Re: August 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2022 10:22 am
Man DFW is getting hammered. I’m jealous lol
Honestly I wouldn’t expect much today across our area. Maybe late this afternoon or this evening there will be a better chance but even then it doesn’t look too promising.TexasBreeze wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 10:31 am There looks to be a band setting up shop over the central part of the area. Let's see if it fills in.
Yea non of the meso models show much of anything until tomorrow - Thursday as of this morning. They do show some nice storms for most of us though.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 10:33 amHonestly I wouldn’t expect much today across our area. Maybe late this afternoon or this evening there will be a better chance but even then it doesn’t look too promising.TexasBreeze wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 10:31 am There looks to be a band setting up shop over the central part of the area. Let's see if it fills in.
I have a 40% chance starting at 7 pm and it rises each hour to 70% by 10 pm and it fluctuates between 70-90% from 10 tonight until noon tomorrow.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 10:33 amHonestly I wouldn’t expect much today across our area. Maybe late this afternoon or this evening there will be a better chance but even then it doesn’t look too promising.TexasBreeze wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 10:31 am There looks to be a band setting up shop over the central part of the area. Let's see if it fills in.
Just a few spotty showers today and honestly I think the rest of this week will leave some people disappointed. I really don’t expect this to be a widespread event especially the coastal counties but I hope I’m wrong. I’m just not too enthused by what I’m seeing on the mesoscale models.
For whatever reason (the curse? Lucy?) all the streamers between my place and yours, keep falling apart just when it looks like they're going to form a nice band. Maybe with a little more heating they can finally bust through. It's like pulling teeth though, I swear. And the stuff to the north.....slower than watching paint dry, if it even makes it at this point.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 1:41 pmJust a few spotty showers today and honestly I think the rest of this week will leave some people disappointed. I really don’t expect this to be a widespread event especially the coastal counties but I hope I’m wrong. I’m just not too enthused by what I’m seeing on the mesoscale models.
jasons2k wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 2:12 pmFor whatever reason (the curse? Lucy?) all the streamers between my place and yours, keep falling apart just when it looks like they're going to form a nice band. Maybe with a little more heating they can finally bust through. It's like pulling teeth though, I swear. And the stuff to the north.....slower than watching paint dry, if it even makes it at this point.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 1:41 pmJust a few spotty showers today and honestly I think the rest of this week will leave some people disappointed. I really don’t expect this to be a widespread event especially the coastal counties but I hope I’m wrong. I’m just not too enthused by what I’m seeing on the mesoscale models.
I completely agree but the good news is that the wet pattern looks to stay around at least for next couple weeks.djmike wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:42 pm Have a feeling Hou/Bmt will just get a line passing through overnight and hit and miss showers tomorrow and Wed. Nothing in the way of a deluge. Had 70% for me all day and they dropped it to now 40%. The last 3 days have been nothing but very good high percentages then realize nothing is happening and take it away. Right now for me NWS shows 80-90% for tomorrow. It will likely be that passing squall line you see west of SA and then poof the entire multi day rain even will be over. Last Thursday it was above 70-80% for last Friday through Wed. We had one heavy shower last Thursday and nothing since. Hopefully everyone can get beneficial rains from this whole event. Even though I may get more rain than you guys in Hou, we are still in a drought in Bmt. Time will tell but I dont think this multi day event will pan out like we thought it was (for us that is…) so far since Thursday it hasnt.
The WPC did the same thing for DFW and you saw how that panned out.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:50 pm The WPC has drastically decreased rainfall for SE Texas …