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Re: JUNE 2015 -Heavy Rainfall/INVEST 91L & Watching The Gulf
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 9:49 pm
by cisa
txflagwaver wrote:If it was a stronger more organized storm it would be easier to predict...Bill is going to meander onto land and dump lots of rain over a wide area for an extended period of time. Folks that leave as usual in the morning may not be able to get back later in the day.
Although I know you're right and totally agree, that's not very comforting. I may pack a bag, just in case. Lots of low spots between work and home.
Re: JUNE 2015 -Heavy Rainfall/INVEST 91L & Watching The Gulf
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 9:49 pm
by Paul Robison
Andrew wrote:Rip76 wrote:From most of the satellite imagery I've seen in the last 12 hours, it seems pretty dry.
Everything that appears to move in from the gulf, seems to dissipate.
This may change in the AM.
Wait until the D-max period to see how things go first.
Forgot to mention, this seems to be a compact storm. Should we worry?
Re: JUNE 2015 -Heavy Rainfall/INVEST 91L & Watching The Gulf
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 9:52 pm
by Rip76
Why me, worry?
It is compact, but the outer bands are not.
It just seems that a little dry air is mixing in.
But I do detect a bit of a Northward jog, could be my untrained eyes though.
Re: JUNE 2015 -Heavy Rainfall/INVEST 91L & Watching The Gulf
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 9:53 pm
by cisa
Oh and just a sidebar to this. I love the Texas coastline and watching the watch and warning lines is a great way to teach your kids ( and yourself) local geography. Lots to learn watching these systems. I love that. Sorry for veering off topic a bit.
Re: JUNE 2015 -Heavy Rainfall/INVEST 91L & Watching The Gulf
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 9:55 pm
by Rip76
(Off topic)
Cisa, I agree with you.
Re: JUNE 2015 -Heavy Rainfall/INVEST 91L & Watching The Gulf
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 10:20 pm
by bbadon
Ok pro mets looking at the water vapor it looks like an ULL has developed to the North East of Bill just off of the west coast of Florida. Will this ventilate or shear and what does it do to the stearing ridge?
Re: JUNE 2015 -Heavy Rainfall/INVEST 91L & Watching The Gulf
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 10:27 pm
by galvbay
Just a quick 'check in' from Smith Point in Chambers County @10:24. Wind gust to 35(east)....Bar.29.87...Temp 81.
Next 24 hours should be interesting. Wind gust to 41 at the county ramp this afternoon.
http://www.tceq.texas.gov/cgi-bin/compl ... pl?cams=96
galvbay
Re: JUNE 2015 -Heavy Rainfall/INVEST 91L & Watching The Gulf
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 10:40 pm
by Ptarmigan
I would not completely rule out Bull being a hurricane. However, I think Bill is more likely to be a strong tropical storm. Bill should be more of a rain event.
Re: JUNE 2015 -Heavy Rainfall/INVEST 91L & Watching The Gulf
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 10:56 pm
by sambucol
Ptarmigan wrote:I would not completely rule out Bull being a hurricane.
Why?
Re: JUNE 2015 -Tracking Tropical Storm Bill
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 11:18 pm
by Paul Robison
TS Bill seems to have pushed His clutch in and thrown it in Neutral.
He has slowed a bunch in forward speed.
Lord, just what we don't need.
Re: JUNE 2015 -Tracking Tropical Storm Bill
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 11:21 pm
by sambucol
Does this mean the storm is changing direction, becoming stronger, or both?
Re: JUNE 2015 -Tracking Tropical Storm Bill
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 11:21 pm
by Paul Robison
sambucol wrote:Does this mean the storm is changing direction, becoming stronger, or both?
Getting stronger, I'd say.
Re: JUNE 2015 -Tracking Tropical Storm Bill
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 11:25 pm
by cisa
When is the next advisory?
Re: JUNE 2015 -Tracking Tropical Storm Bill
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 11:27 pm
by houstonia
cisa wrote:When is the next advisory?
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
Re: JUNE 2015 -Tracking Tropical Storm Bill
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 11:28 pm
by Andrew
sambucol wrote:Does this mean the storm is changing direction, becoming stronger, or both?
It is definitely intensifying but it is still a rather large system so it will be slow to intensify. Next update will be at 1am.
Re: JUNE 2015 -Tracking Tropical Storm Bill
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 11:33 pm
by txsnowmaker
I'm hearing reports about cold cloud tops showing up on satellite imagery. What does that signify?
Re: JUNE 2015 -Tracking Tropical Storm Bill
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 11:35 pm
by rnmm
txsnowmaker wrote:I'm hearing reports about cold cloud tops showing up on satellite imagery. What does that signify?
The storm is strengthening some.
Re: JUNE 2015 -Tracking Tropical Storm Bill
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 11:37 pm
by txsnowmaker
Thanks! Also, apparently the new Canadian run is slowing the storm's movement after it moves onshore compared to previous runs. Anyone know how slow it is depicting the movement to be?
Re: JUNE 2015 -Tracking Tropical Storm Bill
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 11:37 pm
by stormlover
Has it made a little nnw jog ?
Re: JUNE 2015 -Tracking Tropical Storm Bill
Posted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 11:43 pm
by cisa
houstonia wrote:cisa wrote:When is the next advisory?
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
Thanks'