest have warmed.

[Ptarmigan]

Ben Noll
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Verified account

@BenNollWeather
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The latest CanSIPS guidance shows #ElNiño peaking in Jan-Feb 2019, so a little later than the climatological norm.

Looks like a full-basin event -- the whole North Pacific is toasty.

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/stat ... 4696954880

The North Pacific is warm. The area around Gulf Of Alaska is warm as well. Not expecting it to be on the level of 2013-2014, which contributed to numerous cold blasts as there is ridging over Alaska from the East Pacific Oscillation (EPO).

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.7ºC
Niño 3 0.7ºC
Niño 1+2 0.7ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed up.

El Nino is looking more likely.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.7ºC
Niño 1+2 0.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3.4 cooled. Region 3 is the same, while Region 4 warmed.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.9ºC
Niño 3 1.0ºC
Niño 1+2 0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 and 3.4 warmed. Region 4 remains the same. El Nino is starting to develop.