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Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:23 am
by jerryh421
Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:17 am Icon shows a hell of a storm but nothing down by us...maybe I'm looking at it wrong
No snow on the Icon, but definitely ice with temps in the 20s.

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:23 am
by TexasBreeze
Yep that is freezing rain written all over it, a bunch of it.

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:24 am
by don
12z GFS and ICON remaining consistent on a major ice storm on Presidents day.

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:31 am
by TexasBreeze
Consistent on the low teens and single digits temps too. Both models are incredible!

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:31 am
by srainhoutx
The 12Z GFS continues to advertise near record breaking cold early Tuesday morning.

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:32 am
by jerryh421
The GFS should score major points if this happens. Its been VERY persistent.

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:35 am
by Kingwood36
Imagine the pain it would cause if the gfs didn't verify and busted

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:42 am
by Kingwood36
Whata this is hear about another storm on thursday?

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:47 am
by TexasBreeze
That Thursday system will need watched too. As a forecaster what do you do at this point in time seeing these lows and storms? Stay conservative and leave some wriggle room for adjustment? Maybe give some warning for prep work? Difficult to forecast such extremes!

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:55 am
by don
The 12z CMC is also more aggressive with Mondays storm.

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:56 am
by Rip76
srainhoutx wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:31 am The 12Z GFS continues to advertise near record breaking cold early Tuesday morning.
These are not wind chill numbers I take it.

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:58 am
by MontgomeryCoWx
Rip76 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:56 am
srainhoutx wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:31 am The 12Z GFS continues to advertise near record breaking cold early Tuesday morning.
These are not wind chill numbers I take it.
No, -10 to -20 wind chills

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:13 am
by djmike
Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:42 am Whata this is hear about another storm on thursday?
I just saw that too! That came from nowhere! Oh my!

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:17 am
by jerryh421
djmike wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:13 am
Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:42 am Whata this is hear about another storm on thursday?
I just saw that too! That came from nowhere! Oh my!
Two runs in a row now showing the second storm. Canadian has it too, but further north.

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:23 am
by txbear
The temps we're seeing on the GFS/ICON/CMC are absolutely nuts. That's another level of cold that is usually reserved for our friends on the Caprock, and on up into the flyover states. Heck,even this type of freezer box and duration are something else for the Panhandle folks where the elevations are >3,000 ft.

Make double sure you've got those pipes wrapped, spigots covered, pool equipment running (don't forget your water features), and really consider the dripping faucets. You might also make sure you've got a sharp chain, oil, and fuel if you own a chainsaw.

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:25 am
by jasons2k
I’m getting more and more concerned about power outages. Could be widespread power outages so get prepared.

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:34 am
by AtascocitaWX
How good is the UKMET with winter weather?
12z shows snowfall for all out Texas.
4-6 inches in Houston

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:00 pm
by sambucol
Is there going to be wind with this system?

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:01 pm
by txsnowmaker
12z GFS shows several inches of snow over Houston, with the massive totals from the 6z adjusted north a bit. I’d gladly settle for a few inches!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_33.png

Re: February 2021

Posted: Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:06 pm
by don
Remember those snow maps on tropical tidbits includes sleet,so not all of that would be snow.