Wx Infinity Forums

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 8:41 pm**

00z Intensity Guidance on tropical tidbits gets really interesting

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:20 pm**

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 8:41 pm 00z Intensity Guidance on tropical tidbits gets really interesting

I was just about to mention those ! Also the HWRF and HMON hurricane models both develop 92L into a tropical storm within 24 hours !

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:24 pm**

Harveyvsallison we will have to see what happens but considering what im seeing from intensity guidance, we definitely gotta be on the look out for what happens in the next 3 days

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:29 pm**

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:24 pm Harveyvsallison we will have to see what happens but considering what im seeing from intensity guidance, we definitely gotta be on the look out for what happens in the next 3 days

Also I’m thinking if this gets its act together quickly it’ll be able to fend off dry air better later down the road. Just keep watching intensity models and satellite

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:33 pm**

Harveyvsallison definitely agree about that , tonights GFS, CMC, ICON and Euro runs are going to be interesting to see what they day

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:41 pm**

0Z Intensity models.

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:44 pm**

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:33 pm Harveyvsallison definitely agree about that , tonights GFS, CMC, ICON and Euro runs are going to be interesting to see what they day

Yes I will be staying up for the 00Z suites ! I’m interested in the next batch of euro ensembles !!!! Watch the ensembles

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:44 pm**

Things will be really interesting come Wednesday

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:50 pm**

Harveyvsallison I definitely am staying up as well

I usually got to bed around 2 am so just after the Euro model comes out

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:59 pm**

With the SAL layer moving in, wind shear AND the fact that the circulation is so broad, I find it hard to believe this would become much more than a low grade tropical storm--at least the way it looks to me now. If this is a shrimpy system then landfall will be irrelevant with as most of the rain will be east of the center.

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:06 pm**

Your absolutely right blake, most likely this will stay a weak to moderate system, but then again stranger things have happened in the gulf in years past, definitely bears watching

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:06 pm**

KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:59 pm With the SAL layer moving in, wind shear AND the fact that the circulation is so broad, I find it hard to believe this would become much more than a low grade tropical storm--at least the way it looks to me now. If this is a shrimpy system then landfall will be irrelevant with as most of the rain will be east of the center.

Thank you

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:21 pm**

It’s still early !!!! Models will shift

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:34 pm**

Harveyvsallison wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:21 pm It’s still early !!!! Models will shift

Just how many kats with the same i.p. address are there?

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:55 pm**

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:34 pm
Harveyvsallison wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:21 pm It’s still early !!!! Models will shift
Just how many kats with the same i.p. address are there?

Lmao! It doesn’t even need that truth to tell it’s the same person.. oh the humanity

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 11:13 pm**

00z ICON has trended further west, has a tropical storm just off the Texas coast

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 11:27 pm**

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 11:13 pm 00z ICON has trended further west, has a tropical storm just off the Texas coast

Icon is trash not a good tropical model

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 11:31 pm**

Kingwood36 I know its not good, but the trend today in the models has been further to the west, so we will see what the other modes show

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 11:33 pm**

Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 11:27 pm
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 11:13 pm 00z ICON has trended further west, has a tropical storm just off the Texas coast
Icon is trash not a good tropical model

Ehhh it’s not one of the best models but it’s not the worst either.

Posted: **Sat Jun 12, 2021 11:45 pm**

Gfs shifted way farther east

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