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Rip76 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 15, 2021 6:28 pm Interesting flare up in the BOC.
What are the odds the center gets pulled more to the East under those storms?

Yep that is what I was pointing out earlier. It is quite possible the center forms up in that cluster and that is what ends up moving it into LA instead of TX.

I really dont want to get shafted by this system and be on the dry and hot side, keeping ky dingers crossed the reformation doesnt occur that far Northeast id rather us take the hit from a weak system then to be left in the furnace, baking

Yep the main circulation was always supposed to reform near that region, the reason for the varying tracks over the last few days is that models have differed on exactly how far north the LLC will form. My street is flooded now....

It seems the Euro ensemble really favorsTexas, we shall see, wish systems like this were not such a headache to forecast tbh

Keep hoping for rain imby today. So far all the storms have evaporated and sidestepped me.

That’s one hell of a storm between Madisonville and College Station!

Getting slammed in League City! It’s like a tropical storm with extremely intense lightning. When outflow boundaries collide; they can throw a serious party. Power outage one neighborhood next to ours……..almost lost power just now.

Katdaddy wrote: ↑Tue Jun 15, 2021 8:02 pm Getting slammed in League City! It’s like a tropical storm with extremely intense lightning. When outflow boundaries collide; they can throw a serious party. Power outage one neighborhood next to ours……..almost lost power just now.

Thunder shaking the house....katdaddy we also had flickering lights...cable went out for a bit

This giant storm to the southeast literally pivoted around my house. I could see the rain, but none fell here.

Picked up a quick 2.14” here in the heights. Had the drone up getting some cool cloud shots not expecting all the hail we got about 15 minutes later. Crazy stuff

Fantastic shots MH5! Thanks for sharing! Meanwhile here in the Smoky Mountains we had a cold front arrive dropping dew points to the 20’s with Northerly breezes. The forecast is calling for upper 40’s tonight. This is why we retired here in far Western NC at 3300 feet above sea level!

Just out of range.

Tomball is getting great rain, lightening show a terrific round of thunder. Pretty good gusts of wind. Haven't seen any hail.

Surfside Beach

davidiowx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 15, 2021 6:51 pm

Rip76 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 15, 2021 6:28 pm Interesting flare up in the BOC.
What are the odds the center gets pulled more to the East under those storms?

Yep that is what I was pointing out earlier. It is quite possible the center forms up in that cluster and that is what ends up moving it into LA instead of TX.

That’s the area all models show a center developing

That Surfside photo is nuts

18Z GFS and EURO ensembles.

Heavy rain for 15 minutes and cooler!

don wrote: ↑Tue Jun 15, 2021 9:17 pm 18Z GFS and EURO ensembles.

So they are just as lost as we are lol