February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

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Katdaddy
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February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

Post by Katdaddy » Tue Jan 26, 2021 6:27 pm

February is not far away. Will it feel more like Winter or Spring? I guess the Groundhog will give us a clue. ;)

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srainhoutx
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Re: February 2021

Post by srainhoutx » Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:40 am

The overnight Ensembles suggest a strong Arctic invasion is developing as February begins. The effect of the Sudden Stratospheric Warning event in early January is reaching our part of the Northern Hemisphere. Get those Winter Clothes ready!
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Re: February 2021

Post by BlueJay » Sun Jan 31, 2021 10:13 am

Katdaddy wrote:
Tue Jan 26, 2021 6:27 pm
February is not far away. Will it feel more like Winter or Spring? I guess the Groundhog will give us a clue. ;)
I think the groundhog will see his shadow.

Winter continues. :|

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Re: February 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Sun Jan 31, 2021 10:55 am

srainhoutx wrote:
Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:40 am
The overnight Ensembles suggest a strong Arctic invasion is developing as February begins. The effect of the Sudden Stratospheric Warning event in early January is reaching our part of the Northern Hemisphere. Get those Winter Clothes ready!
The GFS doesn’t even have much of a front through here lol the coldest it gets is the upper 30’s. It has all the cold air going east.

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Re: February 2021

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Jan 31, 2021 11:38 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Sun Jan 31, 2021 10:55 am
srainhoutx wrote:
Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:40 am
The overnight Ensembles suggest a strong Arctic invasion is developing as February begins. The effect of the Sudden Stratospheric Warning event in early January is reaching our part of the Northern Hemisphere. Get those Winter Clothes ready!
The GFS doesn’t even have much of a front through here lol the coldest it gets is the upper 30’s. It has all the cold air going east.
GFS' track record this winter has been awful.

Euro and Canadian have been bringing the cold in a week. If there's precip. at just the right time - might avoid the warm nose.

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Re: February 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:06 pm

The GFS and Euro are now both in agreement that the coldest air will be well east of Texas. Still a long ways out though and it could easily shift back west as we get closer. Models do this all the time at this range and then slowly shift back west. We’ll see.

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Re: February 2021

Post by don » Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:33 pm

12z EURO and CMC both show a winter storm setup early next week. Getting a glancing blow of cold air is better for us if you want a better chance of frozen precip.As a direct blast of arctic air would cause 9 times out of 10 too much suppression/dry air for any precip. But its still really early expect a lot of flip flopping as the models get a better handle on the upper level pattern.

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Re: February 2021

Post by snowman65 » Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:50 pm

My wife and I are thinking of going to Branson, Mo. the week of Feb 8-13. What would this do to the weather there for that week? Thanks!

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Re: February 2021

Post by danmaloney » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:07 am

The SSW has so far failed to give Houston anything. Now all we are talking about is a glancing blow of air that goes East.

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Re: February 2021

Post by Kingwood36 » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:34 am

I just want some cold weather screw the rain or snow or whatever..hell is approaching faster and faster and pretty soon will be in the 90s again

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