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Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:58 am
by mcheer23
Hurricane Harvey at next update!

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:59 am
by MRG93415
Maybe I am early or jumping the gun, but shouldnt the mayor of Houston be on the news telling people how bad this is gonna get?

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:00 pm
by tireman4
MRG93415 wrote:Maybe I am early or jumping the gun, but shouldnt the mayor of Houston be on the news telling people how bad this is gonna get?

Right now...right now..it is a rain event...a major rain event...I think as time wears on, like Andrew stated, it COULD be a wind event if the track moves northward...so, he might be holding off.

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:00 pm
by TexasBreeze
Looks like a hurricane to me- a large one!
Cmc shows 12+ in rains around Houston area now which is a lot more than last nights run.

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:02 pm
by Ounce
At noon, it's now Hurricane Harvey at 80 mph.

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:02 pm
by tireman4
UPGRADED TO HURRICANE

Hurricane Harvey Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
1200 PM CDT Thu Aug 24 2017

...HARVEY STRENGTHENS TO A HURRICANE WITH 80-MPH WINDS...

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that Harvey has intensified to a hurricane, with maximum sustained
winds of 80 mph (130 km/h).

A Special Advisory will be issued by 1 PM CDT (1800 UTC) in lieu
of the intermediate advisory to update the intensity forecast.

SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 93.5W
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM SSE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Berg/Brennan

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:02 pm
by ticka1
HISD has cancelled classes for Monday and all weekend activities.

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:12 pm
by tireman4
ticka1 wrote:HISD has cancelled classes for Monday and all weekend activities.
We are waiting at HCC.....sigh...

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:12 pm
by tireman4
srainhoutx wrote:
mcheer23 wrote:Hurricane Harvey at next update!
NHC Special Update coming at 1:00 PM
You think this will deal with the track and warning area?

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:13 pm
by houstonia
Someone posted a satellite image of Harvey a page or so ago - it was one of the last images posted. I would like to verify this image - can you please post where you found it? When I clicked on it, it sent me to an imagur site, without any identification.

thanks!

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:13 pm
by djmike
When is the next model track guidance update?

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:15 pm
by Ounce
djmike wrote:Just an opinion, but I would think the more and more the track shifts N and E, the higher the probability is for us to see the 20"+ rather than be less. NHC may need to start thinking about expanding the watches and warnings eastward a bit. At least to cover Jefferson county (BPT area) and extreme SWLA parishes for watches. If this shift NE is the new trend, unfortunately we are running out of time to evac if need be. We've seen MANY cases where we end up getting caught off guard. Always best to prepare any time a storm threatens Texas or even Louisiana.
I would look at the time period when y'all are to get the heavy rain...or maybe when the heavy rain is to arrive in western Jefferson County since the NHC won't issue for just part of a county, as to the timing of watches and warnings.

I'd think (no met amateur exp here) once Harvey starts to come back into the Gulf is when TS watches would include y'all and SW LA.

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:15 pm
by tireman4
Was it of Recon? If it was, that was me. It might have been Steve too.

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:18 pm
by Ounce
houstonia wrote:Someone posted a satellite image of Harvey a page or so ago - it was one of the last images posted. I would like to verify this image - can you please post where you found it? When I clicked on it, it sent me to an imagur site, without any identification.

thanks!
You might try this link
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:19 pm
by ticka1
tireman4 wrote:Was it of Recon? If it was, that was me. It might have been Steve too.
The one Rip76 posted

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:20 pm
by Ounce
tireman4 wrote:
ticka1 wrote:HISD has cancelled classes for Monday and all weekend activities.
We are waiting at HCC.....sigh...
Until such time, get back to work or on the mill, TMan!

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:22 pm
by srainhoutx
20170824.1656.goes13.x.vis2km.09LHARVEY.55kts-986mb-238N-930W.83pc.jpg

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:22 pm
by Scott747
Harvey continues to eclipse the tracking points to the n ahead by 6 hrs. Could be another shift up the coast with the 1 pm special package.

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:24 pm
by houstonia
thank you! It was a GOES image, and I found the site! :-)
Ounce wrote:
houstonia wrote:Someone posted a satellite image of Harvey a page or so ago - it was one of the last images posted. I would like to verify this image - can you please post where you found it? When I clicked on it, it sent me to an imagur site, without any identification.

thanks!
You might try this link
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Posted: Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:26 pm
by davidiowx
Scott747 wrote:Harvey continues to eclipse the tracking points to the n ahead by 6 hrs. Could be another shift up the coast with the 1 pm special package.

That is not a good sign..