Wx Infinity Forums

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Fri May 28, 2021 8:43 pm

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Fri May 28, 2021 8:14 pm Please let this fizzle our or stay north. I need a few more days of dry so I can attempt to mow the backyard swamp.

It may actually go south of you. Well the worst of it anyway from the looks of it according to the HRR.

Looks to be hooking back at me. Lots of hail signatures too.

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 958 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Pattison, or near Brookshire, moving southeast at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Rosenberg, Katy, Richmond, Sealy, Brookshire, Pecan Grove, Eldridge /
West Oaks, Mission Bend, Addicks Park Ten, Needville, East Bernard,
Wallis, Fulshear, Pleak, Pine Island, Simonton, Fairchilds, San
Felipe, Beasley and Pattison.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

Getting hammered in katy right now, some strong winds just blew over my basketball goal tight on top of my car

That line that just went through mission bend has some velocity to it.

We’ve gotten 1” so far here tonight and still raining pretty steadily out there. The 0z GFS is wet tonight. Shows chances for rain just about every day through the entire run.

Friendswood got hammered, and still getting a bit.

The 0z Euro came in very wet showing about 2-4” across southeast TX through the next 10 days. Almost the whole state of TX looks wet.

I know nome of the models are indicating anything tropical developing over the next 10-15 days in the gulf because of alot of sinking air that presides in the gulf right now, however I am getting a little interested in the 12z GFS run because it indicates around the June 2-6th timeframe, their is a period in which the GFS has more green or rising air over the gulf, as we know rising air tends to promote thunderstorm growth, not saying anything is going to happen, just something of note I saw in the model run

Scorcher outside right now.

Another pretty wet stretch coming up:

Noaa calls for a well above normal precipitation period while the WPC only has southeast Texas picking up .25 to maybe 1 inch for the entire week

I’m guessing today’s rain chances fizzled out.

Rip76 wrote: ↑Sat May 29, 2021 4:15 pm I’m guessing today’s rain chances fizzled out.

Yep they have been lowered for the rest of today along with next week’s rain chances. Ridging is a touch stronger, and it’s still a tad dry.

Boooo I want that ridge to stay away! Hope next week rain chances go back up, as someone who lived in the middle east for 2 years, ai cant stand dry weather, rainy weather is where its at!

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat May 29, 2021 2:55 pm Noaa calls for a well above normal precipitation period while the WPC only has southeast Texas picking up .25 to maybe 1 inch for the entire week

That’s a 6 to 10 day forecast for the dates of June 4th through June 8th from the CPC. The WPC QPF forecast is for the next 7 days and often times the WPC is way off on their predictions and it tends to actually rain quite a bit more than what it’s actually saying. They’re usually very conservative.

Couple of storms near Beaumont, moving SW.
Should die out before Houston.

The 0z Euro came in very wet showing 4-6”.

Strong signal in the GFS for potential tropical development in the gulf around the 9th or 10th, I know its far out but some people are starting to mention it, definitely could happen as conditions are slowly becoming more conducive for development

Rip76 wrote: ↑Sat May 29, 2021 4:15 pm I’m guessing today’s rain chances fizzled out.

Those rain chances that were originally predicted for Saturday actually came late Friday night so no they didn’t really fizzle out, they just came earlier than predicted.