Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 11:23 am
Which is why you use universal precautions, and stay weather aware.Cromagnum wrote:Until the forecast gets it wrong and it suddenly heads towards you.
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July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
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Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 5:04 pm
Cromagnum wrote:Until the forecast gets it wrong and it suddenly heads towards you.jasons wrote:As for hurricanes, the last major to hit the Tampa area was 1921. Hard to get a hit there with the angle of the coast. I
Hurricanes afford way too much prep time for one to be too worried about them, in all fairness.
The highest risk areas for hurricanes based upon 1900-2000 data are not surprisingly south Florida, North Carolina, Mobile, Mississippi, Louisiana, Galveston area. North Florida (Tampa, St. Augustine) is at low risk.
https://www.planswift.com/blog/hurrican ... uirements/
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 7:36 pm
Similar to today, with calm winds, tomorrow is shaping-up to be another air quality alert day.
Incidentally, I just did a lookup:
Houston Air Quality: 161, Unhealthy
Tampa Air Quality: 7, Good
St. Pete is at 2. TWO. That's pretty amazing.
At home - Spring is at 152, Unhealthy.
Incidentally, I just did a lookup:
Houston Air Quality: 161, Unhealthy
Tampa Air Quality: 7, Good
St. Pete is at 2. TWO. That's pretty amazing.
At home - Spring is at 152, Unhealthy.
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 8:57 pm
Those would just be strikes. Quite telling, but they certainly don't account for exposure in general.DoctorMu wrote:The highest risk areas for hurricanes based upon 1900-2000 data are not surprisingly south Florida, North Carolina, Mobile, Mississippi, Louisiana, Galveston area. North Florida (Tampa, St. Augustine) is at low risk.
https://www.planswift.com/blog/hurrican ... uirements/
I'm sure the lack of refineries goes a long way in maintaining cleaner air in Florida.jasons wrote:Similar to today, with calm winds, tomorrow is shaping-up to be another air quality alert day.
Incidentally, I just did a lookup:
Houston Air Quality: 161, Unhealthy
Tampa Air Quality: 7, Good
St. Pete is at 2. TWO. That's pretty amazing.
At home - Spring is at 152, Unhealthy.
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Mon Jul 30, 2018 8:18 pm
Nice storm here in Stafford this evening! Pool is filled.
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 5:41 am
A weak cool front will drift across SE TX today and with thunderstorms possible. This weak front will bring drier air for Wednesday and Thursday with only slightly lower temps. Radar shows showers and thunderstorms N and NE of Houston this morning.
From the Houston-Galveston NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook issued this morning:
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible today as a weak cold front pushes through the area. Some of these storms could be strong to severe, capable of producing gusty winds, small hail, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.
From the Houston-Galveston NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook issued this morning:
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible today as a weak cold front pushes through the area. Some of these storms could be strong to severe, capable of producing gusty winds, small hail, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 8:00 am
0.51" of glorious rain yesterday in our corner of the desert!!mckinne63 wrote:Nice storm here in Stafford this evening! Pool is filled.
My wife and I sat outside yesterday afternoon, enjoying the lightening and thunder and feeling the cool outflow breeze. Then the rains came. It's nice to finally get some water on the lawn that didn't come out of the well.
My wife and I couldn't remember the last time we saw lightening and heard thunder. Not even sure we got that over the July 4th holiday weekend!!
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 8:08 am
I am surprised the line is holding together early this morning. Creeping closer to Eastern Metro Houston. Fingers crossed for some redevelopment later today for the West side of the Area!
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
803 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TRINITY...NORTHEASTERN GRIMES...
NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...SAN JACINTO...SOUTH CENTRAL HOUSTON...
SOUTHEASTERN MADISON...POLK AND WALKER COUNTIES UNTIL 845 AM CDT...
AT 803 AM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CHESTER TO HUNTSVILLE. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUNTSVILLE, LIVINGSTON, TRINITY, SHEPHERD, ONALASKA, CORRIGAN,
GROVETON, NEW WAVERLY, COLDSPRING, POINT BLANK, RIVERSIDE, GOODRICH,
SEVEN OAKS, SEBASTOPOL, LAKE LIVINGSTON STATE PARK, ALABAMA-COUSHATTA
RESERVATION, WEST LIVINGSTON, HUNTSVILLE STATE PARK, CRABBS PRAIRIE
AND LEGGETT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS, AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
803 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TRINITY...NORTHEASTERN GRIMES...
NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...SAN JACINTO...SOUTH CENTRAL HOUSTON...
SOUTHEASTERN MADISON...POLK AND WALKER COUNTIES UNTIL 845 AM CDT...
AT 803 AM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CHESTER TO HUNTSVILLE. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUNTSVILLE, LIVINGSTON, TRINITY, SHEPHERD, ONALASKA, CORRIGAN,
GROVETON, NEW WAVERLY, COLDSPRING, POINT BLANK, RIVERSIDE, GOODRICH,
SEVEN OAKS, SEBASTOPOL, LAKE LIVINGSTON STATE PARK, ALABAMA-COUSHATTA
RESERVATION, WEST LIVINGSTON, HUNTSVILLE STATE PARK, CRABBS PRAIRIE
AND LEGGETT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS, AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 8:12 am
Not gonna happen. Radar trends no bueno.
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 8:14 am
Storms are starting to develop SW around Matagorda...redneckweather wrote:Not gonna happen. Radar trends no bueno.
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 8:39 am
Our only hope is with the shortwave in the NW flow aloft over Central Texas organizing a bit with the heat of the day, but other than that, you're probably right.redneckweather wrote:Not gonna happen. Radar trends no bueno.
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 9:13 am
HRRR is showing development over most of Houston as the day progresses. I am def keeping my fingers crossed!
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 9:14 am
Man if this all slides off the the east and misses us again....
EDIT: I may get rain, I just might get rain....crossing fingers!!
EDIT: I may get rain, I just might get rain....crossing fingers!!
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 9:55 am
HGX reports waterspouts in the Gulf off Galveston.
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 10:00 am
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
955 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM...
GALVESTON BAY...
* UNTIL 1030 AM CDT.
* AT 955 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WATERSPOUTS WAS
LOCATED NEAR OFFATTS BAYOU...OR NEAR GALVESTON CAUSEWAY...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS.
HAZARD...WATERSPOUTS.
SOURCE...MARINE WEATHER SPOTTER.
IMPACT...WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY
HAZARDOUS SEAS.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORTH JETTY...GALVESTON SHIP CHANNEL AND GALVESTON BAY ENTRANCE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY
OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY.
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
955 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM...
GALVESTON BAY...
* UNTIL 1030 AM CDT.
* AT 955 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WATERSPOUTS WAS
LOCATED NEAR OFFATTS BAYOU...OR NEAR GALVESTON CAUSEWAY...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS.
HAZARD...WATERSPOUTS.
SOURCE...MARINE WEATHER SPOTTER.
IMPACT...WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY
HAZARDOUS SEAS.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORTH JETTY...GALVESTON SHIP CHANNEL AND GALVESTON BAY ENTRANCE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY
OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY.
Re: July 2018: Slow Drying Trend Expected/Here Comes The Hea
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 10:39 am
One of my favorite posts for this month. It was made on July 9th.Ptarmigan wrote:A wet start to July.
I am hearing some thunder and hoping that we can finish off the month with a bit of rain.
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 11:20 am
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1116 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018
GRIMES TX-WALLER TX-INLAND HARRIS TX-MONTGOMERY TX-AUSTIN TX-
1116 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN AUSTIN...SOUTHERN
GRIMES...EASTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN BRAZOS...SOUTHWESTERN
MONTGOMERY...WALLER AND NORTHWESTERN HARRIS COUNTIES UNTIL NOON
CDT...
AT 1116 AM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR PINEHURST TO PINE ISLAND. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PONDING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOMBALL, NAVASOTA, HEMPSTEAD, PRAIRIE VIEW, PINEHURST, HOCKLEY,
WALLER, MAGNOLIA, PINE ISLAND, STAGECOACH, PATTISON, TODD MISSION,
WILLOWBROOK, CYPRESS, DOBBIN, MONAVILLE, DACUS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1116 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018
GRIMES TX-WALLER TX-INLAND HARRIS TX-MONTGOMERY TX-AUSTIN TX-
1116 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN AUSTIN...SOUTHERN
GRIMES...EASTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN BRAZOS...SOUTHWESTERN
MONTGOMERY...WALLER AND NORTHWESTERN HARRIS COUNTIES UNTIL NOON
CDT...
AT 1116 AM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR PINEHURST TO PINE ISLAND. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PONDING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOMBALL, NAVASOTA, HEMPSTEAD, PRAIRIE VIEW, PINEHURST, HOCKLEY,
WALLER, MAGNOLIA, PINE ISLAND, STAGECOACH, PATTISON, TODD MISSION,
WILLOWBROOK, CYPRESS, DOBBIN, MONAVILLE, DACUS
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 11:26 am
We are getting soaked!Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 11:30 am
Don't want to jinx it, but the radar looks very promising right now. Please hold together!!!
Re: July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances
Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 11:41 am
I am hearing rumbles of thunder for the first time since July 4th! The SPC has just updated the Convective Outlook to include a Marginal Risk for SE Texas.