April 2015: Pleasant Weather To End April

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
BlueJay
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Victoria surely needs the rain. I wonder if the Guadalupe has overflowed Riverside Park yet?
Stay safe Victorians!
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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
941 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

BRAZORIA TX-GALVESTON TX-HARRIS TX-MATAGORDA TX-WHARTON TX-
FORT BEND TX-
941 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BRAZORIA...EAST CENTRAL
WHARTON...SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS...GALVESTON...SOUTHEASTERN FORT BEND
AND NORTHEASTERN MATAGORDA COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM CDT...

AT 941 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
LAKE JACKSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOUTHERN PASADENA...PEARLAND...LEAGUE CITY...GALVESTON CAUSEWAY...
GALVESTON ISLAND WEST END...GALVESTON ISLAND EAST END...TEXAS CITY...
FRIENDSWOOD...LAKE JACKSON...ALVIN...ANGLETON...DICKINSON...LA
MARQUE...SANTA FE...FREEPORT...SOUTHWESTERN SEABROOK...CLUTE...
WEBSTER...HITCHCOCK AND MANVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Rip76
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Looks like this storm complex may just miss Pearland to the south - we shall see.
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srainhoutx
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Eagle Point on Galveston Bay gusted to 55 MPH at 10:10 AM CDT. The Special Marine Warning for Galveston Bay continues.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1022 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

TXZ213-214-238-141615-
GALVESTON TX-HARRIS TX-CHAMBERS TX-
1022 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS...NORTHERN
GALVESTON AND SOUTHWESTERN CHAMBERS COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 AM CDT...

AT 1021 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR SMITH POINT...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF BEACH CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BEACH CITY...KEMAH BOARDWALK AND BACLIFF.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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unome
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1025 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

TXZ200-214-238-141600-
GALVESTON TX-LIBERTY TX-CHAMBERS TX-
1025 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LIBERTY...
NORTHEASTERN GALVESTON AND CHAMBERS COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 AM CDT...

AT 1025 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER SMITH POINT...OR 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BEACH CITY...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BEACH CITY...ANAHUAC...BOLIVAR PENINSULA...CRYSTAL BEACH...SMITH
POINT...HANKAMER AND OAK ISLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2952 9449 2952 9450 2953 9449 2954 9447
2955 9447 2954 9451 2951 9451 2939 9474
2955 9479 2961 9471 2975 9469 2979 9474
2970 9487 2976 9489 2992 9453 2972 9436
2959 9435
TIME...MOT...LOC 1525Z 226DEG 42KT 2953 9473

$$
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srainhoutx
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For our neighbors and followers across Louisiana, Mississippi and Southern Alabama:

SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/14/15 1456Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1415Z HEEPS
.
LOCATION...SRN MISSISSIPPI...SRN LOUISIANA...
.
ATTN WFOS...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...SATELLITE FEATURES FOR HEAVY RAIN EVENT
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION OCCURRING
ACROSS MUCH OF SRN LA OVER THE PAST FEW HRS AS WELL AS A RELATIVELY
ORGANIZED LINE SHIFTING NORTHWARD JUST ALONG THE GULF COASTLINE FROM THE
CENT TX COAST TO THE NE ALONG THE SWRN LA COAST AND MOVING ONSHORE IN CENT
LA WITHIN A LOW LVL CONVERGENT ZONE . WV/IR IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS MCS THAT
WAS SEEN IN THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO EARLIER THIS MORNING MOVING TO THE NNE
AND APPEARING TO MAKE ITS WAY TOWARDS S CENT/SERN LA. LATEST GPSPWS DATA
INDICATES PW VALUES BETWEEN NEAR 1.6-1.8" WHICH IS 2 STD DEV ABOVE NORMAL
AND LIX 14/12Z RAOB WITH 1.88" PW COMES IN AS A DAILY MAX. THIS ALONG
WITH SRLY LOW LVL FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE INCREASED MOISTURE FLUX ALONG
COAST LEADING TO EFFICIENT RAINFALL PROCESSES. SPC MESOANALYSIS ALSO
INDICATES 1000-1500 J/KG SBCAPE WHICH MUCH HIGHER VALUES JUST OFFSHORE
SO SRLY LOW LVL FLOW WOULD INCREASE INSTABILITY AS WELL...THOUGH BEST
INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY OFFSHORE OF FAR SERN LA.
.
IMAGINE THAT THE BIGGEST AREA OF CONCERN WOULD REMAIN IN SERN LA/SRN
MS WHERE CONVECTION HAS BEEN ONGOING FOR LAST FEW HRS...WHICH HAS
BEEN NOTED WITH RECENTLY ISSUED FF WARNINGS IN THE AREA. CONVECTION
SHOULD CONTINUE FOR NEXT FEW HRS IN SERN LA AS WELL AS INCREASE ACROSS
THE REST OF S CENT/SWRN LA AS LINE OF CONVECTION MOVES OVER THE LA
COASTLINE. AS MCS APPROACHES SRN LA ANTICIPATE INCREASED FORCING FOR
ASCENT AND POSSIBLY UPTICK IN RAINFALL RATES IN AN ALREADY INCREDIBLY
MOIST ENVIRONMENT. LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD ALSO INCREASE
AS UL JET MAX OVER THE REGION SLIDES TO THE NE...PLACING SRN LA IN RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF JET. THIS LINE OF THINKING IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
WPC MPD ISSUED A FEW HRS EARLIER AT 12Z. MUCH OF SRN LA APPEARS TO BE
IN DIFFLUENT THICKNESS REGION AS WELL...LEADING TO SLOW MOVING CELLS
TRANSLATING SW-NE. THIS COULD MEAN EVEN AREAS FARTHER BACK IN S CENT/WRN
LA COULD EXPERIENCE SLOW MOVING AND EFFICIENT CONVECTION.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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unome
Posts: 3059
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pier 23 cam/video must have better equipment, their resolution is awesome

http://www.galveston.com/pier23cam/

http://www.galveston.com/pier23videocam/
unome
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1034 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

TXZ213-227-237-238-141615-
BRAZORIA TX-HARRIS TX-GALVESTON TX-HARRIS TX-FORT BEND TX-
1034 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BRAZORIA...
SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS...NORTHWESTERN GALVESTON AND EAST CENTRAL FORT
BEND COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 AM CDT...

AT 1033 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER NORTHWESTERN PEARLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PASADENA...PEARLAND...LEAGUE CITY...MISSOURI CITY...TEXAS CITY...
FRIENDSWOOD...LA PORTE...DEER PARK...LAKE JACKSON...ALVIN...
ANGLETON...DICKINSON...STAFFORD...SOUTH HOUSTON...LA MARQUE...SANTA
FE...SEABROOK...GALENA PARK...JACINTO CITY AND WEBSTER.

LAT...LON 2903 9549 2962 9556 2983 9514 2979 9509
2976 9510 2976 9508 2975 9505 2970 9505
2973 9503 2970 9503 2972 9502 2964 9502
2960 9498 2954 9501 2950 9492
TIME...MOT...LOC 1533Z 233DEG 21KT 2958 9542

$$
BlueJay
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Currently we are experiencing rumblings of thunder and very dark cloudy skies.
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djmike
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About to get hammered here in Beaumont. Lightning everywhere and the intense dark green clouds.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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srainhoutx
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FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1056 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

IBERIA LA-VERMILION LA-ST. MARY LA-ST. MARTIN LA-LAFAYETTE LA-
1056 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT FOR
IBERIA...EAST CENTRAL VERMILION...NORTHWESTERN ST. MARY...CENTRAL ST.
MARTIN AND SOUTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE PARISHES...

AT 1050 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN HAS ALREADY
FALLEN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS AT TIMES.
RADAR AND RAIN GAUGE ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN
HAVE FALLEN IN THE PAST FEW HOURS. FLASH FLOODING HAS ALREADY BEEN
REPORTED IN NEW IBERIA AND FRANKLIN WITH NUMEROUS VEHICLES REPORTED
STALLED IN FLOOD WATERS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON WITH AN ADDITONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LAFAYETTE...NEW IBERIA...ABBEVILLE...CATAHOULA...BREAUX BRIDGE...
FRANKLIN...ST. MARTINVILLE...JEANERETTE...CYPREMORT POINT...AVERY
ISLAND...YOUNGSVILLE...BALDWIN...ERATH...DELCAMBRE...LOREAUVILLE...
CHARENTON...COTE BLANCHE ISLAND...COTEAU...ACADIANA REGIONAL AIRPORT
AND HENRY.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1106 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

JEFFERSON DAVIS-CALCASIEU-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-ACADIA-EVANGELINE-SOUTHERN
JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-TYLER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-ORANGE-NORTHERN
JASPER-JEFFERSON-HARDIN-
1106 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING TO IMPACT SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

AT 1105 AM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR WELSH TO NEAR CHINA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BEAUMONT...LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...LUMBERTON...VIDOR...OAKDALE...
SILSBEE...WESTLAKE...MAMOU...VINTON...KINDER...KOUNTZE...BASILE...
SOUR LAKE...OBERLIN...ELTON...FENTON...REEVES...DEWEYVILLE AND DRY
CREEK.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1111 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

CALCASIEU LA-JEFFERSON DAVIS LA-
1111 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CALCASIEU PARISH IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 115 PM CDT

* AT 1108 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING INTENSE RAINFALL RATES AT TIMES. THIS WILL
CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. OVERFLOWING POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF NORMAL FLOOD PRONE ROADS IN
THE ADVISORY AREA. AT THIS TIME THE STORM MOVEMENT WILL LIMIT THE
FLOODING TO MAINLY URBAN ROADS. IF THE BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN
TO TRAIN OVER THESE AREAS A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...WESTLAKE...WELSH...IOWA...LAKE CHARLES
REGIONAL AIRPORT...CARLYSS.

Image
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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ticka1
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Is this the last of the rain for today and tonight? Looks like after this system moves through things will clear out.
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srainhoutx
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ticka1 wrote:Is this the last of the rain for today and tonight? Looks like after this system moves through things will clear out.

This will probably be the end for the heavy rainfall and strong storm threat for today once we get this mesoscale convective system out of our hair in SE Texas. Storms continue to fire across S Texas and we may see some strong storm fire again later this afternoon across the Sierra Madre Mountains of Mexico as additional embedded disturbances ride out of the Eastern Pacific and cross Mexico. Upstream, we can already see the next upper level low carving out a trough across the Western United States and that will be the next weather maker across Texas extending E into Louisiana, Mississippi and the rest of NE Gulf Coast Thursday into at least Friday night/early Saturday.

Image
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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BlueJay
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The rain gauge shows 0.00 inches today for us. Is anyone in Montgomery County getting rain?
BlueJay
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:oops: Doh! I spoke to soon. Now we are getting some rain!
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srainhoutx
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The 12Z GFS suggest the next chance of rain may begin on Thursday increasing in areal coverage as the next upper trough and embedded disturbances begin to trek NE across Mexico once again. The GFS is suggesting strong to possibly severe storms developing once again Thursday night into Friday before a strong front pushes across Texas. If the GFS is correct, it looks like a NW headwind may be ahead for those participating in the MS 150 this weekend. We will see.
04142015 12Z GFS f60.gif
04142015 12Z GFS f66.gif
04142015 12Z GFS f72.gif
04142015 12Z GFS f78.gif
04142015 12Z GFS f84.gif
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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