June 2021:
Feels like the end of July out there instead of mid June. 96° with a feels like of 108°. Just flat out unbearable.
You'd be surprised. She actually deals with this more when it's warm to borderline hot in the 80s when it's not too unbearable for us humans. Usually when it's like today, nobody is doing anything outside.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Jun 13, 2021 3:07 pm Cromagnum I know I made my walk short, under 10 minutes around the mailbox, cant stand being in heat, but yeah im definitely keeping my doggo out of this awful heat
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Euro ensembles show mostly Texas for 92L
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Cromagnum man it's going to be hard to walk my doggo considering this unbearable weather will be lasting at least the next 3 months, unfortunately my dog most likely wont be alive by then, has an incurable cancer
Last edited by Stratton20 on Sun Jun 13, 2021 3:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Harveyvallison yeah they do, Operational models are favoring SE Lousiana, other spaghetti models take this back into mexico, this is just an absolute mess of a forecast
The reason why spaghetti models take 92L into Mexico is because the center marked right now is not the same low the models show forming into a storm later this week.There are multiple vorticities rotating around the gyre, and the one currently marked by the NHC is not what models have forming. The current vorticity will move inland or dissipate over the next couple of days, and when that happens that's when the models show another piece of energy rotating around the gyre and undergoing tropical genesis.Expect more flip flops until there is an established system.
And while I would lean more towards a dry weekend being in the cards for us at this time. I still wouldn't write this system off quite yet as the models are showing a track very close to a landfall along the Texas coast and even slight deviations in track or organization will make a big difference on rather we have sunny and dry conditions or a windy washout.Especially considering we don't have a defined center yet and the average forecast error in models in this range.
And while I would lean more towards a dry weekend being in the cards for us at this time. I still wouldn't write this system off quite yet as the models are showing a track very close to a landfall along the Texas coast and even slight deviations in track or organization will make a big difference on rather we have sunny and dry conditions or a windy washout.Especially considering we don't have a defined center yet and the average forecast error in models in this range.
Last edited by don on Sun Jun 13, 2021 3:35 pm, edited 2 times in total.
I’m up at Texas Motor Speedway (just NW of Ft Worth) for the Nascar race this evening and it’s absolutely miserable with the heat.
Hopefully us here in Beaumont at the TX/LA border will see some beneficial cooling rains from this system. Most will be east Im assuming but with us so close to LA, possible wrap around moisture for us IF it heads more for SW/Central LA.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
It was hot today! Just the beginning of it dries out and we don’t get some rain
Literally just stole the words right out of my mouth. Our weather here is wack. It used to not be like this. And my intuition is telling me that the water hose has turned off and we’re about to enter one long hot and dry pattern.
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Cpv17 I hope your intuition isnt right for this event, dry weather and hot weather is not welcomed here
I have that feeling as well. I sure hope we are wrong. It’s been a wet May with 20”+ IMBY between the last week of April to the end of May. Not quite half our average through the year so far, but that heat and drought out west is concerning with the fast drying clay soil we have. I hope we don’t have a long watering season
99°F in IAH today.
While we’re watching the BOC, there’s some weather moving in from the East to the Houston area tonight.
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00 Z GFS shows the same scenario, CMC further east, im disappointed that we wont get any rain from 92L
Out of sheer curiosity, for the uninitiated (myself having lived here until a handful of years ago), what did it used to be like?