I'd give a timeframe anywhere from 8pm Wednesday through 3am Thursday landfall right now.
August 2020:
- Belmer
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GFS 1200Z 850 millibar geopotential height. Shows no landfall.

The most recent NHC forecast has Houston the cone for Laura.


The most recent NHC forecast has Houston the cone for Laura.

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How long before we should board up?
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How strong would a landfalling storm need to be before considering boarding up windows? I'm about 40 miles from the coast as the crow flies. The compounding issue is i dont already have plywood and plylox so I'm sure hardware stores have already been ransacked.
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Scott747
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Hurricane models initialized a letter better as well. Close to where the Ukie did. So far they are both further w.
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Hurricane models keep this south of Cuba.
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Scott747
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HMON is headed between Matagorda and Galveston.
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weatherguy425
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Yeah HWRF will come in further w. How much depends on when it turns.
Won't even mention the strength...
Won't even mention the strength...
- Katdaddy
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Thinking tomorrow afternoon or Tuesday morning for storm panels if the forecast shifts a little more W and remains in the general direction of the Upper TX Coast late tomorrow morning as time would be running out for preps.
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HMON around Sargent to Freeport/Surfside. Strong 3.
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Strong 4 12 hrs before landfall.
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HWRF at Bolivar as a strong 4.
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Bombing out as Laura approaches the east end of Bolivar Peninsula.weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:35 pmHWRF coming in further south, west too. Waiting for run to complete.
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Question for pro mets what affect could marco have churning up the waters on Laura??
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