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Re: June 2021

Posted: Fri Jun 04, 2021 7:29 pm
by Cpv17
The Euro might actually be better this year with genesis. Last year it was terrible but it was still better than the GFS. Anyway, this is the last frame at 240 hours from today’s 12z Euro:

Image

Definitely has something brewing down there in the BOC.

Re: June 2021

Posted: Fri Jun 04, 2021 8:18 pm
by Stratton20
Cp17 yeah I noticed this as well on the Euro, definitely going to watch it as it has ensemble support and the CMC model also is showing something in the BOC by days 8-9

Re: June 2021

Posted: Fri Jun 04, 2021 9:59 pm
by jasons2k
.06” here today. Can’t say that I’m disappointed. Neighbor’s pool started rebar.

Re: June 2021

Posted: Fri Jun 04, 2021 10:08 pm
by Cromagnum
How is this weekend looking for us? I still have a fishing trip tentative for Sunday.

Re: June 2021

Posted: Fri Jun 04, 2021 10:27 pm
by jasons2k
So true..

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 2:20 am
by Stratton20
00z Euro run definitely is trying to spin up some sort of tropical system in the bay of Campeche around 9 days from now, definitely seeing a strong signal from the models here

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 7:12 am
by Cpv17
Definitely seeing a pretty strong signal here from the 0z EPS. Watch the gif:

Image

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 7:36 am
by don
Yep the operational Euro is showing tropical genisis like the Canadian and its ensembles. We need to watch this as the persistent weakness over the state is what helps to draws the system north.

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 9:13 am
by jasons2k
I guess we are already moving-on and looking ahead.
This morning’s Space City Weather blog says the worst of the weather is shifting east. Probably some more rain today but not a flood.

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 10:11 am
by Cpv17
jasons2k wrote: Sat Jun 05, 2021 9:13 am I guess we are already moving-on and looking ahead.
This morning’s Space City Weather blog says the worst of the weather is shifting east. Probably some more rain today but not a flood.
Yeah it’ll just be some scattered showers around that will pop with some heating but nothing widespread. I’m bored and over this event. It was largely a bust. I’m on to watching the tropics.

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 10:17 am
by Cromagnum
Good. Means my fishing trip tomorrow has hope.

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 10:56 am
by Cpv17
6z GEFS is also showing a signal for the western Gulf:

Image

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 11:56 am
by Stratton20
Im pretty confident we are going to really have to watch the gulf next week however CPV17 that is at hour 354 which is 16 days out, not really reliable though

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 12:38 pm
by unome

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 12:51 pm
by Cpv17
Where the rain does pop up today, rainfall rates should be a good bit higher than they have been.

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 2:18 pm
by Stratton20
12z Euro is definitely developing something in the central gulf around the 14th. Looks like we will have to watch the gulf next week

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 3:13 pm
by Katdaddy
Yep, it will be time to watch the tropics next week. Getting a small heavy tropical shower down here in W League City.

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 3:31 pm
by jasons2k
The sky has opened-up over here. Lots of lightning and torrential downpours.

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 3:49 pm
by DoctorMu
We've been cloudy with just a few tenths of an inch of rain the past 3 days. Would not mind a shower.

Re: June 2021

Posted: Sat Jun 05, 2021 4:37 pm
by DoctorMu
Surrounded by rain, but nothing so far.