Post Tropical Storm Andrea:

[jeff]

Phase diagrams show only marginal warm core...sub-tropical or tropical...doesn't really matter. This is one reason why we have 19 named storms seasons now.

[jeff]

Does not get much tighter on the guidance clustering either. Models nailed this several days out...time for the 5 day TWO and 7 day forecast track. I think the 5 day TWO is to come online this summer...I have not heard any more on the 7 day forecast track (at one point that was being discussed). Focus lately has been on surge products, which I dont find all that helpful...but better than what we had before. Not sure a resident could look at the surge probabilities and make a decision to stay or leave based on those maps.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANDREA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
700 AM CDT THU JUN 06 2013

...ANDREA MOVING CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...
...POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA
DURING THE MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 85.1W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO INDIAN PASS
* FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST. ANDREA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA
WILL REACH THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA LATER TODAY AND
THEN MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE THE
CENTER REACHES THE COAST LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND
IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD TO APALACHICOLA...2 TO 5 FT
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY...1 TO 2 FT
FLAGLER BEACH NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA LANDFALL LOCATION. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING
DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...
AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC
TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...EASTERN PARTS OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY...MAKING
OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BEVEN

[unome]

loop them here: http://wdssii.nssl.noaa.gov/web/wdss2/p ... ndex.shtml

[srainhoutx]

TROPICAL STORM ANDREA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
1100 AM EDT THU JUN 06 2013

EVEN THOUGH THE RADAR PRESENTATION OF ANDREA HAS BEEN IMPROVING
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS NEAR THE CENTER
OF CIRCULATION HAVE BEEN WARMING. THE STRONGEST CONVECTION REMAINS
LOCATED IN A BAND THAT IS MOVING ONSHORE THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA
AT THIS TIME...AND THE TAMPA WSR-88D HAS BEEN SHOWING 65-70 KT AT
ABOUT 6500 FT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BEING HELD AT 50 KT
PENDING THE NEXT AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE MISSION THIS AFTERNOON.

ANDREA HAS TURNED NORTHEASTWARD AND IS BEGINNING TO ACCELERATE WITH
AN INITIAL MOTION OF 035/13 KT. THE STORM IS LOCATED JUST TO THE
EAST OF A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS...AND IT IS GETTING
CLOSER TO FASTER MID-LATITUDE FLOW LOCATED OVER THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY. THIS FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE ANDREA TO RACE
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO. THERE IS VERY LITTLE SPREAD AMONG THE TRACK
GUIDANCE...AND ESSENTIALLY NO CHANGES WERE REQUIRED FROM THE
PREVIOUS OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST.

GIVEN THE CONFLICTING SIGNALS IN RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA...THERE IS
NO STRONG EVIDENCE THAT ANDREA WILL STRENGTHEN MUCH BEFORE IT
REACHES THE COAST LATER TODAY. AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND...
SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...BUT MOST OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE
INDICATE THAT ANDREA WILL MAINTAIN TROPICAL-STORM INTENSITY THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MAIN QUESTION IS WHEN EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION WILL BE COMPLETE. THE GLOBAL MODEL FIELDS DO NOT SHOW
STRONG BAROCLINICITY UNTIL ABOUT 48 HOURS...BUT THE FSU PHASE-SPACE
DIAGRAMS BASED ON THE GFS SUGGEST THAT THE TRANSITION COULD BE
COMPLETE BY 36 HOURS. FOR NOW...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL KEEP
ANDREA AS TROPICAL UNTIL 36 HOURS.

THERE ARE NO CHANGES TO THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ON THIS
ADVISORY. BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT ANDREA WILL BECOME
POST-TROPICAL IN 36 TO 48 HOURS...WE DO NOT EXPECT TO EXTEND THE
TROPICAL WARNINGS ANY FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE COAST. OUR CURRENT
INTENTION IS THAT ANY HAZARDOUS WIND CONDITIONS FROM THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND WOULD BE HANDLED BY LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING PRODUCTS.

REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANDREA...THE
PRIMARY EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND INTO THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES...STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/1500Z 28.2N 84.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 07/0000Z 30.3N 82.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
24H 07/1200Z 33.4N 80.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
36H 08/0000Z 37.3N 76.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
48H 08/1200Z 41.8N 70.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 09/1200Z 46.5N 54.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 10/1200Z 47.0N 33.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 11/1200Z 52.0N 20.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BEVEN

[unome]

from NMQ http://nmq.ou.edu/

she looks like a big question mark

[brooksgarner]

This reminds me of Tropical Storm Debby, with the exception that it's going much faster. Similar radar returns and tornadic activity... dry air to its west giving it a sub-tropical storm look. Fascinating to see this develop. Check out this live camera from Siesta Key beach, Sarasota, FL. Sustained winds evident... http://www.seesarasotalive.com/webcams/siesta-key

[unome]

warnings just continue popping up

[srainhoutx]

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 6th day of the month at 18:10Z
Corrected: This observation corrected a previous observation.
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 302)
Storm Number & Year: 01L in 2013
Storm Name: Andrea (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 3
Observation Number: 03
A. Time of Center Fix: 6th day of the month at 17:53:40Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 28°54'N 83°55'W (28.9N 83.9167W)
B. Center Fix Location: 109 miles (176 km) to the WSW (241°) from Gainesville, FL, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,356m (4,449ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 46kts (~ 52.9mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 13 nautical miles (15 statute miles) to the NNE (29°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 106° at 41kts (From the ESE at ~ 47.2mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 13 nautical miles (15 statute miles) to the NNE (23°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 993mb (29.32 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,522m (4,993ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 21°C (70°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,529m (5,016ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 15°C (59°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Levels (sfc and flt lvl centers are within 5nm of each other): Surface and 850mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 5 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 41kts (~ 47.2mph) in the quadrant at 0:23
Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 71kts (~ 81.7mph) in the quadrant at 0:87
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
MAX FL WIND 41 KT 023/13 17:47:30Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 71 KT 087/26 18:04:08Z
Banding on radar indicating center

[brooksgarner]

Related to Andrea-- A late-season cold front will be dragged farther south, faster due to the departing tropical system: the SPC says there's an 80% chance a severe storm watch will be needed for the Houston-area. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0979.html

[srainhoutx]

TROPICAL STORM ANDREA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
500 PM EDT THU JUN 06 2013

THE CENTER OF ANDREA IS NOW NEAR THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
REGION. ALTHOUGH THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY
SINCE THIS MORNING...AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
FOUND AN INNER WIND CORE...WITH SFMR SURFACE WIND ESTIMATES OF 55
KT ABOUT 20 N MI EAST OF THE CENTER AND 850 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS
OF 71 KT. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 993 MB. ALTHOUGH IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT THERE WAS A SHOALING CONTRIBUTION TO THE SFMR
DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 55 KT. NO ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 040/15. ANDREA SHOULD ACCELERATE INTO THE
WESTERLIES DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AND MOVE QUICKLY
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST AND NEAR THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES. AFTER 48 HOURS...THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN
EASTWARD AND MOVE RAPIDLY INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC...WITH THIS
GENERAL MOTION CONTINUING UNTIL DISSIPATION. WHILE THE GUIDANCE
SHOWS SOME SPREAD IN BOTH DIRECTION AND SPEED...THERE IS NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY AND THE NEW FORECAST
TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE OLD ONE.

ANDREA SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL. SUBSEQUENTLY...THE CYCLONE
SHOULD GRADUALLY MERGE WITH A BAROCLINIC ZONE AS IT MOVES OVER AND
NEAR THE EASTERN UNITED STATES...WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OCCURRING DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTER
THAT...THE CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE AS AN EXTRATROPICAL GALE UNTIL
DISSIPATION AROUND 120 HOURS. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE
CONVECTION COULD DISSIPATE BEFORE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS
COMPLETE...WHICH COULD CAUSE ANDREA TO HAVE A POST-TROPICAL PHASE
BEFORE IT BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL.

THERE ARE NO CHANGES TO THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ON THIS
ADVISORY. BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT ANDREA WILL BECOME
POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATOPICAL IN ABOUT 36 HOURS...WE DO NOT EXPECT TO
EXTEND THE TROPICAL WARNINGS ANY FARTHER NORTH ALONG THE COAST.
OUR CURRENT INTENTION IS THAT ANY HAZARDOUS WIND CONDITIONS FROM
THE DELMARVA PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND WOULD BE HANDLED BY
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING PRODUCTS.

REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT TRACK OF THE CENTER OF ANDREA...THE
PRIMARY EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND INTO THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES...STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TONIGHT FROM THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE COASTAL PORTIONS OF GEORGIA...SOUTH
CAROLINA...AND NORTH CAROLINA.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/2100Z 29.5N 83.4W 55 KT 65 MPH...NEAR COAST
12H 07/0600Z 31.9N 81.4W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
24H 07/1800Z 35.6N 78.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
36H 08/0600Z 39.8N 73.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 08/1800Z 43.8N 67.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 09/1800Z 46.6N 50.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 10/1800Z 46.0N 29.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANDREA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
800 AM EDT FRI JUN 07 2013

...ANDREA MOVING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SOUTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 80.2W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NNW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM WSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM THE SAVANNAH
RIVER SOUTHWARD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE SAVANNAH RIVER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS
LOCATED INLAND OVER SOUTH CAROLINA NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST. ANDREA HAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE NEAR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH
SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED PRIMARILY OVER WATER AND NEAR THE
COAST TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION AT FOLLY
ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 47 MPH...
76 KM/HR.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES FROM CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD
ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD INTO COASTAL MAINE. ADDITIONAL RAIN
TOTALS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS MORNING WHICH COULD BRING
STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THOSE AREAS.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE
NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS.
THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF THE
PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA...1 TO 2 FT
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SURGE-
RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND
THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SECTIONS FROM
NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH VIRGINIA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BEVEN

[TexasBreeze]

The NHC now continues issuing advisories for post-tropical systems that are a threat to land. Interesting!