NOVEMBER: Warming Up To End The Month

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srainhoutx
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I am getting rumbles of thunder now in NW Harris County as rain falls and temps have dropped to 41F.
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unome
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we had lightning, thunder & some pretty good downpours here as well - might get more...

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cold, cold rain... http://youtu.be/cflTwVZIpHE
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what will the rain be like tomorrow?
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Ptarmigan
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ticka1 wrote:what will the rain be like tomorrow?
Just cold rain.
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Ptarmigan wrote:
ticka1 wrote:what will the rain be like tomorrow?
Just cold rain.
will it be heavy like today?
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Ptarmigan
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ticka1 wrote:
will it be heavy like today?
More likely lighter rain with occasional heavy rain.
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will the low make it to Houston before the next round of rain
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No moisture in north Texas to interact with low, so what will it produce with rain in morning
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srainhoutx
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Seeing some reports of light snow flurries in the Dallas/Ft Worth and the San Angelo areas this morning as the cold pocket associated with the upper low continues to advance towards Central Texas. The Austin area on down toward I-10 may see some snow flurries this morning through about 10:00 AM as well. There may be a brief window for a few stray snow flurries or sleet across portions of SE Texas as water vapor imagery does show some colder cloud tops advancing our way from the West. That upper low/trough should move across SE Texas during the day and finally end any chance of moisture and finally begin to clear out this cloudy/wet weather in time for Thanksgiving. An area wide freeze is possible except for those near the Coast early Thanksgiving morning and a warming trend begins to end the month of November.
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9z sounding KCLL:
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srainhoutx
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Morning e-mail from Jeff:

Upper level storm system currently over SC TX with the last well defined wave of rain moving along I-45 at the moment. Rainfall amounts have averaged 1-3 inches across the region since Sunday afternoon.

Special 09Z (300am) sounding was launched from the met group at Texas A&M and showed a roughly 3,000 ft warm layer above the surface which has helped keep most of the precipitation rain this morning. College Station did report light snow with a visibility of 4.0 miles around 600am. No other reporting sites have reported anything but rainfall this morning. Should see the actual light rain move out of the area in the next 1-2 hours, but some drizzle or flurries will continue into the early afternoon hours. Temperatures will struggle to get much above 40 degrees today with increased cold air advection and thick cloud cover. Winds have also increased this morning with gust at or above 30mph along the coast as the offshore surface low pressure system continues to deepen.

Skies finally clear out tonight into Wednesday while additional cold air flows southward into the region. Looks like we are sitting up for a good widespread freeze on Thanksgiving morning with model guidance showing lows ranging from 27 to 30 at BUSH IAH which mean many locations outside the urban heat island will be cooler. Will need a freeze warning for areas along and S of I-10 which have not frozen yet this fall. Could see up to 3-5 hours at or below freezing so sensitive plants will need protection. Still cool but mainly clear on Thanksgiving Day with highs in the upper 50’s with some high clouds.

Onshore flow resumes by Friday with moisture starting a slow increase. Should see lower clouds work into the region on Saturday, but any threat for rainfall will hold off until late Sunday.

Very long range models continue to suggest a significant arctic air intrusion toward the second week of December.
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Reports of snow flurries in Fredricksburg.
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Report of snow flurries in Dripping Springs.
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srainhoutx
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Watching for sleet reports in Northern SE Texas as what may be a trowel like feature is developing across the Region as the upper low approaches...

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Light snow in Waring and Welfare in Kendall County reported by trained spotter.
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unome
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quite a few reports west of the Austin/San Antonio area

https://nwschat.weather.gov/lsr/#FWD,HG ... 70559/0100
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I'm about 3 miles to the east-northeast of that Dripping Springs report from broadcast media of snow flurries and I can tell you no snow flurries here. In fact, the overcast appears to be lightening some with a few peeks of the sun. But ... still windy and cold!
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srainhoutx
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Code: Select all

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
948 AM CST TUE NOV 26 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             5 W FREDERICKSBURG      30.27N  98.95W
11/26/2013  M0.0 INCH        GILLESPIE          TX   COCORAHS

            SNOW FLURRIES

0700 AM     SNOW             3 NW INGRAM             30.11N  99.27W
11/26/2013  M0.0 INCH        KERR               TX   COCORAHS

            LIGHT SNOW AT 7 AM OBSERVATION TIME

0738 AM     SNOW             3 N HARPER              30.34N  99.25W
11/26/2013  M0.0 INCH        GILLESPIE          TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SNOW FLURRIES

0741 AM     SNOW             14 NW INGRAM            30.22N  99.40W
11/26/2013  M0.0 INCH        KERR               TX   COCORAHS

            TRACE OF LIGHT SNOW OVER THE PAST 15 MINUTES

0759 AM     SNOW             JOHNSON CITY            30.27N  98.41W
11/26/2013  M0.0 INCH        BLANCO             TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SNOW FLURRIES

0803 AM     SNOW             ROCKSPRINGS             30.02N 100.21W
11/26/2013  M0.0 INCH        EDWARDS            TX   COCORAHS

            LIGHT SNOW...NO ACCUMULATION

0821 AM     SNOW             KERRVILLE               30.04N  99.14W
11/26/2013  M0.0 INCH        KERR               TX   PUBLIC

0825 AM     SNOW             4 W FREDERICKSBURG      30.27N  98.94W
11/26/2013  M0.0 INCH        GILLESPIE          TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SNOW FLURRIES ALONG US 290

0836 AM     SNOW             DRIPPING SPRINGS        30.19N  98.09W
11/26/2013  M0.0 INCH        HAYS               TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SNOW FLURRIES

0922 AM     SNOW             WARING                  29.95N  98.80W
11/26/2013  M0.0 INCH        KENDALL            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LIGHT SNOW IN WARING AND WELFARE FOR THE PAST 30
            MINUTES


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1300676 EWX1300677 EWX1300673 EWX1300672 EWX1300674
EWX1300675 EWX1300678 EWX1300679 EWX1300681 EWX1300680

$$

CVP

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Kludge
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Sleet mixing in here now.
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srainhoutx
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Kludge wrote:Sleet mixing in here now.

Relayed your report to HGX, Kludge. Thanks. ;)
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