Page 51 of 71

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:08 pm
by DoctorMu
jasons2k wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:20 am The eddies are confusing everyone.

It’s just a broad center that’s open to the SW side.
This. More oval than open, though. Too much shear, exposing the weak SW side. A little farther offshore than expected. The bands are a running out of steam between Navasota and here. We did have a couple of wind gusts 25-30 mph.

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:13 pm
by DoctorMu
Tower attempting to form that is actually close to the oval CoC.

Nick has a little kick left!

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:15 pm
by Kingwood36
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:55 am
Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 10:56 am Just got a pretty damn good gust of wind...damn lol
You’re in a good spot to see some action. I’m kinda jealous lol I’d definitely just stay there and experience it. A strong tropical storm or weak cat 1 is a fun experience for a weather enthusiast.
Ya, I plan on standing outside in the wind with the American flag blowing blasting Rick Derringer's "real american" (hulk hogan's entrance music) haha..taking it all in

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:22 pm
by don
That squall looks pretty strong moving into the metro area.WPC has expanded the high risk area for flash flooding.

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:28 pm
by GBinGrimes
I would love to see a video of that! Perfect song, too!

Let's hope we all get some needed rain, just not an overdose. Be safe everyone. After the last couple years, we should all know the drill, especially no driving in flood waters.
Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:15 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:55 am
Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 10:56 am Just got a pretty damn good gust of wind...damn lol
You’re in a good spot to see some action. I’m kinda jealous lol I’d definitely just stay there and experience it. A strong tropical storm or weak cat 1 is a fun experience for a weather enthusiast.
Ya, I plan on standing outside in the wind with the American flag blowing blasting Rick Derringer's "real american" (hulk hogan's entrance music) haha..taking it all in

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:46 pm
by Kingwood36
Sure has gotten quite in here

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:54 pm
by Kingwood36
When is the big event suppose to start?

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:58 pm
by don
Not until tonight.

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:01 pm
by DoctorMu
lol The "CoC" just went to the bottom of the oval. Schizophrenic.

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:13 pm
by Cpv17
Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:46 pm Sure has gotten quite in here
It’s probably not gonna be much of an event. I don’t think many people are concerned about it. Looks pretty weak sauce to me.

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:18 pm
by Cromagnum
Unless this goes due NW, there is no way it's coming ashore in Matagorda Bay.

Image

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:38 pm
by Iceresistance
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:13 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:46 pm Sure has gotten quite in here
It’s probably not gonna be much of an event. I don’t think many people are concerned about it. Looks pretty weak sauce to me.
Except the Rainfall potential

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:47 pm
by TXWeatherMan
Anybody have the 12z Euro?

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:49 pm
by Cpv17
Iceresistance wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:38 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:13 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:46 pm Sure has gotten quite in here
It’s probably not gonna be much of an event. I don’t think many people are concerned about it. Looks pretty weak sauce to me.
Except the Rainfall potential
That’s even beginning to not look like much. Should be manageable for most places.

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:50 pm
by Cpv17
TXWeatherMan wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:47 pm Anybody have the 12z Euro?
Look on tropical tidbits.

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:00 pm
by TXWeatherMan
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:50 pm
TXWeatherMan wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:47 pm Anybody have the 12z Euro?
Look on tropical tidbits.
I did but it’s not very detailed on tropical tidbits

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:03 pm
by Scott747
TXWeatherMan wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:47 pm Anybody have the 12z Euro?
Matagorda Bay. But it initialized at the center from earlier this morning and is looking a little to far w.

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:04 pm
by TXWeatherMan
Scott747 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:03 pm
TXWeatherMan wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:47 pm Anybody have the 12z Euro?
Matagorda Bay. But it initialized at the center from earlier this morning and is looking a little to far w.
Thanks. I saw it looks a little slower than some other models too.

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:06 pm
by Dls2010r
I’m confused. I’m in Santa Fe. What are we looking at. CPV says it’s a non event. I’m just like where’s it going cause it looks like a mess to me.

Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat

Posted: Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:07 pm
by Iceresistance
TXWeatherMan wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:00 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:50 pm
TXWeatherMan wrote: Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:47 pm Anybody have the 12z Euro?
Look on tropical tidbits.
I did but it’s not very detailed on tropical tidbits
Pivotal Weather is better with the Euro