Re: October 2022
Posted: Thu Oct 06, 2022 11:51 am
Looks like the GFS wants to take 91L’s circulation into the BOC and trap it there, that could help to send additional moisture towards the texas coast next week though
You’ll get your front eventually lolStratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 08, 2022 1:59 pm Models have backed off significantly on the front, don’t expect much, typical but not surprising, though some moisture from JULIA gets into the BOC and tries to redevelop somewhat, heads towards upper texas coast or Louisiana on the latest euro
It's back on GFS 12z.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 08, 2022 1:59 pm Models have backed off significantly on the front, don’t expect much, typical but not surprising, though some moisture from JULIA gets into the BOC and tries to redevelop somewhat, heads towards upper texas coast or Louisiana on the latest euro
Weather apps work ok for me. They just go by what the models are saying. NWS has blown several forecasts too and often change too just like weather apps. I can go on tropical tidbits and use a blend of models to make my own forecast. That’s what I do lots of times and sometimes I watch the news channels but the absolute worst one to watch is Fox especially if it’s Dr. Jim.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 09, 2022 3:42 pm JDsGN I wouldnt put a whole lot of stock into weather apps, they change everything minute lol, I use the NWS , CPC and tropical tidbits for useful guidance, the pattern ahead looks to favor below normal temps for the central and eastern US
That would be nice as long as the cooler temps and lower humidity don’t make me sick like it sometimes does lolStratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 09, 2022 4:04 pm Cpv17 I have to agree Dr. Jim is pretty bad, ive seen some of his forecasts and I just laugh at how bad they bust sometimes, hopefully this pattern change comes to fruition, the 12z Euro is very bullish on the front late this upcoming weekend, highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s
I’m pretty sure the weather channel ap just bases the forecast on a model that uses the GFS as a basis as it changes every model run. I don’t put a lot of stock into it but it’s easy to notice the trend and right now it looks warmer and drier for next week and weekend.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 09, 2022 3:42 pm JDsGN I wouldnt put a whole lot of stock into weather apps, they change everything minute lol, I use the NWS , CPC and tropical tidbits for useful guidance, the pattern ahead looks to favor below normal temps for the central and eastern US