Wx Infinity Forums

Rip76 wrote: ↑Wed Jun 16, 2021 9:39 pm Man, not even an outflow boundary out here tonight for a cool-down.

Katdaddy wrote: ↑Wed Jun 16, 2021 7:38 pm A few seabreeze thunderstorms this evening that will make a beautiful sunset for some and a wet sunset for others.

There has been little change to the overall structure of 92L since yesterday morning. There continues to be a broad area of surface low pressure at the southern end of a trough axis that extends NE across the Gulf of Mexico toward the central Gulf coast. An upper level trough and large mass of dry air is located over the extreme western Gulf of Mexico resulting in W/SW shear across the broad surface pressure minimum and trough axis. 92L remains very disorganized and convection scattered in clusters mainly across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and the Yucatan.

Global models continue to suggest that a more consolidated surface low pressure system will form with 92L and move northward in the general direction of Louisiana over the next 24-48 hours. Where any more defined surface low may form is still in question, but the general model consensus continues to keep the majority of the impacts east of SE TX and aimed toward the central and eastern US Gulf coast.

Local Impacts:
Minimal impacts are expected as the tropical system passes generally SE and E of our area. Winds will begin to back to the E and NE later today into Friday and increase into the 20-25kt range over the coastal waters mainly east of Galveston. Seas will build into the 4-6 ft range Friday into Saturday. The combination of NE surface winds and building offshore swells will yield increasing tides along the upper TX coast, but guidance is keeping values in the 3-4 ft range for total water level or about 1.0-1.5 feet above normal. This is generally below levels that cause any significant issues. Would not be surprised to see a bit of run-up at times of high tide near the vulnerable east end of Bolivar and some minor flooding. Rain chances will increase from the SE starting Friday afternoon and linger into Saturday, but there will likely be a sharp gradient with any rainfall with 92L over SE TX with mainly areas ESE of Galveston Bay having the better chances of squalls moving onshore as drier air wraps into the west side of the system.

Moisture values actually increase more late in the weekend into early next week as 92L pulls NE away from the area and a cool front approaches from the north. We may actually see better chances of active weather early next week than with 92L locally.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 10:52 am Keep this **** away from Florida, I dont need this crap ruining my vacation that we spend months planning for

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 10:52 am Keep this **** away from Florida, I dont need this crap ruining my vacation that we spend months planning for,this is actually making me mad and weather never makes me mad!