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Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:08 pm
by Rhodesk75
SOOOO.....since we apparently are going to be SOL for Debby bringing us any rain, is there anything else out there yet that we can hope for?? Anyone? Anyone? Anyone.....??
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:14 pm
by djmike
I'd like to know since we won't get Debby, when WILL we have another shot at any rain? Any source, I really don't care at this point...lol
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 9:08 pm
by skidog38
intellicast has a nice radar where you can choose clouds or rain. choose rain and you can tell storm is getting stronger. llc is still aways from shore.
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:11 pm
by skidog38
newscasters calling their shot and storm doesnt make landfall till friday.
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:15 pm
by djmike
UPPER-AIR DATA INDICATE MID-LEVEL RIDGING HAS CONTINUED TO
BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. TO THE NORTH OF DEBBY...AND THIS
HAS LIKELY BEEN THE REASON FOR THE LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT MOTION
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ALL OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE...EXCEPT
FOR THE GFS AND GFS-ENSEMBLE MODELS...INDICATE THIS BLOCKING PATTERN
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. SHOULD CONTINUE AS FAST-MOVING
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS PASS WELL TO THE NORTH OF DEBBY. THE RESULT
SHOULD BE THAT THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE LITTLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...AND THEN ONLY DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD AFTER THAT AS THE
RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. GRADUALLY BREAKS DOWN.
Maybe im reading this wrong, but if the ridge is building eastward to the north of her, would'nt that grab Debby and send her west? When did a weakness in the ridge come into play? If there's a weakness, would'nt the the outer peripheral of the ridge still want to push it westward or SW? .....Forgive me if I sound stupid, trying to learn what all this means, so please be gentle...lol. Thanks!
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:21 pm
by gocuse22
This storm barley has any steering currents right now and wont until the trough picks it up. Rainy week in Alabama and Florida
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For LA/AL/NW FL
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:27 pm
by cisa
cisa wrote:srainhoutx wrote:cisa wrote:This may a bit off topic, but is there anything else our there of any interest?
Actually there may be. Somewhere around the very end of the month of June/first week of July. But we'll save that for a later date and probably begin talking about it in a day or two when we fully get Debby out of our hair...
Thanks srain. You always help me out.
I had asked the same question about any other storms in the near future and this was what srain said. Hope it helps.
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:36 pm
by skidog38
if this storm is going north then why is it getting closer to new orleans?
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:38 pm
by Ptarmigan
gocuse22 wrote:Im expecting a period with no storms...2-4 weeks..maybe longer
Alberto
May 19 – May 22, 2012
Beryl
May 26 – May 30, 2012
4 days between Alberto dissipated and Beryl formed.
Chris
June 19 – June 22, 2012
20 days between Beryl dissipated and Chris formed.
Debby
June 23 –
1 day between Chris dissipated and Debby formed.
2 named storms in May
2 named storms in June
4/1/0
If there were 2 named storms every month from May to November that would give a total of 12 named storms.
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:45 pm
by Scott747
Probably won't mean anything for our area but after all the consistent runs by the GFS, the 0z run appears to be finally showing a different solution.
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:49 pm
by gocuse22
skidog38 wrote:if this storm is going north then why is it getting closer to new orleans?
I think that is just outflow that your seeing.
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:04 pm
by Scott747
That was one heck of a shift with the 0z GFS through hr 102.
Only off by about 500 miles.
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:05 pm
by gocuse22
Scott747 wrote:That was one heck of a shift with the 0z GFS through hr 102.
Only off by about 500 miles.
These models just continue to shock..
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:08 pm
by Belmer
gocuse22 wrote:Scott747 wrote:That was one heck of a shift with the 0z GFS through hr 102.
Only off by about 500 miles.
These models just continue to shock..
Can you put up a picture of what the GFS is showing? Not where I can look up the model run at the moment.
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:10 pm
by Scott747
gocuse22 wrote:Scott747 wrote:That was one heck of a shift with the 0z GFS through hr 102.
Only off by about 500 miles.
These models just continue to shock..
In this case it's just a matter of the GFS finally coming around to what the other models are showing. Just not completely in agreement.
Stalls it before meandering and movie ESE and crossing the peninsula and stalling for a bit of Jacksonville.
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:43 am
by txflagwaver
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:53 am
by Belmer
What have the new models showed tonight? I'm guessing not a magical westward track since this forum is having a hard time staying alive.
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:54 am
by gocuse22
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:55 am
by gocuse22
Its weird to see Heat Advisories just north of the TS Debby impact area
Re: Tropical Storm Debby. Warnings Issued For MS/AL/NW FL.
Posted: Mon Jun 25, 2012 12:56 am
by Andrew
Belmer wrote:What have the new models showed tonight? I'm guessing not a magical westward track since this forum is having a hard time staying alive.
So far the same really. Florida so far.
