Wx Infinity Forums

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:32 pm**

How is a weaker storm like this able to push that dry air back like that?

Is it because the wind field is so large?

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:34 pm**

That’s a good PRO MET question

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:36 pm**

Sat loop certainly looking much healthier
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES1 ... 0x1000.gif

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:46 pm**

Recon has circled back twice now trying to fix the new center. Looks even further w than I initially thought.

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:51 pm**

Rip76 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:32 pm How is a weaker storm like this able to push that dry air back like that?

Is it because the wind field is so large?

Beta hasn't really pushed the dry air back that well actually. You could actually argue the dry air is the largest inhibiting factor why this system won't intensify much. It's also a reason why a lot of the models show less QPF over the region compared to similar storms because of the dry air. For Beta it's going to be a constant battle between the dry air and moisture trying to stream in. With that said, the larger size has helped some on trying to moisten up the environment.

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:56 pm**

Andrew wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:51 pm
Rip76 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:32 pm How is a weaker storm like this able to push that dry air back like that?

Is it because the wind field is so large?
Beta hasn't really pushed the dry air back that well actually. You could actually argue the dry air is the largest inhibiting factor why this system won't intensify much. It's also a reason why a lot of the models show less QPF over the region compared to similar storms because of the dry air. For Beta it's going to be a constant battle between the dry air and moisture trying to stream in. With that said, the larger size has helped some on trying to moisten up the environment.

Got it. thank you.

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:02 pm**

https://twitter.com/DylanFedericoWX/sta ... 0988129280

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:03 pm**

Is that an eye on radar? Seeing Bastardi and others in twitter talking about it. If it is, that’s interesting

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:05 pm**

https://twitter.com/icyclone/status/130 ... 01856?s=21

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:13 pm**

Surely that 105 gust is a typo?

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:13 pm**

davidiowx wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:05 pm https://twitter.com/icyclone/status/130 ... 01856?s=21

Wow , ok

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:23 pm**

Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:46 pm Recon has circled back twice now trying to fix the new center. Looks even further w than I initially thought.

NHC confirms that the center has relocated further w at 93.6 and a pressure of 996.

Unfortunately it looks like recon is headed home.

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:24 pm**

Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:23 pm
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:46 pm Recon has circled back twice now trying to fix the new center. Looks even further w than I initially thought.
NHC confirms that the center has relocated further w at 93.6 and a pressure of 996.

Unfortunately it looks like recon is headed home.

Sooooo 2020.

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:30 pm**

It’s really trying to insulate it’s center with this blow up. Good view on visible.

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:31 pm**

Andrew wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:51 pm
Rip76 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 12:32 pm How is a weaker storm like this able to push that dry air back like that?

Is it because the wind field is so large?
Beta hasn't really pushed the dry air back that well actually. You could actually argue the dry air is the largest inhibiting factor why this system won't intensify much. It's also a reason why a lot of the models show less QPF over the region compared to similar storms because of the dry air. For Beta it's going to be a constant battle between the dry air and moisture trying to stream in. With that said, the larger size has helped some on trying to moisten up the environment.

Guess I stand corrected...water vape loop just gave me that impression. I guess we will see what it does with it’s environment.

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:32 pm**

I saw it too.

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:33 pm**

Getting some pretty good sustainable winds here in Beaumont with some gusts. I wasn’t expecting this. Just saw the 1pm wind swath and now currently covers extreme SETX and Beaumont. Not yet to houston. But wind gust this far out from coc? Have feeling Beta may pull a few tricks we are not expecting. Eye? Wow!

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:34 pm**

Got a good down pour in surfside wind has been steady pretty much all morning those flags are humming along

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:36 pm**

Sure look like eye wall structure.
https://weather.com/weather/radar/inter ... 5e3122056d

Posted: **Sun Sep 20, 2020 1:40 pm**

Updated storm surge per Jeff Lindner “ Updated storm surge values now 3-5 ft in Galveston Bay and the coast NE of San Luis Pass”

https://twitter.com/jefflindner1/status ... 50752?s=21

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