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Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 5:11 pm
by tireman4
SusieinLP wrote:Gene Norman seems to think the cone will more more to the right. He has not explained yet why but that is what he put out there....

Remember, he is talking to Dr Frank...soooo

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 5:14 pm
by Scott747
18z para takes it in right around the border. No big changes in any of the 18z runs.

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 5:14 pm
by redfish1
where can i see Gene Norman's forecast?

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 5:20 pm
by HereInKaty
tireman4:
"Remember, he is talking to Dr Frank...soooo"

I haven't been watching broadcasts. He is talking with Frank? I'll see if I can get the kids off Nickelodeon long enough to watch... I am really curious now....

Catherine

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 5:22 pm
by tireman4
Dr. Neil Frank is supposed to be on the 11 news at 5 and 6. You can count on him telling you what to expect. No hype... No BS... and no ego. Listen for the words, "we'll watch it". We just don't yet know where, but the where not is kinda obvious. Alex most likely will not be speaking Spanish. A brownsville landfall would be close, so we'll see.

I think Biggerbyte typed this, so I cannot take credit for this. :)

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 5:25 pm
by rain
Hi all,
Just wanted to say that with every storm, I love reading this board. Not sure how you read everything that you do but I love it. Am also relieved that Alex won't be visiting us. Keep up the good work.

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 5:34 pm
by sleetstorm
rain wrote:Hi all,
Just wanted to say that with every storm, I love reading this board. Not sure how you read everything that you do but I love it. Am also relieved that Alex won't be visiting us. Keep up the good work.
Who says that he will not be visiting us, rain? As has been stated before it is not over until is it over.

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 5:35 pm
by SusieinLP
Well, Dr Frank was not on the 5pm broadcast. Maybe he will be there later tonight....Eiither way after I finish cooking dinner, I am going back to watching swirls and lines..... :?

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 5:42 pm
by txsnowmaker
Would someone mind taking a stab at discussing the potential effects in the Houston area from a strong Cat 2 or weak Cat 3 hurricane making landfall in Corpus? I remember with Ike the hurricane force winds were felt far and wide because of the sheer size of the storm.

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 6:10 pm
by srainhoutx
Latest...

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 6:11 pm
by ThunderMan
Whatever happens, I sure hope it comes up to the Austin area and gives us some MUCH needed rainfall!

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 6:16 pm
by biggerbyte
Hmmm! Neil Frank being in was told to me by someone else.. Try 6 o'clock weather. I just wanted to pass it on. He the man...

My bad? :(

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 6:19 pm
by Scott747
18z HWRF -

Image

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 6:21 pm
by SusieinLP
Hey biggerbyte...Just saw Dr. Frank! Thanks for the heads up...

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 6:22 pm
by srainhoutx
Good to see Doc at his best. ;) Always the teacher.

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 6:24 pm
by sambucol
Dr. Neil said he is concerned about how slow the storm is moving and that it's moving more to the north than the west, indicating weak steering currents. Also,the track is widening and that means an uncertainty of the track. He also said it won't take much to shift the storm to the north.

Those are my notes from his appearance on the 6pm news.

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 6:27 pm
by srainhoutx
Could be a long night...

Image

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 6:28 pm
by djjordan
I do believe we will see a blow up overnight tonight

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 6:31 pm
by Scott747
18z GFDL -

Image

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Posted: Mon Jun 28, 2010 6:32 pm
by txsnowmaker
sambucol wrote:Dr. Neil said he is concerned about how slow the storm is moving and that it's moving more to the north than the west, indicating weak steering currents. Also,the track is widening and that means an uncertainty of the track. He also said it won't take much to shift the storm to the north.

Those are my notes from his appearance on the 6pm news.

Thanks sambucol. I recall hearing/reading that a slower movement would likely result in the storm veering more to the west and away from the upper Texas coast (due to timing related to arrival of coinciding trough I think?). It seems that this may no longer be the case given Dr. Frank's guidance.