Wx Infinity Forums

Need a little help here.

I have a cousin who lives in South Padre, but is currently moving to Rockport as we speak.
(Great timing)

If they could only be at one of two places, which is the preferred?
I'm assuming South Padre with the current track?

I know, not an easy question to answer.

**Also, can you listen to HGX weather radio online anymore?**

South Padre - dirty side and per satellite - all the convection is on the east side of harvey. But are they on the beach in South Padre?

ticka1 wrote:South Padre - dirty side and per satellite - all the convection is on the east side of harvey. But are they on the beach in South Padre?

I believe South Padre would be on the dirty side if this went into northern Mexico.

Rip76 wrote:Need a little help here.

**Also, can you listen to HGX weather radio online anymore?**

I can answer that...yes......

https://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/

Always rely on the official NHC forecast to make decisions, but I think Rockport will be very close to the landfall point. If I lived in Rockport, I'd be evacuating today.

I wouldn't stick around on SPI either, but I think between the two, Rockport area gets nailed.

I have the Midland WR300 weather radio and like it a lot. I have a feeling I will be listening to that for the next few days non stop.

tireman4 wrote:

Ounce wrote:

tgal wrote:Thank all of you so very much. I have a very disappointed daughter but you helped. As of now she is going to call it off. I hope they do call for evacuations because I am worried about her family that is down there.

Again, I really appreciate your help

I didn't even know there was a Portland in Texas.

Yep Oz, it is near Gregory Texas......it is near Beaumont...

FYI, I think Portland is actually just across the bridge NE of Corpus Christi. Not close to Beaumont.

Anyone have a guess as to if/when Hobby and IAH could shut it down tomorrow?

I apologize. Forgive me on that one. You are correct. It is indeed near Corpus Christi.

tireman4 wrote:

Ounce wrote:

tgal wrote:Thank all of you so very much. I have a very disappointed daughter but you helped. As of now she is going to call it off. I hope they do call for evacuations because I am worried about her family that is down there.

Again, I really appreciate your help

I didn't even know there was a Portland in Texas.

Yep Oz, it is near Gregory Texas......it is near Corpus Christi..

Edit..It is near Corpus Christi, not Beaumont. My apologies

RECON has been flying around the inner core of Harvey for the last 10-12 minutes sampling with that 16 mile wide eye. Lowest pressure extrapolated down to 981.5mb. Expect to see a picture via the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron on Twitter later.

srainhoutx wrote:RECON has been flying around the inner core of Harvey for the last 10-12 minutes sampling with that 16 mile wide eye. Lowest pressure extrapolated down to 981.5mb. Expect to see a picture via the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron on Twitter later.

For reference:
The 4AM advisory had 995 mb and 45 mph.
The 7AM advisory had 986 mb and 60 mph.

Predictions for 10 AM?? 981 mb and 80 mph?

texoz wrote:

srainhoutx wrote:RECON has been flying around the inner core of Harvey for the last 10-12 minutes sampling with that 16 mile wide eye. Lowest pressure extrapolated down to 981.5mb. Expect to see a picture via the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron on Twitter later.

For reference:
The 4AM advisory had 995 mb and 45 mph.
The 7AM advisory had 986 mb and 60 mph.

Predictions for 10 AM?? 981 mb and 80 mph?

Winds are trying to catch up still. Probably won't be that high. Maybe strong TS still at 10am.

I see that landfall is already within the time frame of the TX Tech WRF, how reliable are these short-range hi-res models (ie HRRR) with tropical systems?

Ok, so it will be a Hurricane now, a major one. So does that put Houston out of this flooding threat or is it going to be worse. I am sorry, this is all so confusing and I am trying to keep up...

MRG93415 wrote:Ok, so it will be a Hurricane now, a major one. So does that put Houston out of this flooding threat or is it going to be worse. I am sorry, this is all so confusing and I am trying to keep up...

Good question and the answer is, likely no. Houston is still in a very serious flood threat and possible hurricane threat. The track is continuing to shift ever so slightly more N and E of the initial track. All we can do now is watch, be prepared and be ready to act fast in the event of sudden changes to the forecast.

MRG93415 wrote:Ok, so it will be a Hurricane now, a major one. So does that put Houston out of this flooding threat or is it going to be worse. I am sorry, this is all so confusing and I am trying to keep up...

The rainfall/inland flooding threat has not changes. Expect 20+ inches with higher totals nearing 30 inches where the feeder bands set up. That location cannot be determined as of now. Now is the time to finish whatever preparations that need to be completed. The general feeling within the State/Local and Federal Government which includes ALL of the Weather Agencies is extreme concern for a Major Weather Event across a good portion of Texas and beyond. This Weather Event is expected to last at least 5 to 7 days...if not more counting the aftermath,

sau27 wrote:I see that landfall is already within the time frame of the TX Tech WRF, how reliable are these short-range hi-res models (ie HRRR) with tropical systems?

They usually do a pretty poor job. They are more inline with NAM when it comes to forecasting tracks/intensity

Northern shift in the track..