Re: October 2021
Posted: Fri Oct 15, 2021 10:16 am
The weather channel is a joke, this is quite possibly the worst winter forecast put together
No, this past Winter's forecasts was even worse, remember the February 2021 Forecast?Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 10:16 am The weather channel is a joke, this is quite possibly the worst winter forecast put together
Yes, that happened as well in February 2021
That may be presented by the weather channel, but the forecast data is from NOAA, the Climate Prediction Center.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 10:16 am The weather channel is a joke, this is quite possibly the worst winter forecast put together
And La Nina is only one factor, true.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 12:26 pm Ah gotcha weatherguy425, but I still think this is a little too much warm biased , i watch trsuted meteorologists on youtube like POW ponder and hes calling for the exact opposite( at least at December and beyond) conditions that this outlook lis showing
Yeah on crazy YT Weather Peoples, if I would post something like that, I would also note: "This is only 1 model run, it's likely going to not be there on the next run unless it starts to develop consistency."Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 12:37 pm Weatherguy425 Oh I know to be careful but trust me, hes really good, doesn't hype anything up, but yeah i get what you mean, I have seen weather youtube channels in which someone will post a hurricane on a model run like the GFS 15 days out and make their video based off of unreliable data, definitely get your point though
TWC long range predictions have been laughable all year. Last February was predicted to be extremely warm.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 10:16 am The weather channel is a joke, this is quite possibly the worst winter forecast put together
weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 12:17 pmThat may be presented by the weather channel, but the forecast data is from NOAA, the Climate Prediction Center.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 10:16 am The weather channel is a joke, this is quite possibly the worst winter forecast put together
Last December and January were WARMER than normal at KIAH. One cold blast doesn’t make the whole winter “cold”. Historically, a La Nina driven winter favors warmer and drier... but, also leaves the area vulnerable to very cold, but *infrequent cold air outbreaks.
EDIT | On further inspection, that is not CPC data, but generally aligns with it. (Attached)
I remembered seeing that on S2K, after the Extreme Cold & Snow in February 2021, I was saying that the Weather pulled an Uno Reverso on the CPC & TWC.DoctorMu wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 7:05 pmTWC long range predictions have been laughable all year. Last February was predicted to be extremely warm.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 10:16 am The weather channel is a joke, this is quite possibly the worst winter forecast put together
Oops.
Bastardi? He's a lunatic, but occasionally right with an outside the box analysis or prediction.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 12:37 pm Weatherguy425 Oh I know to be careful but trust me, hes really good, doesn't hype anything up, but yeah i get what you mean, I have seen weather youtube channels in which someone will post a hurricane on a model run like the GFS 15 days out and make their video based off of unreliable data, definitely get your point though
It's not Direct Weather for starters, is it "Ryan Hall Y'all"?Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 8:47 pm DoctorMu oh no its a different dude, this guys channel , this dude will post a model run of the GFS of a “Major”hurricane when its 16 days out and basically start fear mongering and saying everyone needs to watch out for this, he has been wrong every time
I don’t trust that Direct Weather guy at all. I really for the most part haven’t found any YouTube channels I trust for the weather.Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Oct 16, 2021 8:10 amIt's not Direct Weather for starters, is it "Ryan Hall Y'all"?Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 15, 2021 8:47 pm DoctorMu oh no its a different dude, this guys channel , this dude will post a model run of the GFS of a “Major”hurricane when its 16 days out and basically start fear mongering and saying everyone needs to watch out for this, he has been wrong every time