Wx Infinity Forums

Belmer wrote: ↑Tue Nov 30, 2021 4:33 pm If I didn't know better, 20 pages into a thread in which the month hasn't even started yet, I'd think there would be an incoming blizzard later this week.

We all need to remember, models are just one tool in a very large toolbox. This forum wouldn't be where it is today without the many great dialogues from members, present or past. Limiting conversation and discussion about models isn't what this forum is about. But perhaps we look at creating a separate thread of the meteorological seasons (similar to s2k) where all members - whether local or afar - can join and continue discussing model-to-model runs without it clouding up our monthly discussions that really pertain here more locally.

I'm open to thoughts, but the purpose of this forum is to allow these conversations, but in ways where it can benefit everyone.

With that said, between the GFS and EPS model runs over the last 48 hours should be a huge red flag not to put any trust in one model right now. La Nina winters are typically above average down here with the exception of a few strong dips, including what we saw last February. Having any expectation that we'll repeat Feb '21 or previous historic winters just aren't probable year in and year out.

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Nov 30, 2021 2:23 pm It’s getting hard to come to this site. Less discussion and more bleeding all over the board.

Winter starts tomorrow. It will probably be like a traditional Niña where roller coaster temps happen. I’d put the over/under on good cold snaps at 2.5. Id put the over/under on freezes (for my place) at 14.5.

3/4 of you hug models too much instead of employ common sense. It was the same at the beginning of last winter and the one before that and so on.

We have been losing the good posters (or at least frequency of posts from good ones) around here because of the ones who make blanket statements with no backing.

Y’all enjoy the Holidays.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 12:12 pm Looks like some pool weather here in CS the next 5-7 days lol

jasons2k wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 9:40 am Welcome to the first day of the meteorological winter. Enjoy, cold weather lovers. I hope it stays above 25 degrees this season. My countdown to Spring begins now.

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 8:50 pm GFS weak with cold air over the next 14 days. Canadian is a little more aggressive, but we'd only be seasonable mid Dec instead of cold. Euro slides the cold air east of us.

Ice - it's like our weather has been on a 30 day phase delay (lagging) over the entire year. Cooler than average until October. A/C bills have been way too high for Fall.

snowman65 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 02, 2021 8:42 am Sorry folks....winter's closed...