February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:35 am
Stormlover2020 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:25 am Not to impress with the gfs run
Nothing has changed. It may be a little slower than 0z which is fine by me
Slower increases the chance of snow.
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:33 am Accuweather TV has a ‘Winter Weather Potential” map for Monday, focused on Texas that they have been showing.

The map they are showing today is the same map they were showing last night - they have not changed it. We are in a band of pink and the pink stops just short of the coast.
It's Accuweather. :lol:
Kingwood36
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Blake is calling for frozen precip Wed and thurs
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vci_guy2003
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DoctorMu wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:16 am
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 8:58 am Yep... models suck with these types of fronts.

That’s wild to think about given how cold they are showing but shaving 3-5 off is probably a decent bet
We're just about freezing right now. The last 3 days have been colder than predicted.
What’s your location?
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DoctorMu
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Kingwood36 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:28 am Blake is calling for frozen precip Wed and thurs
That's awesome. Here is our local 7 day. Pin it.
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DoctorMu
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vci_guy2003 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:30 am
DoctorMu wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:16 am
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 8:58 am Yep... models suck with these types of fronts.

That’s wild to think about given how cold they are showing but shaving 3-5 off is probably a decent bet
We're just about freezing right now. The last 3 days have been colder than predicted.
What’s your location?
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Cpv17
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redneckweather wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:00 am Why doesn't Wxman post in this forum? He posts over in Storm2k regularly which is 90% Texas Yankees, not even his neck of the woods.
He has before I’m pretty sure If I remember correctly but it’s a once in a blue moon type of thing when he posts on here.
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DoctorMu
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don wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:48 am 12Z CMC looks similar to the ICON with a minor winter storm Saturday into Valentines day.It also has more precip and is less progressive than its 0z run with the Presidents Day storm.
Canadian won the Jan 10th sweepstakes, fwiw. 8-)
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snowman65
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DoctorMu wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:33 am
Kingwood36 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:28 am Blake is calling for frozen precip Wed and thurs
That's awesome. Here is our local 7 day. Pin it.
LOL...ours is summertime pattern compared to yals.
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christinac2016
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Do you think they'll start spraying the roads with the solution to deice or make it where the ice doesn't freeze?
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tireman4
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:34 am
redneckweather wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:00 am Why doesn't Wxman post in this forum? He posts over in Storm2k regularly which is 90% Texas Yankees, not even his neck of the woods.
He has before I’m pretty sure If I remember correctly but it’s a once in a blue moon type of thing when he posts on here.
He loves the give and take there..:)
Cpv17
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It’s snowing around some parts of central Texas now. I know some parts of the Austin area are seeing it.
Kingwood36
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So are the odds going up for this to start sooner around Sunday afternoon?
Cromagnum
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Please pay attention to what is happening to our Northern brothers. I suspect Monday is going to look just like this down here.

https://www.facebook.com/10000028618083 ... 288368371/
Kingwood36
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Cromagnum wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:56 am Please pay attention to what is happening to our Northern brothers. I suspect Monday is going to look just like this down here.

https://www.facebook.com/10000028618083 ... 288368371/
Not if ppl stay off the damn road
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snowman65
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Cromagnum wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:56 am Please pay attention to what is happening to our Northern brothers. I suspect Monday is going to look just like this down here.

https://www.facebook.com/10000028618083 ... 288368371/
I just saw that and shared it...horrible...hopefully people will take this stuff seriously.
Seantx81
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snowman65 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 12:00 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:56 am Please pay attention to what is happening to our Northern brothers. I suspect Monday is going to look just like this down here.

https://www.facebook.com/10000028618083 ... 288368371/
I just saw that and shared it...horrible...hopefully people will take this stuff seriously.
This video is so bad. I had to stop watching it was giving me a panic attack.
I keep losing my usernames. Formerly vertigoss/seanatsk.

Survived Ike in Katy, Harvey in Dickinson and Allison in my car.
biggerbyte
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Don't be surprised if all this talk of frozen precip. fades away from today on. The NWS has dropped any mention of it from my forecast as of this writing. I do not want an ice storm anyway, but some snow would have been nice. We will literally just have to wait and nowcast, folks, then be prepared for the usual disappointment.
Kingwood36
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biggerbyte wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 12:03 pm Don't be surprised if all this talk of frozen precip. fades away from today on. The NWS has dropped any mention of it from my forecast as of this writing. I do not want an ice storm anyway, but some snow would have been nice. We will literally just have to wait and nowcast, folks, then be prepared for the usual disappointment.
Dont know where you are at but it's still there for me
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MontgomeryCoWx
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biggerbyte wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 12:03 pm Don't be surprised if all this talk of frozen precip. fades away from today on. The NWS has dropped any mention of it from my forecast as of this writing. I do not want an ice storm anyway, but some snow would have been nice. We will literally just have to wait and nowcast, folks, then be prepared for the usual disappointment.
Maybe for you, but I’m guessing your down way south although I expect you’ll still see some.

It’s going to happen for sure I10 north.
Team #NeverSummer
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