Wx Infinity Forums

Rip76 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 12:28 pm

srainhoutx wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 11:47 am I have almost 19500 posts. I must be trolling too!1!

You’ve been here for 17 years .

Side note. The sky is looking hazy already.

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 1:49 pm If we've learned anything about tropical systems over the past 2 tropical seasons its NWS/NHC Mets > Models. Models are only 1 tool they use.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 2:15 pm

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 1:49 pm If we've learned anything about tropical systems over the past 2 tropical seasons its NWS/NHC Mets > Models. Models are only 1 tool they use.

Sometimes the best thing to do is print out the 500mb NAM charts and do old-fashioned analysis with a pencil

Rip76 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 3:01 pm Is the 500mb used to determine steering/motion?

Rip76 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 3:59 pm

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 4:09 pm

Rip76 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 3:59 pm

Blast furnace engage for us.

At 400pm a tropical storm warning has been issued for the US Gulf coast from Intracoastal City, LA to the FL/AL state line.

Both satellite derived wind products and the early afternoon USAF mission confirm that 92L has a broad low pressure center over the south-central Gulf of Mexico with winds generally in the 25 kt range. The current organizational structure is that below what is classifiable as a tropical cyclone, however global models continue to insist that a tropical cyclone will form in the next 12-24 hours and make landfall along the central US Gulf coast. Given the proximity of the system to landfall on the US Gulf coast, the potential tropical cyclone advisories along with tropical storm warnings have been issued with this system. Besides now an official product from the National Hurricane Center, there has been little change to the forecasting thinking today and the good model consensus continues to take the developing tropical system well east of SE TX with most of the weather and impacts focused east of the center toward the central and eastern US Gulf coast.

Any impacts to SE TX are expected to be minimal with some increase in coastal tides (likely below) levels that would cause any significant coastal flooding and an increase in showers near and east of Galveston Bay.

snowman65 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 5:55 pm sounds like some people in here are disappointed when hurricanes dont hit us...I dont get it...do they actually enjoy destruction?

Rip76 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 6:05 pm

snowman65 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 5:55 pm sounds like some people in here are disappointed when hurricanes dont hit us...I dont get it...do they actually enjoy destruction?

A Hurricane no way.
A minimum tropical storm, I’ll take.