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Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 12:55 pm
by jasons2k
Why can't the storms over Montgomery County just bomb and congeal into a giant red blob of greatness - like the storms over Houston are doing - why do they have to pop and fizzle like little specs of pop rocks? Ugh. At least I hear thunder....

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 1:03 pm
by Andrew
jasons wrote:Why can't the storms over Montgomery County just bomb and congeal into a giant red blob of greatness - like the storms over Houston are doing - why do they have to pop and fizzle like little specs of pop rocks? Ugh. At least I hear thunder....
Outflow from the south could change that.

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 1:10 pm
by jasons2k
I'm watching it; I hope it does, but if you look carefully one is already advancing from the NW out of the Montgomery County - they are likely to collide just to my south. It will be close...

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 1:37 pm
by jasons2k
So far, just light sprinkles and lots of thunder for me. It may be shaping-up as another miss for me today. The stuff in Montgomery County just can't hold it together. When storms popped in other places it was off to the races, but not here :-(

So get this - on Saturday Morning, when the giant blob east of us was moving west and a good soaking looked like an imminent sure bet, I went to Ace& bought some lawn products. I've let the last two days go by without using my sprinklers, holding-out for the next day's sure thing. Well guys, I'm about an hour away from calling it strike three and flipping the switch to water this stuff in - I need to.

Of course that means tomorrow I'll finally get the mother-load of all dumpings, but I won't care, I'll just smile that it finally rained.

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 1:47 pm
by srainhoutx
Picked up a quick 1/2 inch near the noon hour up here in NW Harris County. Also HGX has issues a Flood Advisory for Harris County. Hearing rumbles of thunder yet again.

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 1:58 pm
by txflagwaver
Raining in La Porte/Deer Park where I am right now...don't know if it's raining at the house

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 2:23 pm
by jgreak
Holy Cow! 2 inches in the bucket in less than an hour

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 2:29 pm
by jasons2k
NW Harris getting lucky as storms keep firing on the northern/NW edge of the now-stalled outflow and then traversing SE back over the same areas. In theory, the same thing should be happening over my house..

EDIT = it's 90 degrees at Conroe. Still, the storms trickling-in up north just fizzle as they move into Montgomery County - even into a pocket of still hot/unstable air. Some things just defy logic (or at least what we know).

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 2:29 pm
by srainhoutx
Getting pummeled up here in NW Harris County now. Frequent GC and pouring by the bucket full.

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 2:41 pm
by weatherguy425
Jason- watch for rapid back-building of the cluster currently in eastern Montgomery county as it runs into whatever outflow had raced northward from the Harris county cluster and is met with an unstable air mass.

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 2:49 pm
by srainhoutx
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
235 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2012

TXZ200-213-092030-
HARRIS TX-LIBERTY TX-
235 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL HARRIS AND
WESTERN LIBERTY COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 224 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING 2 CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. ONE WAS CENTERED NEAR
KENEFICK AND ANOTHER AROUND TARKINGTON PRAIRIE. THESE CLUSTER WILL
PROBABLY COLLIDE BETWEEN THOSE 2 TOWNS AND BRIEFLY PULSE UP IN
STRENGTH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THIS
OCCURS AS WILL VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2.5 INCHES PER
HOUR. MINOR STREET FLOODING WILL BE A POSSIBILITY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KENEFICK...TARKINGTON PRAIRIE...PLUM GROVE AND DAYTON LAKES.

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 2:51 pm
by tireman4
Dark as night in the Gulfgate area. Wow...

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 2:55 pm
by biggerbyte
Nothing here in Porter, Montgomery County again. Once again, it split and rained all around us.

Unbelievable!

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 2:57 pm
by jasons2k
weatherguy425 wrote:Jason- watch for rapid back-building of the cluster currently in eastern Montgomery county as it runs into whatever outflow had raced northward from the Harris county cluster and is met with an unstable air mass.
Was holding-out hope but the outflow has now pushed almost clear through the county and is quickly going up Lake Conroe. The next report from KCXO won't be 90 degrees any more. I'm now trapped in the cooler air and I suspect I'm done for the day. 3 days in a row of teasing sprinkles/thunder barely a trace of rain *sigh*. I'm about to head out to turn the sprinklers on - can't wait another day at this point.

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 3:02 pm
by weatherguy425
At least wait another hour ;)

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 3:09 pm
by jasons2k
I am. I see the storms popping near Conroe, but I think they will fall apart as they move south. Do you see the little cell that tried to get going near Magnolia and quickly fizzled as it moved SE? That's my airmass now - not a good sign.

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 3:12 pm
by weatherguy425
At least convective temps are well below "average" and moisture is well above...shouldn't take much to keep at last light to moderate rain from growing/expanding.

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 3:13 pm
by nuby3
Still haven't seen a drop here!! Unbelievable, been dancing all around me all day!! Harris/Montgomery border, just north of Tomball..

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 3:38 pm
by jasons2k
The complex over Liberty County just spit out an outflow that is now headed back west over Montgomery County, but the air has stabilized and nothing can fire on it...

Re: July: Increasing Heavy Rain Chances & Potential Flood Th

Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2012 4:23 pm
by Portastorm
nuby3 wrote:Still haven't seen a drop here!! Unbelievable, been dancing all around me all day!! Harris/Montgomery border, just north of Tomball..
I feel your pain. Here in south central Texas, some portions of northern Travis County received about .20 inches of rain yesterday. Much of south Austin/Travis County has not received anything beyond a trace. Last measurable rainfall was mid-May.

I think my part of the county must lead the state in Most Outflow Boundaries with No Rain. :(