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Rip76 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 3:59 pm

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 4:09 pm

Rip76 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 3:59 pm

Blast furnace engage for us.

At 400pm a tropical storm warning has been issued for the US Gulf coast from Intracoastal City, LA to the FL/AL state line.

Both satellite derived wind products and the early afternoon USAF mission confirm that 92L has a broad low pressure center over the south-central Gulf of Mexico with winds generally in the 25 kt range. The current organizational structure is that below what is classifiable as a tropical cyclone, however global models continue to insist that a tropical cyclone will form in the next 12-24 hours and make landfall along the central US Gulf coast. Given the proximity of the system to landfall on the US Gulf coast, the potential tropical cyclone advisories along with tropical storm warnings have been issued with this system. Besides now an official product from the National Hurricane Center, there has been little change to the forecasting thinking today and the good model consensus continues to take the developing tropical system well east of SE TX with most of the weather and impacts focused east of the center toward the central and eastern US Gulf coast.

Any impacts to SE TX are expected to be minimal with some increase in coastal tides (likely below) levels that would cause any significant coastal flooding and an increase in showers near and east of Galveston Bay.

snowman65 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 5:55 pm sounds like some people in here are disappointed when hurricanes dont hit us...I dont get it...do they actually enjoy destruction?

Rip76 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 6:05 pm

snowman65 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 5:55 pm sounds like some people in here are disappointed when hurricanes dont hit us...I dont get it...do they actually enjoy destruction?

A Hurricane no way.
A minimum tropical storm, I’ll take.

snowman65 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 5:55 pm sounds like some people in here are disappointed when hurricanes dont hit us...I dont get it...do they actually enjoy destruction?

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 6:20 pm

snowman65 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 5:55 pm sounds like some people in here are disappointed when hurricanes dont hit us...I dont get it...do they actually enjoy destruction?

Many of us on here are major weather enthusiasts. We get very excited when bad weather comes our way. I know I do! I’m like a kid in a candy store. Crazy wild weather and sports are my two biggest passions in my life. Now I don’t exactly wish or want for anything to get destroyed or for anyone to get hurt but I’m always down for some crazy weather but there’s a line I have to draw when it comes to that. If it’s going to cause a lot of damage then no thanks!

djmike wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 6:50 pm As long as I have followed Tropical weather, 30+ years. I think this is the first time Ive ever seen NHC issue a cone to one place when the models are still pointing to another. Wow. I know I know. It’s because of the center reformation and models are STILL confused. And yes its going to La. I know why. BUT...I just have never seen models go one place and an official cone going different. Has this happened before?

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 8:44 pm

djmike wrote: ↑Thu Jun 17, 2021 6:50 pm As long as I have followed Tropical weather, 30+ years. I think this is the first time Ive ever seen NHC issue a cone to one place when the models are still pointing to another. Wow. I know I know. It’s because of the center reformation and models are STILL confused. And yes its going to La. I know why. BUT...I just have never seen models go one place and an official cone going different. Has this happened before?

As a rank amateur but another enthusiast (I might have been a meteorologist if my alma mater had the major) I'm within 50 mi of the NHC prediction.