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12z euro is cold with a low of 15 in Houston on Tuesday AM but a high of 37 lol. Keeps everything liquid here. Storm track is further north keeping the warm nose in place. Looks very similar to a few weeks ago when College Station got snow and Houston didn't. Interesting.

That's a huge buzzkill Blake!

Boooo to the Euro

davidiowx wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:57 pm That's a huge buzzkill Blake!

Meh, the Euro is out to pasture while all the rest of the models are in agreement.

Euro has sucked this week too.

KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:54 pm 12z euro is cold with a low of 15 in Houston on Tuesday AM but a high of 37 lol. Keeps everything liquid here. Storm track is further north keeping the warm nose in place. Looks very similar to a few weeks ago when College Station got snow and Houston didn't. Interesting.

By liquid does it mean freezing rain only?

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:58 pm

davidiowx wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:57 pm That's a huge buzzkill Blake!

Meh, the Euro is out to pasture while all the rest of the models are in agreement.

Euro has sucked this week too.

Its actually the worst I’ve ever seen it perform.

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ec ... VUvGUE.png
The Euro does bring the wintry precip into west houston, irs very close

KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:54 pm 12z euro is cold with a low of 15 in Houston on Tuesday AM but a high of 37 lol. Keeps everything liquid here. Storm track is further north keeping the warm nose in place. Looks very similar to a few weeks ago when College Station got snow and Houston didn't. Interesting.

That's what I've been seeing on the Euro.

vci_guy2003 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:01 pm

KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:54 pm 12z euro is cold with a low of 15 in Houston on Tuesday AM but a high of 37 lol. Keeps everything liquid here. Storm track is further north keeping the warm nose in place. Looks very similar to a few weeks ago when College Station got snow and Houston didn't. Interesting.

By liquid does it mean freezing rain only?

Yep. That's of course the worst case scenario. Power outages, shut down major highways.

So the event is cancelled cuz of the euro? Lol

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:58 pm

davidiowx wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:57 pm That's a huge buzzkill Blake!

Meh, the Euro is out to pasture while all the rest of the models are in agreement.

Euro has sucked this week too.

Canadian, fwiw was the most accurate model for the Jan 10th system. Canadian is calling for snow down to HOU on Monday and ice storm on Wed/Thu...

KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:54 pm 12z euro is cold with a low of 15 in Houston on Tuesday AM but a high of 37 lol. Keeps everything liquid here. Storm track is further north keeping the warm nose in place. Looks very similar to a few weeks ago when College Station got snow and Houston didn't. Interesting.

Hah. If our area can't get snow with a setup this good then we aren't getting a chance again.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:14 pm

KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:54 pm 12z euro is cold with a low of 15 in Houston on Tuesday AM but a high of 37 lol. Keeps everything liquid here. Storm track is further north keeping the warm nose in place. Looks very similar to a few weeks ago when College Station got snow and Houston didn't. Interesting.

Hah. If our area can't get snow with a setup this good then we aren't getting a chance again.

Truest words ever spoken.

Remember gang ( using my Srain voice), models will flip flop ALOT on our way to this event. The trend is your friend....

Isn't this cold airnass supposed to be shallow? Can't get snow from that. Sounds like an ice storm to me. If that is the case we better hope this event gets canceled.

I don't think getting freezing precip versus cold rain will be a problem. It is which frozen type that is harder to pin down. There is much more agreement on ice and sleet instead of snow here. Sleet can accumulate quickly. Like Jasons2k said, I would prepare for extended power outages made worse by teens temps. May turn over to snow with wrap around though once the system goes on top and past the area...

biggerbyte wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:23 pm Isn't this cold airnass supposed to be shallow? Can't get snow from that. Sounds like an ice storm to me. If that is the case we better hope this event gets canceled.

GFS and some of the more aggressive models indicate temps could quickly dip into the 20s Monday evening which could help to further reduce temperatures across the whole column. Plus when the area of low pressure tracks south and east of the region we will see even cooler temperatures filter south. Still, a lot of details to figure out but I do lean more towards the GFS solution than the ECMWF solution right now.

Just think too there are winter weather advisories not too far north currently with this weaker front from last night. Keep that in mind when the full blown arctic front comes through...

TexasBreeze wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:39 pm Just think too there are winter weather advisories not too far north currently with this weaker front from last night. Keep that in mind when the full blown arctic front comes through...

When is this weaker front suppose to push off the coast?

I don’t buy the Euro solution. Trends have been colder with it though and suspect that continues.