Long Range Model Thread.

Tropical Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Paul
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Those CV waves are going to poof with SAL pushing westward. CMC does try to spin something up around the Bahamas with a recurve scenario possible. I just dont see it with the monster Bermuda High. We are in a lull I think for another 6 days at least.

Mean while the ssts out there continue to climb. I worry about Aug and Sept...

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
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srainhoutx
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CMC, NOGAPS, and Para GFS are suggesting a disturbance near the SW Caribbean in just under 200 hrs. This trend has continued in the para GFS for several days now. We shall see.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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wxdata
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Interesting forecast from the 12z NAM for the end of week. So far, this is the only model winding up a system in the Gulf.
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