February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
Posts: 5316
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Wow, this is for the second cold blast later next week. Ridiculous!!

Image
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5406
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

NWS forecast for me has not been updated...yet.

Disco should be out in an hour or so ahead of the afternoon package update:

Washington's Birthday
Rain, freezing rain, and sleet likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
A 20 percent chance of snow. Partly cloudy, with a low around 20.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 43.
User avatar
christinac2016
Posts: 115
Joined: Thu Dec 01, 2016 3:18 pm
Location: The Woodlands
Contact:

jasons2k wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:54 pm NWS forecast for me has not been updated...yet.

Disco should be out in an hour or so ahead of the afternoon package update:

Washington's Birthday
Rain, freezing rain, and sleet likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
A 20 percent chance of snow. Partly cloudy, with a low around 20.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 43.
The Weather channel shows for Spring/The Woodlands Sunday night low of 26 with snow and ice accumulation. Monday high of 29 and low of 14 with snow in morning.
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19616
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:51 pm Wow, this is for the second cold blast later next week. Ridiculous!!

Image
Another view from the CPC and it's looking like the chilly air will continue into late February.
Attachments
610temp.new (5).gif
814temp.new (1).gif
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5406
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Kingwood sorry to hear your question didn’t get answered. It can become a torrent of posts when it’s busy. It is more DFW-focused but the only we can change that is to post :)
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

jasons2k wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:01 pm Kingwood sorry to hear your question didn’t get answered. It can become a torrent of posts when it’s busy. It is more DFW-focused but the only we can change that is to post :)
No worries man..I prefer this site anyway since the ppl actually respond and it's local..kinda hard to get a word in edge wise if you don't live in North Texas on that other page
User avatar
don
Posts: 2629
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

18Z NAM has most of the area not getting out of the 30s all day Saturday.
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5406
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

The NAM has been running too warm in DFW too...busted today
biggerbyte
Posts: 1142
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:15 am
Location: Porter, Texas. (Montgomery County)
Contact:

My forecast is now calling for freezing temps day and night. There is also now a believable forecast for sleet and snow.
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

It’s possible we go a full 72 hours below freezing.

Reading several AFDs and of course seeing the models, it’s very clear the Euro is being discarded by most.

With that said, the Euro continues to cave to the GFS, so the trend is there.
Team #NeverSummer
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

biggerbyte wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:38 pm My forecast is now calling for freezing temps day and night. There is also now a believable forecast for sleet and snow.
I think EVERYONE'S forecast calls for that now 😀
txsnowmaker
Posts: 632
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 4:07 pm
Location: SW Houston (Galleria area)
Contact:

I am beyond thrilled with some of the latest snow forecasts for Houston on Monday...


https://www.wunderground.com/hourly/us/ ... /2021-2-15

https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/5b ... 1335098f31
User avatar
don
Posts: 2629
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

I've noticed that models are starting to pick up on the disturbance that passes over the area this weekend. We could see freezing rain/sleet as early as Saturday evening into Valentines day.
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

don wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:46 pm I've noticed that models are starting to pick up on the disturbance that passes over the area this weekend. We could see freezing rain/sleet as early as Saturday evening into Valentines day.
That's not the main one for Monday right?
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:48 pm
don wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:46 pm I've noticed that models are starting to pick up on the disturbance that passes over the area this weekend. We could see freezing rain/sleet as early as Saturday evening into Valentines day.
That's not the main one for Monday right?
Nope
Team #NeverSummer
Andrew
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3440
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:46 pm
Location: North-West Houston
Contact:

Interesting to note some of the trouble the GFS (and models in general) are having with the shallowness of this cold air so far (click on the image to view the gif).
Attachments
gfs_Td2m_scus_fh0_trend (1).gif
For Your Infinite Source For All Things Weather Visit Our Facebook
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

So when r we suppose to start getting cold? It's 76 here
TexasBreeze
Posts: 943
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 4:46 pm
Location: NW Houston, TX
Contact:

The first front goes through tonight with overrunning rain developing behind it tonight and tomorrow.
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:16 pm So when r we suppose to start getting cold? It's 76 here
I’ve been chilly for 24 hours. Only stepping down from here. In the 40s at the moment.
Team #NeverSummer
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:18 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:16 pm So when r we suppose to start getting cold? It's 76 here
I’ve been chilly for 24 hours. Only stepping down from here. In the 40s at the moment.
Damn I'm at 75 wth lol
Post Reply
  • Information