Wx Infinity Forums

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:44 pm**

Rgem mesoscale shifted south also

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:46 pm**

I’ve been on this board for a very long time.
Every time this has happened it has been, “it will probably not make it south of I-10.”

So we just wait.

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:49 pm**

What about golden triangle? Are we out?

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:49 pm**

Rip76 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:46 pm I’ve been on this board for a very long time.
Every time this has happened it has been, “it will probably not make it south of I-10.”

So we just wait.

Its going to do what it wants..regardless of what a computer is telling it to do

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:02 pm**

snowman65 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:49 pm What about golden triangle? Are we out?

No

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:06 pm**

Rip76 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:46 pm I’ve been on this board for a very long time.
Every time this has happened it has been, “it will probably not make it south of I-10.”

So we just wait.

It probably will not make it south of I10..There ...LOL

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:14 pm**

Looks like a road trip for me tomorrow...hit Texas Burger in Madisonville around lunch and hang out for a bit then head to my uncles place in Bedias. Probably stay in the area till late evening, hopefully get into some heavy snow. Then head back home to Lake Conroe and maybe see some good snow flurries at the house after dark.

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:16 pm**

00z GFS is intriguing. If it were to verify, Houston could briefly see some heavy wet snow between 6-9pm before we start drying out.

I've also been following the ULL since it moved onto the west coast and going back and comparing to the model suites. It seems to continue digging a bit further south than what models keep showing and they are playing catch up. NAM/GFS and now HRRR continue to correct itself with higher totals expanding southward and now showing minor accumulation from Columbus to Tomball, Spring and Kingwood.

Models have served its purpose well this week tracking the set up, but now it's 'nowcasting' time for the most part. If you're up in College Station to Madisonville up towards Lufkin, if it works out just right, you all could see 4-6+ inches.

00z (6pm Sunday)

: 00Z/6pm

03Z (9pm Sunday)

: 03z/9pm

ULL

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:24 pm**

snowman65 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 9:49 pm What about golden triangle? Are we out?

Been down to Austin, Natural Bridge and San Antonio all day...but lurking and scanning models...

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:25 pm**

Belmer wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:16 pm 00z GFS is intriguing. If it were to verify, Houston could briefly see some heavy wet snow between 6-9pm before we start drying out.

I've also been following the ULL since it moved onto the west coast and going back and comparing to the model suites. It seems to continue digging a bit further south than what models keep showing and they are playing catch up. NAM/GFS and now HRRR continue to correct itself with higher totals expanding southward and now showing minor accumulation from Columbus to Tomball, Spring and Kingwood.

Models have served its purpose well this week tracking the set up, but now it's 'nowcasting' time for the most part. If you're up in College Station to Madisonville up towards Lufkin, if it works out just right, you all could see 4-6+ inches.

00z (6pm Sunday)
00z.PNG

03Z (9pm Sunday)
03z.PNG

ULL

And there ya go

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:27 pm**

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:25 pm
Belmer wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:16 pm 00z GFS is intriguing. If it were to verify, Houston could briefly see some heavy wet snow between 6-9pm before we start drying out.

I've also been following the ULL since it moved onto the west coast and going back and comparing to the model suites. It seems to continue digging a bit further south than what models keep showing and they are playing catch up. NAM/GFS and now HRRR continue to correct itself with higher totals expanding southward and now showing minor accumulation from Columbus to Tomball, Spring and Kingwood.

Models have served its purpose well this week tracking the set up, but now it's 'nowcasting' time for the most part. If you're up in College Station to Madisonville up towards Lufkin, if it works out just right, you all could see 4-6+ inches.

00z (6pm Sunday)
00z.PNG

03Z (9pm Sunday)
03z.PNG

ULL

And there ya go

Stratus clouds arrive early in San Antonio this afternoon. She's wound up and ready to dig deep.

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:32 pm**

Dallas peeps on 2k are going crazy thinking they just got screwed again

lol

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:32 pm**

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:27 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:25 pm
Belmer wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:16 pm 00z GFS is intriguing. If it were to verify, Houston could briefly see some heavy wet snow between 6-9pm before we start drying out.

I've also been following the ULL since it moved onto the west coast and going back and comparing to the model suites. It seems to continue digging a bit further south than what models keep showing and they are playing catch up. NAM/GFS and now HRRR continue to correct itself with higher totals expanding southward and now showing minor accumulation from Columbus to Tomball, Spring and Kingwood.

Models have served its purpose well this week tracking the set up, but now it's 'nowcasting' time for the most part. If you're up in College Station to Madisonville up towards Lufkin, if it works out just right, you all could see 4-6+ inches.

00z (6pm Sunday)
00z.PNG

03Z (9pm Sunday)
03z.PNG

ULL

And there ya go

Stratus clouds arrive early in San Antonio this afternoon. She's wound up and ready to dig deep.

Agreed.

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:45 pm**

With dynamics like we have, not only could we see thunder snow tomorrow but snow ratios may be 12:1 or 13:1. If latest models are right, this will be historic. It's important not to let our imaginations run wild. Rarely will the model be correct. I've always been taught to always take the 'under' on snowfall totals than the over.

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:49 pm**

KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:45 pm With dynamics like we have, not only could we see thunder snow tomorrow but snow ratios may be 12:1 or 13:1. If latest models are right, this will be historic. It's important not to let our imaginations run wild. Rarely will the model be correct. I've always been taught to always take the 'under' on snowfall totals than the over.

Blake I’m right up the street from KHOU. Are you suggesting thunder snow is possible in our neck of the woods?

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:51 pm**

Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:32 pm Dallas peeps on 2k are going crazy thinking they just got screwed again lol

What are they complaining about they’ve have plenty of winter storms. SMH.

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:51 pm**

txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:49 pm
KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:45 pm With dynamics like we have, not only could we see thunder snow tomorrow but snow ratios may be 12:1 or 13:1. If latest models are right, this will be historic. It's important not to let our imaginations run wild. Rarely will the model be correct. I've always been taught to always take the 'under' on snowfall totals than the over.
Blake I’m right up the street from KHOU. Are you suggesting thunder snow is possible in our neck of the woods?

The snow will be in the northwest counties. I'm not totally ruling out snow in Harris County but accumulations looks minimal if any. Of course these systems always have surprises. I've lived here too long and seen too many surprises for it not to be true this time.

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:52 pm**

vci_guy2003 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:51 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:32 pm Dallas peeps on 2k are going crazy thinking they just got screwed again lol
What are they complaining about they’ve have plenty of winter storms. SMH.

I stopped going on there a few days back. Every post was them wish casting the storm to come their way.

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:56 pm**

Belmer wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:16 pm 00z GFS is intriguing. If it were to verify, Houston could briefly see some heavy wet snow between 6-9pm before we start drying out.

I've also been following the ULL since it moved onto the west coast and going back and comparing to the model suites. It seems to continue digging a bit further south than what models keep showing and they are playing catch up. NAM/GFS and now HRRR continue to correct itself with higher totals expanding southward and now showing minor accumulation from Columbus to Tomball, Spring and Kingwood.

Models have served its purpose well this week tracking the set up, but now it's 'nowcasting' time for the most part. If you're up in College Station to Madisonville up towards Lufkin, if it works out just right, you all could see 4-6+ inches.

00z (6pm Sunday)
00z.PNG

03Z (9pm Sunday)
03z.PNG

ULL

When you mention the possibility of heavy wet snow for “Houston,” are you referring to the city itself or other areas outside city limits like Cypress, Tomball, etc?

Posted: **Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:59 pm**

Cmc has shifted south!!

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