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Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 5:28 pm
by wxdata
Updated rain/snow transition line (as of 5pm)

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 5:30 pm
by wxman57
18Z GFS does forecast changeover to snow in Waco should be occurring now. Checked IAH and it forecasts temps aloft to drop below freezing just as precip ends between 3am-6am tomorrow. Typical of down here. Cold air flows in aloft after the low passes, but moisture shuts off then, too. I won't rule out a stray snowflake between midnight and 6am, but you'd better look fast because once the flakes hit the ground they'll melt.

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 5:35 pm
by weatherguy425
if profiles are cold enough to supprt a rain/snow mix as precip shuts off would soundings be able to support a rain/sleet mix a little sooner?

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 5:40 pm
by tireman4
wxman57 wrote:18Z GFS does forecast changeover to snow in Waco should be occurring now. Checked IAH and it forecasts temps aloft to drop below freezing just as precip ends between 3am-6am tomorrow. Typical of down here. Cold air flows in aloft after the low passes, but moisture shuts off then, too. I won't rule out a stray snowflake between midnight and 6am, but you'd better look fast because once the flakes hit the ground they'll melt.

But you never know, right?

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 6:00 pm
by srainhoutx

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 6:02 pm
by Mr. T
Winds are turning to the north, and as that occurs, the surge of colder temps begins... It is now 33 degrees in Waco and snowing. The cold air will continue surging southward and the Bryan/CLL area will change to snow later on tonight

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 6:08 pm
by randybpt
Im sitting at 34 at 6 pm, just makes me wonder, just 2 degrees to drop for ice to start forming on power lines, trees( WHATS LEFT OF MY TREES), Is it me are or really close

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 6:22 pm
by srainhoutx
CLL will be worth watching...37 DP 33 and falling NNE winds now...

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 6:23 pm
by sleetstorm
Snow is currently falling in Austin right now if anyone cares.

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 6:24 pm
by wxdata
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
612 PM CST THU FEB 11 2010

...SNOW EVENT ONE FOR THE RECORD BOOKS...

AT 6 PM...DFW AIRPORT HAD RECORDED 7.3 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY. THIS
BREAKS THE PREVIOUS DAILY RECORD FOR FEBRUARY 11 OF 1.4 INCHES SET
IN 1988.

THE 24-HOUR SNOWFALL RECORD FOR FEBRUARY IS 7.5 INCHES...SET ON
FEBRUARY 17, 1978 AND FEBRUARY 25, 1924. TODAY IS THE HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL AT DFW AIRPORT SINCE FEBRUARY 17, 1978.

THIS BRINGS THE SEASONAL SNOWFALL TOTAL TO 10.5 INCHES...WHICH IS
THE 4TH HIGHEST SEASONAL TOTAL ON RECORD FOR DALLAS/FORT WORTH. THIS
IS THE SNOWIEST WINTER IN 32 SEASONS (SINCE 1977-1978).

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 6:25 pm
by Mr. T
Still more snow to come for Dallas. They'll get that 0.2" needed to break the February record.

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 6:26 pm
by Portastorm
sleetstorm wrote:Snow is currently falling in Austin right now if anyone cares.
Uh ... not quite. There are some reports of a rain/sleet/snow mush falling in north Austin. I'm in SW Austin and its only cold rain right now.

But yes we had some very bright radar returns just move through the metro area. Radar thinning out quickly to our west. That's probably the end of it.

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 6:43 pm
by Mr. T
Top 5 snowiest winter seasons in Dallas:

17.6" 1977-1978
15.3" 1963-1964
13.5" 1923-1924
10.5" 2009-2010 (so far)
10.4" 1976-1977

These are the only five winter seasons that (officially) Dallas has recieved 10" of snow in a season. Records begin in 1898.

Here's a fun fact to share with the kids:
During the 1990s, DFW officially recorded 3.9" of snow for the entire decade. The 2000s were more generous, with 14" of snow recorded through the 2008-2009 season.

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 7:02 pm
by swmmom
So can I start getting really excited now for Bryan TX snow?


swmmom of future 2016 Olympian

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 7:03 pm
by Andrew
So I will post the same thing that someone else posted on Storm2k:

" How bout that global warming?"

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 7:04 pm
by wxman57
tireman4 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:18Z GFS does forecast changeover to snow in Waco should be occurring now. Checked IAH and it forecasts temps aloft to drop below freezing just as precip ends between 3am-6am tomorrow. Typical of down here. Cold air flows in aloft after the low passes, but moisture shuts off then, too. I won't rule out a stray snowflake between midnight and 6am, but you'd better look fast because once the flakes hit the ground they'll melt.

But you never know, right?
Sometimes I know. Never say never. ;-)

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 7:06 pm
by Poltracker
Mr. T wrote:Top 5 snowiest winter seasons in Dallas:

17.6" 1977-1978
15.3" 1963-1964
13.5" 1923-1924
10.5" 2009-2010 (so far)
10.4" 1976-1977

These are the only five winter seasons that (officially) Dallas has recieved 10" of snow in a season. Records begin in 1898.

Here's a fun fact to share with the kids:
During the 1990s, DFW officially recorded 3.9" of snow for the entire decade. The 2000s were more generous, with 14" of snow recorded through the 2008-2009 season.
I remember that 1978 snow. Was in Tyler visiting Grandpa in hospital when it started. Took us forever to get back to Marshall as the visibility was so bad and I-20 was in poor shape. Our house was out in the boonies and we had to make our own track through the snow to get home. Next day was pretty exciting for us kids.

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 7:12 pm
by Mr. T
Andrew wrote:So I will post the same thing that someone else posted on Storm2k:

" How bout that global warming?"
Seattle and Portland had their warmest January's on record by far, beating the previous records by a good degree or two.

Just putting things in perspective ;) . Where it's unusually cold, it is likely unusually warm somewhere else. Localized events should not be used in the debate for or against global warming. Long term trends are much more important. For the record, I'm against the doom and gloom human induced global warming idea.

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 7:18 pm
by srainhoutx
Image

Re: Cold weather has arrived with cold rain on the way...

Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2010 7:27 pm
by randybpt
looks like the rain shield is moving out much sooner then expected, don't think we will see much rain after 11 pm unless some more develops to our west which is unlikley