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Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 12:07 am
by Stratton20
Iceresistance wow! Now I personally wouldnβt mind a thunderstorm on christmas, beats warm temps any day
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 9:55 am
by Kingwood36
Anyone getting rain? Radar is green but nothing but 2 or 3 sprinkles here
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:43 am
by Iceresistance
12z GFS delayed the cold BIG time!
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:47 am
by Kingwood36
Iceresistance wrote: βSat Nov 27, 2021 10:43 am
12z GFS delayed the cold BIG time!
To when?
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:48 am
by Iceresistance
First full week of December
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:49 am
by Kingwood36
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:52 am
by Iceresistance
Kingwood36 wrote: βSat Nov 27, 2021 10:49 am
So 5th through the 11th?
Yes, it's much more delayed compared to the 6z Run
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:52 am
by Kingwood36
So the 6z run was for this coming week right?
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:55 am
by Iceresistance
Kingwood36 wrote: βSat Nov 27, 2021 10:52 am
So the 6z run was for this coming week right?
The 6z had a glancing blow for Next Weekend
The 12z run had it delayed for a further 1-3 Days
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:57 am
by Kingwood36
Iceresistance wrote: βSat Nov 27, 2021 10:55 am
Kingwood36 wrote: βSat Nov 27, 2021 10:52 am
So the 6z run was for this coming week right?
The 6z had a glancing blow for Next Weekend
The 12z run had it delayed for a further 1-3 Days
Does the 12z show it still as a glancing blow?
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 11:07 am
by Stratton20
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 11:11 am
by Iceresistance
Kingwood36 wrote: βSat Nov 27, 2021 10:57 am
Iceresistance wrote: βSat Nov 27, 2021 10:55 am
Kingwood36 wrote: βSat Nov 27, 2021 10:52 am
So the 6z run was for this coming week right?
The 6z had a glancing blow for Next Weekend
The 12z run had it delayed for a further 1-3 Days
Does the 12z show it still as a glancing blow?
Yes, but it's even smaller, the Teleconnections are giving the models an absolute fit.
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 11:24 am
by snowman65
winter is....not...coming. gonna be one of those close but no cigar winters Im afraid.
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 11:24 am
by Stratton20
snowman65 na winter will come, just not right now
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 11:31 am
by Iceresistance
1060+ MB High over Canada in Mid-December on the 12z GFS model run, combined with a Powerful Storm down the Rockies.
ETA: Oh my goodness
BIG Sleetstorm!
I may never happen, but WOW!
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 11:36 am
by Stratton20
What a run by the GFS, if only it wasnt far out smh, brings wintry precip as far aouth as central texas
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 11:39 am
by Iceresistance
End of the 12z GFS is February 2021 all over again!
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 11:50 am
by Stratton20
Iceresistance I know, but I bet this is a one time phantom run by the GFS lol
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 12:54 pm
by Cpv17
Iceresistance wrote: βSat Nov 27, 2021 11:11 am
Kingwood36 wrote: βSat Nov 27, 2021 10:57 am
Iceresistance wrote: βSat Nov 27, 2021 10:55 am
The 6z had a glancing blow for Next Weekend
The 12z run had it delayed for a further 1-3 Days
Does the 12z show it still as a glancing blow?
Yes, but it's even smaller, the Teleconnections are giving the models an absolute fit.
Yes they are. We really need the EPO to cooperate. Imo, the EPO is our biggest factor that controls our winter. Itβs too positive right now.
Re: December 2021
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 2:03 pm
by Iceresistance
The EPO is extremely positive & the models have been underestimating how long it's being Positive right now.