May 2021:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed May 26, 2021 1:01 am DoctorMu that front wont do much in the way of dropping temps lol, highs will still be in the middle 80’s
I meant how far south, but that too. The front should keep things cloudier and cooler and moister... 8-)
Stratton20
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Cpv12 that tropical storm disappeared in the 12 z GFS rub, I wouldnt pay any attention to it unless its inside of 7-8 days
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed May 26, 2021 1:11 pm Cpv12 that tropical storm disappeared in the 12 z GFS rub, I wouldnt pay any attention to it unless its inside of 7-8 days
In situations like that I don’t really pay much attention to it unless it has ensemble support. The problem with the GFS is that it’s bad with genesis. Often times it’ll sniff something out in the long range and then drop it completely and then not pick back up on it till a depression or a ts has formed. Think back to last year and how many times it did that. Hanna was a good example.
Stratton20
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Cpc17 that definitely is true, we had a few surprise storms that the models only picked up on after they became a depression, wouldnt be too shocked if we see something like that happen in the tropics again, just hopefully not on our doorstep haha
Cromagnum
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Holy crap the mosquito plague has begun.
Cpv17
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Cromagnum wrote: Wed May 26, 2021 7:31 pm Holy crap the mosquito plague has begun.
Yeah that’s no lie. I got ate alive today lol
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MontgomeryCoWx
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My legs are a mess with bites and my chicken coop is a soupy mess outside of it.

I bought the captivator fly and mosquito trap. I’m going to move dirt in to kill the stench and bought lye as well.
Team #NeverSummer
Stratton20
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Seems like Computer models are saying we will get a front( although a weak one) to push all the way into the gulf, while no models show any tropical development atm we all know that stalled fronts in the gulf always bear watching for any sort of weak low pressure area to develope, especially since sea surface temps are starting to warm up especially in the Northern Gulf
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed May 26, 2021 10:39 pm Seems like Computer models are saying we will get a front( although a weak one) to push all the way into the gulf, while no models show any tropical development atm we all know that stalled fronts in the gulf always bear watching for any sort of weak low pressure area to develope, especially since sea surface temps are starting to warm up especially in the Northern Gulf
The front is now progged to cruise past CLL to the coast. Low to mid 80s highs for a week after Friday.

That's a shame. :lol:
Stratton20
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doctormu haha well it is late may after all, might as well stop calling cold fronts “ cold fronts” and just call them fronts that dont do much😂😂
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jasons2k
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Fronts have consistently over-performed since February. Lots of late season school snaps here and late season snow in Denver, etc. When everything buckled with snowmageddon we’ve consistently had cold shots down the front range. I’ve seen this pattern lock in years past.
It’s like we’re a month behind all spring.
I’ll gladly take another cool shot while we can and an extra bonus would be to dry out some if it can clear the coast.
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu May 27, 2021 2:14 am doctormu haha well it is late may after all, might as well stop calling cold fronts “ cold fronts” and just call them fronts that dont do much😂😂
I'll still take 80s over 90s...and 100s. 8-)
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Thu May 27, 2021 8:05 am Fronts have consistently over-performed since February. Lots of late season school snaps here and late season snow in Denver, etc. When everything buckled with snowmageddon we’ve consistently had cold shots down the front range. I’ve seen this pattern lock in years past.
It’s like we’re a month behind all spring.
I’ll gladly take another cool shot while we can and an extra bonus would be to dry out some if it can clear the coast.
Exactly.
Stratton20
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Enjoy it while it lasts yall as this is more than likely the last front we see for the next 4-5 months haha
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu May 27, 2021 12:05 pm Enjoy it while it lasts yall as this is more than likely the last front we see for the next 4-5 months haha
Over the past 3 years, we've seen fronts in June, July, or August. Certainly unusual...but this is an unusual year so far.
Cpv17
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DoctorMu wrote: Thu May 27, 2021 12:47 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Thu May 27, 2021 12:05 pm Enjoy it while it lasts yall as this is more than likely the last front we see for the next 4-5 months haha
Over the past 3 years, we've seen fronts in June, July, or August. Certainly unusual...but this is an unusual year so far.
Yeah that’s true! I actually remember those fronts. Didn’t make a huge difference but I remember seeing the water a lot clearer along the coast due to the north winds and there was a slight drop in humidity.
Stratton20
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Well i mean dont expect the fronts to do much in the summer months, definitely gonna be stupid hot🤣
Stratton20
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Northern Gulf Sea temps have risen quite fast, that 26 celcius line (80 degrees) has reached all the way up to galveston bay
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu May 27, 2021 1:02 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Thu May 27, 2021 12:47 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Thu May 27, 2021 12:05 pm Enjoy it while it lasts yall as this is more than likely the last front we see for the next 4-5 months haha
Over the past 3 years, we've seen fronts in June, July, or August. Certainly unusual...but this is an unusual year so far.
Yeah that’s true! I actually remember those fronts. Didn’t make a huge difference but I remember seeing the water a lot clearer along the coast due to the north winds and there was a slight drop in humidity.
Mainly a drop in humidity although the early July front dipped temps....and the August front killed off the 100s.
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu May 27, 2021 2:19 pm Northern Gulf Sea temps have risen quite fast, that 26 celcius line (80 degrees) has reached all the way up to galveston bay
...add in a stalled front?
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