Wx Infinity Forums

Your absolutely right blake, most likely this will stay a weak to moderate system, but then again stranger things have happened in the gulf in years past, definitely bears watching

KHOU BLake wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:59 pm With the SAL layer moving in, wind shear AND the fact that the circulation is so broad, I find it hard to believe this would become much more than a low grade tropical storm--at least the way it looks to me now. If this is a shrimpy system then landfall will be irrelevant with as most of the rain will be east of the center.

Thank you

It’s still early !!!! Models will shift

Harveyvsallison wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:21 pm It’s still early !!!! Models will shift

Just how many kats with the same i.p. address are there?

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:34 pm

Harveyvsallison wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:21 pm It’s still early !!!! Models will shift

Just how many kats with the same i.p. address are there?

Lmao! It doesn’t even need that truth to tell it’s the same person.. oh the humanity

00z ICON has trended further west, has a tropical storm just off the Texas coast

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 11:13 pm 00z ICON has trended further west, has a tropical storm just off the Texas coast

Icon is trash not a good tropical model

Kingwood36 I know its not good, but the trend today in the models has been further to the west, so we will see what the other modes show

Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 11:27 pm

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 11:13 pm 00z ICON has trended further west, has a tropical storm just off the Texas coast

Icon is trash not a good tropical model

Ehhh it’s not one of the best models but it’s not the worst either.

Gfs shifted way farther east

At this point I dont think we can trust any of the models, wish a circulation would form so all of this dang flip flopping would stop

Lol...haven't we been saying this for the longest

Lol yep that’s what we been saying, throw the models out right now

Until there is a well defined coc...models are pointless...period and ppl who moan and groan over every single swing west or east gets annoying after a while

Oh im not groaning but it is really annoying with all the model flip flopping going on

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Jun 13, 2021 12:11 am Oh im not groaning but it is really annoying with all the model flip flopping going on

Didn't say it was you

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:34 pm

Harveyvsallison wrote: ↑Sat Jun 12, 2021 10:21 pm It’s still early !!!! Models will shift

Just how many kats with the same i.p. address are there?

Gold, Jerry... Gold

NHC has increased development odds to 50% now

Still have a ways to go before more is none with the outcome of this system.As there is no defined center yet,and still a lack of consistency from run to run. 0z GFS had the storm hitting southeast Louisiana. While the 6z shifted to the west meandering the storm off the Texas coast before being picked up by a trough into southwest Louisiana. Expect more flip flopping over the next few days.But i think by mid week we should have a much better idea on how everything will play out.As there is more room for error than normal with this forecast because of the nature of gyre's and their lack of a defined center, instead consisting of multiple centers or vorticities. And whichever vorticity eventually becomes dominant can have big implications on track.

Don what are the 2 pics?